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| KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - FINAL RESULTS http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=84184 |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Thu Aug 09, 2018 11:16 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
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| Author: | moviegeek151 [ Thu Aug 09, 2018 9:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Wow, I'm shocked I'm doing so well, seeing as how some of my predictions were absolute trash. (See Uncle Drew and Tag) That 20 point bonus isn't going to anyone this Summer though, with M:I sure to land at 5. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Aug 10, 2018 8:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Yes MI6 has that #5 position pretty much locked up unless it falls very heavily in face of Meg. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Aug 12, 2018 9:56 pm ] |
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Weekly Ranking for Aug 12  Total Gross Projections Ant-Man and the Wasp - $215 million Avengers: Infinity War - $679 million Book Club - $68.7 million Breaking In - $46.383 million Christopher Robin - $80 million Deadpool 2 - $318.6 million The Equalizer 2 - $102 million The First Purge - $69.6 million Hereditary - $44.1 million Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $160 million Incredibles 2 - $601 million Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $414 million Life of the Party - $52.856 million Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - $116 million The Meg - $120 million Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $225 million Ocean's 8 - $139 million Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $50.4 million Skyscraper - $68.1 million Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.1 million The Spy Who Dumped Me - $34 million Tag - $54.4 million Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - $27.5 million Uncle Drew - $42.4 million Current Top 5 1. Avengers: Infinity War - $678.4 million 2. Incredibles 2 - $589.9 million 3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $409.6 million 4. Deadpool 2 - $318.1 million 5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.3 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions #1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper, the combination of Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
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| Author: | David [ Thu Aug 16, 2018 5:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Adrift is not a very impressive winner of question no. 10, gross-wise. I wonder if the final answer will end up being The Happytime Murders or Mile 22. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Thu Aug 16, 2018 7:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
I'm shocked it's held that question that long. You're right though - it's gotta be Happytime Murders or Mile 22 that takes it. |
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| Author: | Price [ Fri Aug 17, 2018 10:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Movies over $200 million should be six. It's missing Ant-Man and the Wasp and Incredibles 2. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Aug 19, 2018 5:55 pm ] |
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Weekly Ranking for Aug 19  Total Gross Projections Ant-Man and the Wasp - $215 million Avengers: Infinity War - $679 million Book Club - $68.566 million Breaking In - $46.383 million Christopher Robin - $85 million Crazy Rich Asians - $85 million Deadpool 2 - $318.6 million The Equalizer 2 - $101 million The First Purge - $69.1 million Hereditary - $44.1 million Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $162 million Incredibles 2 - $601 million Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $414 million Life of the Party - $52.856 million Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - $119 million The Meg - $120 million Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $215 million Ocean's 8 - $139 million Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $50.1 million Skyscraper - $67.7 million Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.9 million The Spy Who Dumped Me - $34 million Tag - $54.4 million Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - $28.7 million Uncle Drew - $42.4 million Current Top 5 1. Avengers: Infinity War - $678.6 million 2. Incredibles 2 - $594.1 million 3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $411.8 million 4. Deadpool 2 - $318.3 million 5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.5 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions #1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper, the combination of Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Aug 19, 2018 7:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Possible changes in the top 10 ranking we can forecast: TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS: Ant-Man and the Wasp 10% CHANCE -Ant-Man and the Wasp passes $220 million. Biggestgeekever lose 3 points. TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS: Christopher Robin 40% CHANCE -Christopher Robin grosses between $87.5 million and $100 million. Biggestgeekever, MGKC, and Chippy gain 3 points. SolC9 loses 3 points. 10% CHANCE -Christopher Robin grosses between $70.751 million and $81.999 million. Scoobydelite loses 3 points. TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS: Crazy Rich Asians 10% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses between $74.01 million and $79.999 million. Zwackerm and Rev lose 3 points. 30% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses between $80 million and $84.999 million. Zwackerm loses 3 points. 30% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses between $85.001 million and $97 million. Vanilla loses 3 points. 15% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses between $97.001 million and $103 million. Vanilla and scoobydelite lose 3 points. 8% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses between $103.001 million and $119.999 million. Vanilla, MGKC, and scoobydelite lose 3 points. 6% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses between $120 million and $126.99 million. Chippy gains 3 points. Vanilla, MGKC, and scoobydelite lose 3 points. 2% CHANCE -Crazy Rich Asians grosses $127 million or more. Biggestgeekever and Chippy gain 3 points. Vanilla, MGKC, and scoobydelite lose 3 points. TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS: The Equalizer 2 2% CHANCE -The Equalizer 2 grosses $107.501 million or more. Star Lord loses 3 points. TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS: Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom 10% CHANCE -Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom grosses between $415 million and $424.5 million. Biggestgeekever loses 3 points. TOTAL GROSS PREDICTIONS: Mission: Impossible - Fallout 30% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout grosses between $200 million and $212.499 million. Vanilla and SolC9 lose 3 points. 30% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout grosses between $219.5 million and $224.499 million. Biggestgeekever gains 3 points. 10% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout grosses between $224.5 million and $229.999 million. Biggestgeekever and Star Lord gain 3 points. 8% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout grosses between $224.5 million and $229.999 million. Biggestgeekever and Star Lord gain 3 points. 2% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout grosses exactly $230 million. Biggestgeekever, Star Lord, and Rev gain 3 points. 3% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout grosses between $230.001 million and $248.499 million. Biggestgeekever, Star Lord, and Rev gain 3 points. Chippy loses 3 points. TOP 5 PREDICTIONS 60% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout passes Solo and Ant-Man and the Wasp's total gross to rank as the #5 movie of the summer. Biggestgeekever and zwackerm lose 20 points. Vanilla, MGKC, and Star Lord lose 1 point. 40% CHANCE -Ant-Man and the Wasp passes Solo's total gross to rank as the #5 movie of the summer. Mission: Impossible - Fallout doesn't pass Ant-Man and the Wasp's total gross. Moviegeek151 gain 1 point. Biggestgeekever and zwackerm lose 20 points. Vanilla, MGKC, and Star Lord lose 1 point. BOX OFFICE QUESTION #3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew? 100% CHANCE The Spy Who Dumped Me gets closer to Uncle Drew in total gross, instead of Uncle Drew getting closest to Tag. Biggestgeekever and Rev gain 2 points. Moviegeek151 and Vanilla lose 2 points. BOX OFFICE QUESTION #5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, The Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado? 95% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout passes $207.5 million. Hotel Transylvania 3 grosses between $158.75 million and $180.75 million, making its gross closer to Hotel Transylvania 2 than Sicario: Day of the Soldado was to Sicario. Star Lord and scoobydelite gain 2 points. Moviegeek151 loses 2 points. BOX OFFICE QUESTION #7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? 2% CHANCE -Mile 22 loses more than 2,136 theaters in its 3rd weekend. (Box Office Question #7) Star Lord gains 2 points. BOX OFFICE QUESTION #8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 40% CHANCE -The Meg is the final movie to pass $100 million. The Equalizer 2 and Crazy Rich Asians do not. Zwackerm gain 2 points. Star Lord, scoobydelite, and Rev lose 2 points. 40% CHANCE -The Meg and The Equalizer 2 pass $100 million. Crazy Rich Asians does not. MGKC and SolC9 gain 2 points. Star Lord, scoobydelite, and Rev lose 2 points. 30% CHANCE -The Meg, The Equalizer 2, and Crazy Rich Asians pass $100 million. Chippy gains 2 points. Star Lord, scoobydelite, and Rev lose 2 points. BOX OFFICE QUESTION #9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 100% CHANCE -Mission: Impossible - Fallout passes $200 million. Biggestgeekever, moviegeek151, Vanilla, Star Lord, Rev, SolC9, and Chippy gain 2 points. MGKC, zwackerm, and scoobydelite lose 2 points. BOX OFFICE QUESTION #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 2% CHANCE -Alpha passes $31.4 million. No other movie that wasn't predicted passes $31.4 million. Vanilla gains 2 points. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Mon Aug 20, 2018 1:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
RIP to SolC9, Price, David, Algren, nghtvsn, and Jack Sparrow. Crazy Rich Asians outgrossed their TOTAL predictions in its Opening Weekend. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Mon Aug 20, 2018 3:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Predictions like 10 and 20 Million total were just nuts in the first place  .
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Aug 20, 2018 7:30 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Me and Jack Sparrow deserve a break. We're not US-based, and have a much harder time judging its popularity and the book's buzz. 
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| Author: | i.hope [ Mon Aug 20, 2018 8:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
The Darkest Minds broke the record for the BIGGEST THEATER DROPS (-2,679) ever for wide releases in their third weekend. It is almost locked for Question #7. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Aug 20, 2018 8:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
I think I chose that. If not, then it was on my shortlist. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Mon Aug 20, 2018 9:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
i.hope wrote: The Darkest Minds broke the record for the BIGGEST THEATER DROPS (-2,679) ever for wide releases in their third weekend. It is almost locked for Question #7. Good call - I missed that one. |
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| Author: | David [ Tue Aug 21, 2018 3:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Magic Mike wrote: Predictions like 10 and 20 Million total were just nuts in the first place .I will completely admit I did not understand the film and its apparently enormous appeal. It seemed niche to me. |
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| Author: | O [ Sat Aug 25, 2018 3:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
CRA could pass MI. That would be something. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Aug 25, 2018 12:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Well I'm definitely lose those CRA points and wind up near the bottom. By far my worst game ever, though I don't think my predictions were all that bad .. except for The Spy Who Dumped Me. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Sat Aug 25, 2018 12:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
*double post |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sat Aug 25, 2018 1:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
I'll take those CRA points! |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sun Aug 26, 2018 3:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
So Mile 22 should be the answer to #10. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sun Aug 26, 2018 5:24 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Oh yay. I chose that. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Aug 26, 2018 12:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Magic Mike wrote: So Mile 22 should be the answer to #10. Nope, BlackKklansman will likely be. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Aug 26, 2018 12:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
Lol @ the initial projection for CRA. Wish I did this one. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Mon Aug 27, 2018 2:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug |
MGKC wrote: Magic Mike wrote: So Mile 22 should be the answer to #10. Nope, BlackKklansman will likely be. Oh yep. Forgot about that. |
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