So after a number of "weaker than usual" Mays at the BO, it does look like we are in store for a strong month thanks to the three major tentpoles currently scheduled - Infinity War, Deadpool 2 and Solo.

This release slate mirrors 2007 when Spide-rman 3, Shrek the Third and Pirates of the Carribean 3 all opened in the same month - and hurt each other's total prospects to some extent.

Adjusted, these three total $1.292m

Spider-Man 3 $449,033,200
Shrek the Third $430,606,000
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $412,860,400


So the big question is - can 2018's MAY BIG THREE outgross 2007's MAY BIG THREE ADJUSTED?

It will be close.

Reviews and audience reception of this year's films should be stronger than the 2007 three but there is a risk of DP2 falling from the first one and Solo totally underwhelming.

Your thoughts?

Put me down for 2007 adjusted.

I'm for 2018 assuming IW makes close to 600.

I'm also thinking IW will cover almost half of that mark which will give 2018 the edge.

No. Y’all are over predicting Infinity War. It won’t crack 500m and the other two will do sub 350m domestic. 2007 easily.

If IW can't crack 500 wouldn't you guys consider that a disappointment to some degree? Yes it doesn't have the originality factor of the first Avengers but it does have a climactic event factor which Ultron didn't have as that was just another piece leading up to this. I expect a couple things. I want a 200+ opening and a 500+ gross hopefully closer to 6.

2018 ALL DA WAY!!!!!

I am thinking

$612m IW
$340m DP2
$400m Solo

My early prediction for all three

Infinity War - $500M
Deadpool 2 - $330M
Solo - $315M

I'm sure Fox did this for WW reasons - to distance DP2 from the world cup... That's also why Universal is releasing JW2 internationally two weeks earlier than domestic...

Makes sense

$510m Infinity War
$300m Deadpool 2
$260m Solo

Not quite.

$260m for Solo seems way too low. It's still an SW movie so I think the floor is $300m for it.

Well, Solo is treading uncharted ground. It is the fourth Star Wars movie in a succession of recently released Star Wars movies. That has never happened before. The original and prequel sets stopped at three movies. So anything is possible. And the early buzz is kind of flat. People are still interested to see just how bad this new Han Solo is. People will be searching for cracks this time. Giving the same drop off from R1 as TLJ had from TFA gives Solo a total of $350m, but that is providing it's well received, which I do not think it will be - whether that is because of the actor or the film being shit or nostalgia for Ford, who knows. But definitely looks like it will land in the $280-$360m range at this time. I'll narrow that down before release.

That range is still better than $260m

So final chance to pick a side.

I'm going with 2018. Banking on $650m+ from IW and a combined $650m between DP2 and Solo which is still achievable even though both of these could well and truly disappoint.

Note: Avengers may have moved to April but wills till consider it as part of the May BIG THREE.

Definitely staying with 2007 adjusted. Especially now that IW is no longer part of the "MAY BIG 3".

Maybe I should change the May BIG 3 to "Overboard, Deadpool 2, Solo"

It will be close. I think it will be within 100m over or under.

Yeah IW moving a week ahead takes away $300m+ total out of May 2018. I don't see this happening now

No this is still based on total gross of each - for purposes of this thread, will assume IW is still a May release.

yes it will be that close

Ah I c so we are cheating

Well then I go back to my initial group of May 2018.

2007, Don't see either DP2 or Solo grossing more than 375m and IW is technically now an April film so if we only count the second weekend going forward 2018 will fall short

2007, by less than $25 mil.