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Captain Marvel Predictions
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Author:  zwackerm [ Thu May 24, 2018 9:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Captain Marvel Predictions

Captain Marvel seems to tie heavily in to the third and fourth Avengers movies. I think there will be a lot of interest based purely on that.

I know there’s no marketing yet, but I think it opens over 150m.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu May 24, 2018 9:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

It wasn't tied to 3rd Avengers at all.

Author:  mark66 [ Thu May 24, 2018 9:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Well, there was a Captain Marvel clue in the post credit scene of A3...

Author:  Barrabás [ Thu May 24, 2018 10:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

$150 million?!

I would be surprised if this makes more than Doctor Strange.

Author:  MadGez [ Thu May 24, 2018 10:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Yeah it will be BIG. An OW around $150m wouldn't surprise honestly.

Author:  zwackerm [ Thu May 24, 2018 10:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Also, Marvels first woman lead character will give it a boost too.

Author:  Dil [ Thu May 24, 2018 11:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Until we get a trailer I think Doctor Strange is a pretty good benchmark for this. It obviously has the potential to do much more, but it's hard to say without seeing anything official. Avengers 4 should definitely help push it though just like with BP and IW and vice versa, although I doubt it will reach those levels.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu May 24, 2018 11:15 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

It has the hook for first MCU female superhero solo movie and it would be helped by A4 but its definitely not reaching BP's heights, specially because WW exists in this case. But I see it matching WW's OW $100m, don't think it will do $150m+ OW.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu May 24, 2018 11:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

mark66 wrote:
Well, there was a Captain Marvel clue in the post credit scene of A3...


How many of GA knew about that? The solo movie comes out in March a few months ahead of A4 thus it won't get enough boost from an appearance or familiarity from the audience like what BP and Spidey had.

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 25, 2018 12:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Because it is so linked to Infinity War, I'm going with over $160m opening.

Author:  Jonathan [ Fri May 25, 2018 1:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Jack Sparrow wrote:
mark66 wrote:
Well, there was a Captain Marvel clue in the post credit scene of A3...


How many of GA knew about that? The solo movie comes out in March a few months ahead of A4 thus it won't get enough boost from an appearance or familiarity from the audience like what BP and Spidey had.


I would assume anyone that cared enough to stay for the end credits either A) got the clue, B) had a friend with them that got the clue, or C) was confused and maybe checked out one of several explainer articles online that delved into it.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri May 25, 2018 2:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

or D) would wait for it to actually happen as they couldn't come over the shock factor of the event prior to it.

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 25, 2018 5:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Even if they didn't get it, you can be sure that Marvel is going to let people know how important Captain Marvel is to the outcome of Avengers 4.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri May 25, 2018 6:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

It comes before Avengers 4 and that's mostly to introduce the character before the big finale. They will surely have a scene where CM gets the message from Fury BUT that will generate buzz only after its release. Regardless Captain Marvel's impact in IW isn't as big to easily blow past $100m OW. I think its going to do REALLY well but those $150m+ seems difficult to me. If it does I will be surprised to say the least.

Author:  stuffp [ Fri May 25, 2018 7:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Jack Sparrow wrote:
They will surely have a scene where CM gets the message from Fury BUT that will generate buzz only after its release.


Not if it's teased in the trailer.

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 25, 2018 8:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Jack Sparrow wrote:
Regardless Captain Marvel's impact in IW isn't as big to easily blow past $100m OW.


You'll see.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri May 25, 2018 9:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Hehe yeah we'll see. I don't think it will do too much above WW OW might even go below that.

Author:  Algren [ Fri May 25, 2018 9:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Well, DC certainly beat Marvel to the first female superhero thing. But at this stage you just cannot rule Marvel out of another huge "surprise" hit. I expect it to top Wonder Woman, if only in opening.

Author:  Excel [ Fri May 25, 2018 10:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

$140 opening, we'll se about legs

WW2: $150/425

Author:  Chippy [ Fri May 25, 2018 11:23 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

stuffp wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
They will surely have a scene where CM gets the message from Fury BUT that will generate buzz only after its release.


Not if it's teased in the trailer.


The movie is set in the 90's. Teasing the message in the trailer wouldn't make any sense. The only connection you'll see to Infinity War is the post credits scene.

Author:  Proud Ryu [ Fri May 25, 2018 12:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Range of
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Thor: Ragnarok
Iron Man 2
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri May 25, 2018 5:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

I agree with Magnus just because BP and IW opened that big not every movie is guaranteed $150m OW. Take all the MCU origins movie other than BP only Spidey did more than $100m. Now the increase that Doctor Strange saw make me believe that even these solo movies have increased the demand due to the brand but from $85m to $150m is a VERY big jump.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri May 25, 2018 5:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Proud Ryu wrote:
Range of
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Thor: Ragnarok
Iron Man 2
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2


Why not the last origins movie Doctor Strange? I don't think that would be bad opening for CM

Author:  Brian [ Mon May 28, 2018 10:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

325m

Author:  Proud Ryu [ Thu May 31, 2018 5:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Captain Marvel Predictions

Jack Sparrow wrote:
Proud Ryu wrote:
Range of
Spider-Man: Homecoming
Thor: Ragnarok
Iron Man 2
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2


Why not the last origins movie Doctor Strange? I don't think that would be bad opening for CM


That would be ok/good, but my thoughts are that (a) the character has been ordained as the key to part 2 of Infinity Wars which really boosts its significance in a way that Dr. Strange couldn't touch (b) it will add females audience in a way similar to how BP added black audience (though to a lesser extent, since we regularly get action females) and (c) Wonder Woman's success despite BvS sucking.

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