World of KJ
http://worldofkj.com/forum/

KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - FINAL RESULTS
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=84184		 Page 8 of 10
Author:  Algren [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 1:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Proud Ryu wrote:
Algren wrote:
Since nobody has ever predicted the top 5 correctly, it's obviously something that is difficult to get right, and so I think it's fine to be rewarded for that with a 15 point bonus.


It's still harder in general to predict a specific number in than a rank.


Obviously not, otherwise it would have happened before. People have got all the films in the top 5 right before, but never in the right order.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 10:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Algren wrote:
Proud Ryu wrote:
Algren wrote:
Since nobody has ever predicted the top 5 correctly, it's obviously something that is difficult to get right, and so I think it's fine to be rewarded for that with a 15 point bonus.


It's still harder in general to predict a specific number in than a rank.


Obviously not, otherwise it would have happened before. People have got all the films in the top 5 right before, but never in the right order.


Say you got the top 5 order right but guessed 100 million over each of their actuals and missed them all individually - I'd be a lot more impressed by the person who won all 5 movies individually but missed the order of them. There's a bigger element of luck than skill in nailing the exact order that accounts for the rarity.
Author:  Algren [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 11:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
History of the game shows you that isn't true. Thirty box office predictors try to guess the top 5 each game and none of them have done it yet. Because of luck? No. Because it's very difficult to get it right.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 3:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
If Ant-Man doesn't beat Solo that's very lucky for zwack and biggestgeek as it's gonna be close.
Author:  MGKC [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 4:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Either way, we're obviously going to give them the promised 15-point bonus for this game, as it is going to be a momentous accomplishment. :)


I do think some bonus for a perfect top 5 is justified, but I am also wanting to give people credit for putting a movie in their predicted top 5 that does make the top 5, but not necessarily in the right order.

So:
1 pt per predicted Top 5 movie that does end up in the actual Top 5
1 pt per correctly predicted rank for a Top 5 movie
5 pt bonus for a perfect Top 5

So let's say in a future game, the actual top 5 was:
#1: Star Wars Episode XIV - $900 million
#2: Avatar: Never Too Late - $750 million
#3: Avengers: Be Avengin' - $700 million
#4: Spider-Man: Prom - $700 million
#5: The Quietest Place - $200 million

Some examples of what players would score based on their top 5 prediction:

Jason
#1: Avatar: Never Too Late (1 pt)
#2: Star Wars Episode XIV (1 pt)
#3: Avengers: Be Avengin' (2 pts)
#4: Spider-Man: Prom (2 pts)
#5: The Quietest Place (2 pts)
BONUS: 0 pts

Alex
#1: Avatar: Never Too Late (1 pt)
#2: Star Wars Episode XIV (1 pt)
#3: Spider-Man: Prom (1 pt)
#4: Avengers: Be Avengin' (1 pt)
#5: Space Jam 2 (0 pts)
BONUS: 0 pts

Ander
#1: Star Wars Episode XIV (2 pts)
#2: Avatar: Never Too Late (2 pts)
#3: Avengers: Be Avengin' (2 pts)
#4: Spider-Man: Prom (2 pts)
#5: The Quietest Place (2 pts)
BONUS: 5 pts
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 5:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
That's perfect. Spider-man Prom got 699.8 and just missed Black Panther!
Author:  Biggestgeekever [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 6:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
I'd love to actually win this time, but I think ya'll are discounting M:I Fallout big time.
Author:  Chippy [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 6:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Biggestgeekever wrote:
I'd love to actually win this time, but I think ya'll are discounting M:I Fallout big time.


Yep, with great reviews, it could surpass both Solo and Ant-Man.
Author:  zwackerm [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 6:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Chippy wrote:
Biggestgeekever wrote:
I'd love to actually win this time, but I think ya'll are discounting M:I Fallout big time.


Yep, with great reviews, it could surpass both Solo and Ant-Man.

Rogue Nation had great reviews and missed 200m. I see no reason for this to increase.
Author:  Algren [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 7:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
MGKC, looks good. :thumbsup:
Author:  i.hope [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 7:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Christopher Robin and Mission Impossible: Fallout have a chance at #5.
Author:  Algren [ Thu Jul 12, 2018 7:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
The M:I franchise just has a ceiling, and that's around $220m. It indeed does look excellent, but it would need to be extra special to shatter that. And it's opening at the end of July. If it opened at the start, maybe.
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Jul 15, 2018 11:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for July 15

Image

Total Gross Projections
Ant-Man and the Wasp - $190 million
Avengers: Infinity War - $678 million
Book Club - $68.3 million
Breaking In - $46.383 million
Deadpool 2 - $318 million
The First Purge - $65 million
Hereditary - $43.9 million
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $160 million
Incredibles 2 - $585 million
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $395 million
Life of the Party - $52.59 million
Ocean's 8 - $138 million
Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $51 million
Skyscraper - $75 million
Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.5 million
Tag - $54.2 million
Uncle Drew - $41 million

Current Top 5
1. Avengers: Infinity War - $676.0 million
2. Incredibles 2 - $535.8 million
3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $363.3 million
4. Deadpool 2 - $316.3 million
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $211.9 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
  • Avengers: Infinity War (currently $676.0 million)

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper, the combination of Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin?
  • The combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper (currently $341.7 million)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew?
  • Tag and Uncle Drew (currently within $14.7 million of each other)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation (currently -73.2%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Sicario: Day of the Soldado (currently -7.9%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Book Club (currently $67.7 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Hotel Artemis (-2,136 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Seven (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Incredibles 2, Ocean's 8, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Ant-Man and the Wasp)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • Five (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Adrift (currently $31.2 million)
Author:  MGKC [ Sun Jul 22, 2018 12:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for July 22

Those with the big top 5 bonus are no longer assured a spot in the top 2...

Image

Total Gross Projections
Ant-Man and the Wasp - $200 million
Avengers: Infinity War - $678 million
Book Club - $68.3 million
Breaking In - $46.383 million
Deadpool 2 - $318 million
The Equalizer 2 - $101 million
The First Purge - $69 million
Hereditary - $43.9 million
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $160 million
Incredibles 2 - $590 million
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $413 million
Life of the Party - $52.59 million
Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - $100 million
Ocean's 8 - $139 million
Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $51 million
Skyscraper - $65 million
Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.5 million
Tag - $54.2 million
Uncle Drew - $42.5 million

Current Top 5
1. Avengers: Infinity War - $676.8 million
2. Incredibles 2 - $557.3 million
3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $383.9 million
4. Deadpool 2 - $317.1 million
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $212.4 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
  • Avengers: Infinity War (currently $676.8 million)

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper, the combination of Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin?
  • The combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper (currently $363.9 million)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew?
  • Tag and Uncle Drew (currently within $$12.8 million of each other)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! (currently -76.2%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Sicario: Day of the Soldado (currently +0.4%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Book Club (currently $68.2 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Hotel Artemis (-2,136 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Seven (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Incredibles 2, Ocean's 8, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Ant-Man and the Wasp)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • Five (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Adrift (currently $31.3 million)
Author:  Magic Mike [ Sun Jul 22, 2018 1:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
No way Equalizer makes more than Mamma Mia total. It has way too much competition coming up.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Mon Jul 23, 2018 11:00 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
This weekend will be big - will mostly tell the story of whether Solo will remain in the top 5 or not.
Author:  zwackerm [ Mon Jul 23, 2018 4:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Excited to predict the next game with no Marvel or Star Wars to make things obvious. It will be between Mary Poppins, Aquaman and Wreck-It Ralph to win the season, with Fantastic Beasts and the Grinch as potential upsets.
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Tue Jul 31, 2018 11:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
If MI6 gets MI5's multiplier it will just barely beat Solo, which is entirely possible since it's the most liked and best reviewed one in the series.

Ant-Man 2 survived its biggest test nicely by dropping less than 50%, so it could also coast along and just edge out Solo.

Will be fun to watch.
Author:  zwackerm [ Tue Jul 31, 2018 3:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Almost time for the new game?
Author:  Chippy [ Wed Aug 01, 2018 4:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
I have AM&TW finishing at about $215 mil.
Author:  MGKC [ Fri Aug 03, 2018 11:53 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for July 29

Apologies for the late update! Biggestgeekever's lead shrinks even further....

Image

Total Gross Projections
Ant-Man and the Wasp - $210 million
Avengers: Infinity War - $678 million
Book Club - $68.51 million
Breaking In - $46.383 million
Deadpool 2 - $318 million
The Equalizer 2 - $92 million
The First Purge - $69 million
Hereditary - $43.9 million
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $154 million
Incredibles 2 - $590 million
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $413 million
Life of the Party - $52.9 million
Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - $110 million
Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $200 million
Ocean's 8 - $139 million
Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $50.7 million
Skyscraper - $67 million
Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.1 million
Tag - $54.2 million
Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - $25 million
Uncle Drew - $42.5 million

Current Top 5
1. Avengers: Infinity War - $677.6 million
2. Incredibles 2 - $572.9 million
3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $397.5 million
4. Deadpool 2 - $317.7 million
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $212.7 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
  • Avengers: Infinity War (currently $677.6 million)

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper, the combination of Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin?
  • The combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper (currently $376.8 million)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew?
  • Tag and Uncle Drew (currently within $$12.2 million of each other)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Mission: Impossible - Fallout (currently -68.6%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Sicario: Day of the Soldado (currently +3.9%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (currently $70.5 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Hotel Artemis (-2,136 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Eight (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Incredibles 2, Ocean's 8, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • Five (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Adrift (currently $31.4 million)
Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Aug 06, 2018 4:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Spy Who Dumped Me may be my worst prediction ever in this game. Comedies are not having a good time in 2018.
Author:  BK [ Wed Aug 08, 2018 3:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Jul
Getting absolutely crushed now haha.
Author:  MGKC [ Wed Aug 08, 2018 8:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weekly Ranking for Aug 5

Image

Total Gross Projections
Ant-Man and the Wasp - $215 million
Avengers: Infinity War - $679 million
Book Club - $68.7 million
Breaking In - $46.383 million
Christopher Robin - $90 million
Deadpool 2 - $318.6 million
The Equalizer 2 - $98 million
The First Purge - $70.1 million
Hereditary - $44.4 million
Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation - $160 million
Incredibles 2 - $601 million
Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $414 million
Life of the Party - $52.856 million
Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again! - $115 million
Mission: Impossible - Fallout - $225 million
Ocean's 8 - $139 million
Sicario: Day of the Soldado - $50.4 million
Skyscraper - $68.1 million
Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.1 million
The Spy Who Dumped Me - $31 million
Tag - $54.4 million
Teen Titans Go! To The Movies - $27.5 million
Uncle Drew - $42.4 million

Current Top 5
1. Avengers: Infinity War - $678.1 million
2. Incredibles 2 - $583.1 million
3. Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom - $405.6 million
4. Deadpool 2 - $318.0 million
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.0 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
  • The combination of Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout

#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper, the combination of Solo: A Star Wars Story and Christopher Robin?
  • The combination of Deadpool 2 and Skyscraper (currently $382.5 million)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Crazy Rich Asians, The Spy Who Dumped Me, Tag, or Uncle Drew?
  • Tag and Uncle Drew (currently within $12.0 million of each other)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (currently -37.8%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Sicario: Day of the Soldado (currently +4.9%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Mamma Mia! Here We Go Again (currently $91.2 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Hotel Artemis (-2,136 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Nine (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Incredibles 2, Ocean's 8, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Ant-Man and the Wasp, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, Mission: Impossible - Fallout)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • Five (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, Solo: A Star Wars Story, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Adrift (currently $31.4 million)
Author:  Algren [ Wed Aug 08, 2018 8:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update Aug
I must do better in the next game. Absolutely dreadful.
Page 8 of 10 All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ]
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group
http://www.phpbb.com/