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 March 9-11 Pedictions 

Will A Wrinkle in Time hit 50m OW?
Yes 6%  6%  [ 1 ]
No 94%  94%  [ 16 ]
Total votes : 17

 March 9-11 Pedictions 
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Post March 9-11 Pedictions
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Gringo- 6
The Strangers: Prey at Night- 8
The Hurricane Heist- 6
A Wrinkle in Time- 49

Black Panther- -45%


Last edited by zwackerm on Sat Mar 03, 2018 4:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:19 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Wrinkle's in a bit of trouble. No way it hits $50m. Nobody cares about the rest.

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Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:15 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
It better hit 50m :(

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Fri Mar 02, 2018 5:12 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
WRINKLE IN TIME - 43.8 Million
HURRICANE HEIST - 7.3 Million
STRANGERS 2 - 6.972 Million
GRINGO - 3.3 Million


Fri Mar 02, 2018 5:33 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
I think the tepid early word on Wrinkle will prevent it from passing 50m

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Fri Mar 02, 2018 7:39 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
MadGez wrote:
I think the tepid early word on Wrinkle will prevent it from passing 50m

There are no real reviews yet. Social media reactions are rarely reflective of real critical reactions.


Fri Mar 02, 2018 8:41 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
A Wrinkle in Time $27m


Fri Mar 02, 2018 10:23 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Wrinkle is getting no buzz whatsoever with less than a week left before opening will be lucky to get to $30m. Presales have been non existent and it hasn't entered the top ticket sales on MovieTickets.com


Sun Mar 04, 2018 12:42 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Everyone that watches the movie opening weekend will find a car key under their seat. :shades:


Sun Mar 04, 2018 3:16 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Yeah no way is WIT hitting $50M. I was already pessimistic about the movie before, because of the lackluster trailers, but that on top of the weak buzz and what's likely going to be very mixed reviews has me more than convinced its going to be another Tomorrowland/John Carter type misfire.

Wrinkle In Time - 35
Strangers 2 - 6
Hurricane Heist - 4
Gringo - 2


Sun Mar 04, 2018 4:15 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Black Panther- 44.1m
Wrinkle in Time- 35m
Strangers 2- 12m
Hurricane Heist- 3M
Gringo- 1.5m


Sun Mar 04, 2018 5:08 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Am I the only one seeing a $10 million potential for Heist?

I think it could be another small hit for Entertainment Studios.


Sun Mar 04, 2018 5:45 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
It is well past, but there was a time when a Strangers sequel might have done quite well. The first, I feel, is fairly well-regarded as a mainstream scary movie. But so much time has passed, and the Purge pictures have run with similar iconography and a catchier premise. (It annoys me how the voice-over in the TV spots just refers to it as "THE STRANGERS" again, with Prey at Night in tiny lettering.)

Gringo is the classic dark-action-comedy flop. Reminds me of a mid-2000s movie such as Lucky Number Slevin or Running Scared or last year's Free Fire. If it is a good movie, it can be a cult favorite down the road.

A Wrinkle in Time reminds me a bit of The BFG. Despite having the right ingredients (a few big stars, the Disney brand, a respected literary source, high-gloss fantasy imagery), I am not sure how -appealing- it is. And it feels caught in a bit of a grey zone: too intense and high-concept for children, too goofy for adults.

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Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:17 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
In the end Wrinkle perhaps opened TOO close to Black Panther. Disney a victim of its own success on this one. I think David's assessment is correct - it is indeed caught in that grey zone. I suspect a solid but underwhelming OW is on the cards with a total in the $80-$120m zone.

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Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:32 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
David wrote:
Gringo is the classic dark-action-comedy flop. Reminds me of a mid-2000s movie such as Lucky Number Slevin or Running Scared or last year's Free Fire. If it is a good movie, it can be a cult favorite down the road.


I don't get those vibes at all. I see it more like How I Spent My Summer Vacation or The Mexican.


Sun Mar 04, 2018 7:39 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
I meant more broadly, in terms of how it is entering the marketplace. Obviously it is similar to those in content and setting...the one is even called Get the Gringo in certain markets.

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Sun Mar 04, 2018 9:51 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
David wrote:
And it feels caught in a bit of a grey zone: too intense and high-concept for children, too goofy for adults.


Exactly - well said

Wrinkle - 39m
Strangers - 10


Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:45 am
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
I think AWIT should hit 40.

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Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:30 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
A Wrinkle in Time does seem like a movie that would have more walkups than presales at the very least.


Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:42 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Black Panther: $36m
A Wrinkle in Time: $30m
The Strangers Prey at Night: $10m

Disney's hyper aggressive marketing will save A Wrinkle in Time from a truly floptacular performance, but it's going to lose money.

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Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:51 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Wrinkle is in the top 5 on MT.


1. A WRINKLE IN TIME - 43.8 MILLION (New)
2. BLACK PANTHER - 39.1 MILLION (-41%)
3. RED SPARROW - 8.9 MILLION (-47%)
4. HURRICANE HEIST - 7.3 MILLION (New)
5. DEATH WISH - 7.155 MILLION (-45%)
6. STRANGERS: PREY AT NIGHT - 6.97 MILLION (New)
7. GAME NIGHT - 6.35 MILLION (-39%)
8. PETER RABBIT - 6.3 MILLION (-37%)
9. GRINGO - 3.3 MILLION (New)
10. THE SHAPE OF WATER - 3.2 MILLION (+119%)
11. ANNIHILATION - 3.196 MILLION (-43%)
12. JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE - 2.884 MILLION (-35%)
13. THE GREATEST SHOWMAN - 1.865 MILLION (-31%)
14. FIFTY SHADES FREED - 1.496 MILLION (-56%)

* THOROUGHBREDS - $948,000 (Using a 500 theater count - $1,896 average)


Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:37 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Based on the look of the trailer, A Wrinkle in Time is either visually challenging or visually challenged. It looks like something fresh and different from the rest of March blockbusters. But it is Disney, so I am leaning on "visually challenged".


Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:33 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
I knew A Wrinkle in Time would be difficult to adapt. But now it seems unfilmable after this seemingly failed attempt and the knowingly failed 2003 attempt.


Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:05 pm
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
AWIT already in top 5 on MT as of Monday night is a good sign


Tue Mar 06, 2018 8:22 am
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Post Re: March 9-11 Pedictions
Now its number 4 even on low price Tuesday. Looking good.,


Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:20 pm
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