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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Although I love the DCEU after JL's failure last year I think the franchise is done save for WW2. Who's in for a less than 75m opening weekend which would put it lower than Black Panther's Opening Day.
Last edited by Passionate Thug on Sun May 13, 2018 2:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun May 13, 2018 1:41 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Interesting though I would like to see a trailer before I commit but then WW didn't open HUGE out of the gate.
I'm IN.
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Sun May 13, 2018 2:25 pm |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am Posts: 1742 Location: Calisota
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Nobody gives a shit about Aquaman, who was totally bland in JL. I'm in for sub-75M opening week. Possibly even for Aquaman's OW < Bland Panther's first Monday.
_________________
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Sun May 13, 2018 2:26 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
I refuse to believe it will open with less than 40m but that would be truly sad
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Sun May 13, 2018 2:39 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Maybe. AQUAMAN's good, though, and that'll help it.
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Sun May 13, 2018 3:02 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
I hope so, but DC has not ignited any goodwill from General audiences, so us fan boys have to at least keep the universe alive until hopefully Flash Point but looks like that may be canned if the latest reports are true.
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Sun May 13, 2018 3:08 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20426 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
This won’t be hard. A 75m opening for Aquaman would put it on pace for at least 300m domestic with it’s release date.
In.
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Sun May 13, 2018 3:58 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
The Dark Shape wrote: Maybe. AQUAMAN's good, though, and that'll help it. Whoa. You've seen it? Can you compare it to WW ?
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Sun May 13, 2018 4:08 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
WONDER WOMAN has a better second act, AQUAMAN has a better first and third. Not as emotional as WW but better action. It's DC cribbing the Marvel template but doing it pretty well.
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Sun May 13, 2018 4:19 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Audiences have been eating up new/fresh super hero films. If this one looks and is good, it will do well. $75m opening weekend is not big.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun May 13, 2018 6:14 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67130
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
I'd love for this to happen, but I don't see it. The last superhero films to open below $75m were X-Men: Apocalypse and Ant-Man, and I don't see Aquaman hitting those lows. Modern day cinemagoers will just see anything that is superhero-related, regardless of franchise reputation.
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Sun May 13, 2018 7:28 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
But its also December and movies do open lower in the month if they are not SW.
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Sun May 13, 2018 7:51 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
I think this one breaks out if it is truly good and marketing is not a mess.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun May 13, 2018 9:23 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Those are pretty much the only "IFs" that DCEU had problems with.
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Sun May 13, 2018 9:30 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67130
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Aquaman is kind of doomed. It stars the duo of box office poisons, Jason Momoa and Amber Heard, comes from the superhero studio of critical poison, DC, and is a character that is so bland that nobody cares for. So anything it makes will be impressive.
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Sun May 13, 2018 9:35 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
I think Momoa is fine in his role as Aquaman and something that people won't be distracted. He has done too little to be called "poison" though Amber Heard has definitely earned that title.
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Sun May 13, 2018 9:38 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21930 Location: Places
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
TDA has good taste and Aquabro was well received in JL.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun May 13, 2018 10:59 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6162 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Totally in.
_________________ .
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Sun May 13, 2018 11:36 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67130
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Excel wrote: Aquabro was well received in JL. In what universe? Certainly not this universe or the DCE universe.
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Mon May 14, 2018 12:17 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Aquabro was interesting and decent character but I wouldn't call it "well received" in the likes of Spider-Man and Black Panther in CA:CW.
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Mon May 14, 2018 2:15 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Omni wrote: Nobody gives a shit about Aquaman, who was totally bland in JL. I'm in for sub-75M opening week. Possibly even for Aquaman's OW < Bland Panther's first Monday. You're high.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon May 14, 2018 1:00 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32129 Location: the last free city
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Aquaman will top 80m for sure cause he’s a rad dude!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Mon May 14, 2018 1:06 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
I know I'm a DC "homer", but I would think worst case scenario for this would be Thor adjusted. (which is right at $75 mil)
So sure, this is possible, but I'm looking at probably $85-90 mil. Which should be good for a $300 mil total.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon May 14, 2018 1:12 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20426 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Is everybody forgetting this is a December opening? It will probably get a 4X multiple. Anything over 50m is a win, considering it will drop less than 30% weekend two. This is not Star Wars. No one is waiting with bated breath for Aquaman. It's going to be a general audience film.
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Mon May 14, 2018 2:37 pm |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am Posts: 1742 Location: Calisota
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Re: Aqua-man OW < Black Panther OD
Only possible way this does 300M is that the December schedule looks relatively poor, and that Christmas can potentially turn a 50M grosser into a 100M one.
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Mon May 14, 2018 2:41 pm |
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