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 April 20-22 Predictions 

Will I Feel Pretty open north of 15m?
Yes 22%  22%  [ 2 ]
No 78%  78%  [ 7 ]
Total votes : 9

 April 20-22 Predictions 
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Hold the door!

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Post April 20-22 Predictions
I Feel Pretty- 12
Super Troopers 2- 4
Traffik- 7

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Last edited by zwackerm on Fri Apr 20, 2018 2:41 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Fri Apr 13, 2018 2:40 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
I FEEL PRETTY - 19.585 Million
SUPER TROOPERS 2 - 4.678 Million
TRAFFIK - 1.65 Million


Fri Apr 13, 2018 3:00 pm
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
I Feel Pretty - 13
Super Troopers 2 - 5
Traffik - 3


Sun Apr 15, 2018 9:22 pm
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April 20-22 Predictions

I Feel Pretty $9m
Super Troopers 2 $8m
Traffik $2m


Sun Apr 15, 2018 9:24 pm
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
This is a great weekend for Rampage, A Quiet Place, Blockers, and Truth or Dare to capitalise on the dearth of big new releases. All should see decent holds, and of course A Quiet Place's should be below 25%.


Sun Apr 15, 2018 9:27 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Agreed. You do need these empty weekends to help the holdovers, especially prior to a major four quadrant release.

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Sun Apr 15, 2018 9:53 pm
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
The shitty calm weekend before the storm

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Sun Apr 15, 2018 10:30 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Maybe Rampage can hold as well as Ready Player One week 2? Fingers crossed!


Sun Apr 15, 2018 10:47 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Given the good WoM I think Rampage will hold well but ofcourse all these movies will die the weekend after. As for the openers I am sure we will see a few turds.


Sun Apr 15, 2018 11:45 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Algren wrote:
This is a great weekend for Rampage, A Quiet Place, Blockers, and Truth or Dare to capitalise on the dearth of big new releases. All should see decent holds, and of course A Quiet Place's should be below 25%.


Then the weekend after Avengers is another dead weekend. Well, Overboard will probably open around 11 Million I'm thinking. But still nothing that will do any damage. I don't blame people for wanting to avoid Avengers though. I actually want to see all three openers more than Avengers :P.


Mon Apr 16, 2018 1:06 am
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
I'm most interested in Super Troopers 2. The original is kind of a massive cult classic. Even so, the audience is limited and if it's opening in only 2000 theaters, it probably won't hit double digits. I'd love to see it happen though.


Tue Apr 17, 2018 3:00 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
ST2 will bomb. I think it will be another Sgt. Stubby


Tue Apr 17, 2018 8:22 am
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
I saw a lot of my regular Facebook friends sharing the Super Troopers 2 news over the last year or so, although that excitement has seemed muted in the last couple months, so I'm not sure if it's paying off. I feel like the predictions here are still too low, though?


Tue Apr 17, 2018 10:48 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
ST2 will bomb. I think it will be another Sgt. Stubby


That's a really weird comparison lol. Not to mention it won't do anywhere near THAT little. I just think it's another comedy sequel coming out way too late. Yeah it has gained a big cult following but that never seems to pay off for movies happening this long after their originals. Should see a 4/20 boost on Friday though. Won't be surprised by a small drop Saturday.


Tue Apr 17, 2018 10:53 am
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
ST2 will bomb. I think it will be another Sgt. Stubby


That's a really weird comparison lol. Not to mention it won't do anywhere near THAT little. I just think it's another comedy sequel coming out way too late. Yeah it has gained a big cult following but that never seems to pay off for movies happening this long after their originals. Should see a 4/20 boost on Friday though. Won't be surprised by a small drop Saturday.


ST2 is hard to read. It has a way-too-late feel but the social media footprint is pretty strong.

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Tue Apr 17, 2018 11:01 am
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007
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Algren wrote:
This is a great weekend for Rampage, A Quiet Place, Blockers, and Truth or Dare to capitalise on the dearth of big new releases. All should see decent holds, and of course A Quiet Place's should be below 25%.


And Ready Player One

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Tue Apr 17, 2018 11:15 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
ST2 will bomb. I think it will be another Sgt. Stubby


That's a really weird comparison lol. Not to mention it won't do anywhere near THAT little. I just think it's another comedy sequel coming out way too late. Yeah it has gained a big cult following but that never seems to pay off for movies happening this long after their originals. Should see a 4/20 boost on Friday though. Won't be surprised by a small drop Saturday.


Just comparing to previous week's bomb that's all. I feel it will have similar PTA.


Tue Apr 17, 2018 12:49 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
ST2 will bomb. I think it will be another Sgt. Stubby


That's a really weird comparison lol. Not to mention it won't do anywhere near THAT little. I just think it's another comedy sequel coming out way too late. Yeah it has gained a big cult following but that never seems to pay off for movies happening this long after their originals. Should see a 4/20 boost on Friday though. Won't be surprised by a small drop Saturday.


ST2 is hard to read. It has a way-too-late feel but the social media footprint is pretty strong.


It's a sequel to cult favourite movie. The social media footprint is bound to be strong.


Tue Apr 17, 2018 12:51 pm
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
I swear I Feel Pretty came out of nowhere. I had no idea there was a new Amy Schumer comedy coming out, particularly compared to the enormous promotional campaigns for Trainwreck (successfully) and Snatched (not so much). Maybe I am just on the wrong wavelength.

Super Troopers 2 might have a decent opening day because of a hyper-specific niche fan base and the 4/20 synergy (the first movie to try to capitalize on this since the excellent Bob Marley documentary six years ago), but it will then fall from the face of the earth.

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Tue Apr 17, 2018 11:27 pm
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
David wrote:
I swear I Feel Pretty came out of nowhere. I had no idea there was a new Amy Schumer comedy coming out


I got the same feeling.


Tue Apr 17, 2018 11:39 pm
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
I could see Super Troopers getting a $4m opening day, maybe $4.20m if the studio gets cute. Even with that, it will still end up under $20m total. Probably way under.


Wed Apr 18, 2018 12:02 am
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
David wrote:
I swear I Feel Pretty came out of nowhere. I had no idea there was a new Amy Schumer comedy coming out, particularly compared to the enormous promotional campaigns for Trainwreck (successfully) and Snatched (not so much). Maybe I am just on the wrong wavelength.


That's so weird. Did you just notice it this week? I get the trailer with everything at my theater.


Wed Apr 18, 2018 12:47 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
We got the trailers for IFP 2 weeks back but I agree what David is saying, given that Schumer is becoming famous, it could have benefited from a better promotion.


Wed Apr 18, 2018 1:20 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
The move from June 29th to April 27th happened in the middle of February though, and then it moved up again but just a week earlier. Trailer didn't release until February. I've seen tons of promotion since then though. It should be enough for it to do solid business.


Wed Apr 18, 2018 2:14 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: April 20-22 Predictions
Didn't realize that it moved from June to April. I wonder why? It could still have done well in June.


Wed Apr 18, 2018 3:28 am
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