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 March 23-25 Predictions 

What will be number 2?
Pacific Rim 40%  40%  [ 4 ]
Black Panther 30%  30%  [ 3 ]
Tomb Raider 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Sherlock Gnomes 30%  30%  [ 3 ]
Other 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 10

 March 23-25 Predictions 
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Post March 23-25 Predictions
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Midnight Sun- 4
Pacific Rim Uprising- 19
Paul, Apostle of Christ- 6
Sherlock Gnomes- 16


Fri Mar 16, 2018 2:34 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
ITZ A BOMB!!


Fri Mar 16, 2018 11:32 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Sherlock Gnomes- 17
Pacific Rim Uprising- 15
Paul, Apostle of Christ- 9
Midnight Sun- 5

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Sat Mar 17, 2018 1:03 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Gnomes - $20m - I remember the first one took us by surprise, and we haven’t had a film for young children since Peter Rabbit/Early Man
Pacific Rim 2 - $12.5m - I have a thread about this


Sat Mar 17, 2018 1:10 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Gnomes are not breaking out though I do see them doing high-teens

Pacific Rim looks like a non-event though I think it has a slight chance of $20m opening.

Mignight Sun - $8m

Paul, Apostle of Christ- $9m


Sat Mar 17, 2018 4:19 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
You forgot Unsane.

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Sat Mar 17, 2018 7:51 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Paul, Apostle of Christ is this Spring's The Young Messiah. I Can Only Imagine breaking out big time kills this one. That movie will expand and should hold really, really well. I'm expecting a leggy run. Won't be much audience left for Paul.

Sherlock has fairly funny trailers and there hasn't been an animated film in quite some time. This is opening at the right time just like the first did.

A lot of bombs coming this weekend.

PACIFIC RIM: UPRISING - 20.18 MILLION
SHERLOCK GNOMES - 20.088 MILLION
MIDNIGHT SUN - 4.072 MILLION
PAUL, APOSTLE OF CHRIST - 3.825 MILLION
UNSANE - 3 MILLION
ISLE OF DOGS - 1.215 MILLION
($50,000 theater average)


Sat Mar 17, 2018 2:34 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Paul, Apostle of Christ will also suffer for being an actual Biblical movie. In a type of diet-Cecil B. DeMille sand-and-sandals way. Excepting The Passion of the Christ as an anomalous cultural phenomenon, modern Evangelical audiences seems much more drawn to contemporary melodramas overlaid with right-wing sermonizing and Cracker Barrel folksiness (the God's Not Dead formula).

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Sat Mar 17, 2018 9:56 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
David wrote:
Paul, Apostle of Christ will also suffer for being an actual Biblical movie. In a type of diet-Cecil B. DeMille sand-and-sandals way. Excepting The Passion of the Christ as an anomalous cultural phenomenon, modern Evangelical audiences seems much more drawn to contemporary melodramas overlaid with right-wing sermonizing and Cracker Barrel folksiness (the God's Not Dead formula).


True. Risen did decent. That would have been great for Paul but no way it comes anywhere near that film.


Sat Mar 17, 2018 11:07 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Really hoping Uprising bombs and grosses less than half of the original.


Sun Mar 18, 2018 7:46 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
David wrote:
Paul, Apostle of Christ will also suffer for being an actual Biblical movie. In a type of diet-Cecil B. DeMille sand-and-sandals way. Excepting The Passion of the Christ as an anomalous cultural phenomenon, modern Evangelical audiences seems much more drawn to contemporary melodramas overlaid with right-wing sermonizing and Cracker Barrel folksiness (the God's Not Dead formula).


True. Risen did decent. That would have been great for Paul but no way it comes anywhere near that film.


I was surprised the theater estimate is only 1,400. That's not much confidence from Sony. I actually thought it would be another Risen.

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Sun Mar 18, 2018 1:56 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
David wrote:
Paul, Apostle of Christ will also suffer for being an actual Biblical movie. In a type of diet-Cecil B. DeMille sand-and-sandals way. Excepting The Passion of the Christ as an anomalous cultural phenomenon, modern Evangelical audiences seems much more drawn to contemporary melodramas overlaid with right-wing sermonizing and Cracker Barrel folksiness (the God's Not Dead formula).


True. Risen did decent. That would have been great for Paul but no way it comes anywhere near that film.


I was surprised the theater estimate is only 1,400. That's not much confidence from Sony. I actually thought it would be another Risen.


It would have been possible but ICOI killed any chance of that happening. As expected it's expanding next weekend north of 2,000 theaters.


Sun Mar 18, 2018 3:25 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Pacific Rim Uprising - 20
Sherlock Gnomes - 14
Paul, Apostle of Christ - 6
Midnight Sun - 4
Unsane - 2


Sun Mar 18, 2018 8:32 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
1. PACIFIC RIM: UPRISING - 20.18 MILLION (New)
2. SHERLOCK GNOMES - 20.088 MILLION (New)
3. BLACK PANTHER - 19.455 MILLION (-27%)
4. I CAN ONLY IMAGINE - 14.025 MILLION (-18%)
5. TOMB RAIDER - 11.343 MILLION (-52%)
6. LOVE, SIMON - 9.169 MILLION (-22%)
7. A WRINKLE IN TIME - 8.453 MILLION (-48%)
8. GAME NIGHT - 4.257 MILLION (-24%)
9. MIDNIGHT SUN - 4.072 MILLION (New)
10. PAUL, APOSTLE OF CHRIST - 3.825 MILLION (New)
11. PETER RABBIT - 3.693 MILLION (-29%)
12. UNSANE - 3 MILLION (New)
13. RED SPARROW - 2.492 MILLION (-45%)
14. STRANGERS: PREY AT NIGHT - 2.115 MILLION (-55%)
15. DEATH WISH - 1.65 MILLION (-51%)
16. ISLE OF DOGS - 1.2 MILLION (New)


Tue Mar 20, 2018 12:30 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Not steep enough for Strangers: Prey at Night.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:24 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Not steep enough for Strangers: Prey at Night.


Again with that? :funny: You were wrong last time, and you'll probably be wrong again ;).


Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:34 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
I'm just kidding this time.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 2:11 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
1. PR2
2. BP

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Tue Mar 20, 2018 3:15 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Didn't realize that with a sub-30% drop for BP will still not be enough to top $20m. Either Gnomes or PR2 should get past $20m so I guess 6 weekends is not happening for BP.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 6:12 am
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
5 is enough.

6 weeks no longer proves how huge BP has been but rather highlights the poor state of the March box office.

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Tue Mar 20, 2018 6:42 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Pacific Rim has a predictably meh 41 on meta, but that 67% on rotten is surprising. If anyone on the fence was waiting for reviews that should be good enough.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 3:46 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
"IGN gave it a 6.5/10! Let's go!"


Tue Mar 20, 2018 4:24 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
5 is enough.

6 weeks no longer proves how huge BP has been but rather highlights the poor state of the March box office.


Yes I am happy too no need to expose the already pathetic March this year. Black Panther breaking out helped March otherwise it would have been a dismal month though it also gives chance for smaller movies to shine.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 8:51 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
5 is enough.

6 weeks no longer proves how huge BP has been but rather highlights the poor state of the March box office.

If Bland Panther did not exist, March would have been bigger. Everyone was just in overdrive on the BP-train. Ava would have had her big hit. Tomb Raider would've opened 50% higher. Game Night would have got a larger following. Instead of it all going to one film, it would have been spread (maybe not all of it, but enough to not make March seem so pathetic). People still want to attend the cinema.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 8:55 pm
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Post Re: March 23-25 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Pacific Rim has a predictably meh 41 on meta, but that 67% on rotten is surprising. If anyone on the fence was waiting for reviews that should be good enough.


Not bad considering all the factors against it, its still going to loose a lot of audience and I don't think 67% is good enough to change minds though I agree people on the fence might be interested to check it out.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 8:56 pm
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