Given the possibility of a letdown when you have such a overperforming predecessor, DP2 matching the originals OW is a fairly sizable success. It should break 300m but I do think it could be frontloaded enough to do high 120s OW from this OD and a sub 2.3 multiplier that I still stand by it isn’t a lock. Most likely it does low 130s OW and a 2.35-2.4 multiplier to get around 315m-320m finish. The first Deadpool wil likely be the peak of the X-Force franchise (domestically at least) but DP2 performance is strong enough that regardless of what happens with Disney we should see more entries in the next few years.

IW drop cements BP as the domestic crown winner. I do not see it getting the 4.75 multiplier from this weekend it would need to get to surpass BP. I think 690m would be a best case at this point. Which just shows how insane BP was that even an event like IW can’t surpass it.

DP2 also makes Guardians 2 look better. The originals were both breakout hits that appealed to folks who normally didn’t go to superhero movies. GOTG2 increased over 15% while DP2 is gonna drop 10%. Obviously GOTG2 had a year of inflation and the overall stronger brand of MCU but I think a year later we didn’t appreciate what GOTG2 did. It isn’t easy to increase over a breakout hit.

It’ll be interesting to see how sequels to other breakout hits like the next IT and Jumanji play out in 2019.

At this stage of its release, the studio is getting very little of the actual box office revenue, so it's ONLY about getting it to a milestone ($700m) of which it will get to even at its current pace. $702m or $712m has the same value in it for Disney, so releasing it on home video as early as they can was the sensible approach.

I get it that money is money..... On another note looks like it is doing awesome so far on the home release. So well in fact that some Walmart's and other stores are limiting the number of copies you can buy to 2 per transaction.