This could possibly open in Sausage Party vicinity but, yeah, totally raunchy. They will have to come up with a brand new non-Redband trailer for theaters/TV.
Sausage Party numbers wouldn't surprise me, but I need to see more marketing before I make a concrete prediction.
Fri May 18, 2018 4:36 pm
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20302 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
That will definitely open to 30m+, but it will need better WOM than Sausage Party to hit 100m.
Fri May 18, 2018 5:03 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
It's way more endearingly raunchy than Sausage Party, plus it features Muppets or Sesame Street characters or whatever, and so I see it going to about $120m.
Looks a lot better than what I was thinking when reading the premise few months back only.
Fri May 18, 2018 9:59 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34875 Location: Minnesota
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
I hear the trailer is slaying in front of select Deadpool 2 showings. Looks great. I hope it does well because I predicted this for Question 10 in our Box Office contest. And I'm the only one.
Fri May 18, 2018 10:48 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
I didn't even know what it was at that time! Deadpool 2 is definitely the right audience for this to do well, and I think you may be onto a winner with picking it for question #10.
Sat May 19, 2018 12:22 am
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
I still cannot tell if this will breakout or not. I do think it will well enough though I am yet not sold on $100m total.
Sat May 19, 2018 2:25 am
Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Definitely less than 65% of "Sausage Party". I mean seriously who is this for? And does McCarthy have anything other than "Va JJ" jokes left?
Mon May 21, 2018 8:12 am
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Not even 3m combined video trailer views yet. Where are all of you trailer view nutcases saying that it will open to $50k?
Mon May 21, 2018 8:57 am
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Might be too easy raunchy for Muppets based movie which will work against it. And based on the trailer view count it doesn't look like it will open huge.
$18m/$55m
Mon May 21, 2018 1:33 pm
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 37887
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
This had potential to be a Ted type of success but I don't really like the cop format
Reception seems to be mixed (some like it, some feel like they are trying too hard to earn the R rating). $18m/$36m
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
Fri May 25, 2018 2:30 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Why would the legs be SO bad?
Fri May 25, 2018 5:12 pm
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3127
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Perhaps I went overboard but I do see a decent OW due to the novelty factor but WOM weighing it down quickly (and this is coming from a huge fan of talking puppets)
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
Fri May 25, 2018 10:41 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
That's fine but why would the legs be so bad? I feel it will have decent legs as people might not be ready upfront to see a raunchy rendition of taking puppets.
Fri May 25, 2018 10:48 pm
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3127
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Perhaps it will have a better multiplier than what I posited. It's just that, unfortunately, muppet movies don't grab audiences (everyone likes them but not enough to see them in theaters) and I don't think the R rated gimmick will change that.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
Sat Jun 02, 2018 3:13 am
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36917
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
The 2011 Disney Muppets did $88m so its not like people don't see these in theaters but I agree that R rated gimmick will mostly backfire in this case.
Sat Jun 02, 2018 6:30 am
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
Re: The Happytime Murders predictions (08/17/18)
Does anyone else feel they are not making the most of this crazy concept?
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