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 May 25-28 Predictions 

Will Solo: A Star Wars Story open with more than Deadpool 2?
Yes 29%  29%  [ 4 ]
No 71%  71%  [ 10 ]
Total votes : 14

 May 25-28 Predictions 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
The pre-sales are MUCH bigger this far out for a movie to breakout and I don't think this is the kind of movie that will have HUGE walk-up business like MCU to compensate for lack of HUGE OD (previews will be BIG for sure). I mean its Wednesday and Solo is still behind DP2 at MT (36.7% vs 32.8%) and the later opened to $125m, I don't see how Solo out-opens that opening.


Thu May 24, 2018 2:18 am
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Solo's 7-9pm shows tonight are sold-out or mostly full, as expected. However, most of the shows after 9pm have plenty of seats available here. You can sit anywhere you want after 10pm. Not typical for a SW film.

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Thu May 24, 2018 8:36 am
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Solo gives me a family entertainment type of Star Wars vibe, not a Revenge of the Sith must-rush-out-see-it-five-times-on-opening-day vibe. If the two were bodily gestures, Solo would be a shrug of the shoulders, while Revenge of the Sith was throbbing penis about to explode.


Thu May 24, 2018 8:42 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
I thought with those early presales numbers at the least the previews would be HUGE.


Thu May 24, 2018 11:04 am
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Thinking $110-120m 4-day for Solo.


Thu May 24, 2018 11:21 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
That would be lower than DP's 3-day. The meltdowns will be epic.


Thu May 24, 2018 12:37 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Sub 20m previews for Solo most likely. I’m thinking 19m.


Thu May 24, 2018 9:02 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Haha no one dared to predict previews which looks to be coming much lower.


Thu May 24, 2018 9:48 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Not an exciting story but noteworthy nonetheless - Book Club has a chance to have the best 2nd week MD hold in over a decade if the trajectory holds. Will be curious if it can hit $12m+ in the frame.

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Fri May 25, 2018 12:11 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Not an exciting story but noteworthy nonetheless - Book Club has a chance to have the best 2nd week MD hold in over a decade if the trajectory holds. Will be curious if it can hit $12m+ in the frame.


I wouldn't be surprised. There's not much else showing for people not interested in the big blockbusters and WOM is great. Plus the older demographic tends to not come out right away.


Fri May 25, 2018 1:29 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
What's really impressive is Book Club being right behind Avengers in weekday numbers. Well, it was actually ahead on Wednesday and is not far behind on Thursday.


Fri May 25, 2018 3:19 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
What's really impressive is Book Club being right behind Avengers in weekday numbers. Well, it was actually ahead on Wednesday and is not far behind on Thursday.


It needs a very small Friday increase (50% or so) to drop less than 25% this weekend. Not even animated films have been able to accomplish that in the sophomore frame over MD weekend. This is a textbook example of well-marketed and effective counterprogramming.

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Fri May 25, 2018 3:35 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
What's really impressive is Book Club being right behind Avengers in weekday numbers. Well, it was actually ahead on Wednesday and is not far behind on Thursday.


It needs a very small Friday increase (50% or so) to drop less than 25% this weekend. Not even animated films have been able to accomplish that in the sophomore frame over MD weekend. This is a textbook example of well-marketed and effective counterprogramming.


These types of films usually don't increase a lot on Friday, so I wouldn't expect it to increase that much necessarily. Even if it doesn't it's doing well.


Fri May 25, 2018 4:30 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Yeah Book Club is a weekday movie with older women supporting it. It won't do great over weekend because the demograph would be taking care of their families over the long weekend.


Fri May 25, 2018 5:50 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Algren wrote:
$110m for Solo


So, looks like I win this. ;)


Fri May 25, 2018 7:40 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
That was 3-day you mentioned $130m 4-day. Its not going to open above $100m 3-day.

Algren wrote:
4-day will be $130m.


Fri May 25, 2018 7:42 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
I still win.


Fri May 25, 2018 7:53 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
You joined the sub-$100m club so you also lose :P


Fri May 25, 2018 10:50 pm
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
It can still gross sub-$100m, and I win both.


Fri May 25, 2018 11:49 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Then you lose this one :P


Sat May 26, 2018 12:39 am
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Post Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Nah, because I'll be closest.


Sat May 26, 2018 12:49 am
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