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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club - FAILED
It is a reboot that nobody really asked for, and it's based on a computer game (which seriously limits its appeal and box office). Vikander is no Jolie - no star draw, not American, and not even a decent rack! And come on, the film just looks kind of 'throwaway' with a complete absence of a 'must-see' status, like Assassin's Creed (which would have died with less than $25m if not for Christmas). I do not even think the marketing for Tomb Raider is going for that whole feminist thing either, so I don't see it tapping into the recent female empowerment movement. It can even open to $17m+ and miss $45m (ala Max Payne, Resident Evil, Legion, Valerian, Need for Speed, Rambo, Speed Racer). CLUB CLOSED - 8th March 2018Who's with me? In - 5 Algren Passionate Thug MadGez Jack Sparrow Shack Joined Late: 1 Day Before ReleaseOut - 7 Rev - "50m+"stuffp - "I think it manages to go over"zwackerm - "more than Warcraft and Assassins Creed"Barrabás Dil - "$45-$50M"Jmart - "it gets to $60m"nghtvsn
Last edited by Algren on Wed Mar 21, 2018 3:40 am, edited 13 times in total.
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:58 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32083 Location: the last free city
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Out
It’ll do 50m+ Looks too good to not
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:00 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
In, not feeling this at all
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Fri Feb 23, 2018 11:45 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11185 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
I'm not sure, I think it will do less than Pacific Rim 2...and this club could be close, but I think it manages to go over even just, so OUT.
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Sat Feb 24, 2018 1:00 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20302 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
No it will do more than Warcraft and Assassins Creed.
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Sat Feb 24, 2018 2:29 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6129 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
This is definitely looking like a flop but I'm not sure it will flop THAT badly. Even the awful Tomb Raider sequel (not that the first was great) did more than that, and there's been like 15 years of inflation since.
_________________ .
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Sat Feb 24, 2018 3:20 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
This could definitely happen, especially if it opens under $20M. I see it going over though and finishing around $45-$50M domestic, so I'm OUT for now.
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Sat Feb 24, 2018 3:36 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21141 Location: Massachusetts
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Definitely more plausible than PR under $37m, but I think it gets to $60m.
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 1:41 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22646 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
I'm in.
Just cant see why this was made (other than perhaps overseas). Plus Jolie is too iconic in the role for this to be accepted so soon.
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:30 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Fuck Yes, MadGez!!!!
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 2:49 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36915
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
It looks atrocious and Jolie's replacement this soon won't go easy with fans/audience. Well why not, I'm IN!!
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 3:29 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
45 total. No way.
Out
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 9:47 am |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21141 Location: Massachusetts
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Jack Sparrow wrote: It looks atrocious and Jolie's replacement this soon won't go easy with fans/audience. Well why not, I'm IN!! The last one came out 15 years ago and made less than half of the original ($65m vs. $131m). I think you and MadGez (only because he used the word iconic) might be overestimating Jolie's appeal, at least in America. What's funny though is that my argument could easily be a plus for the "Out" argument. If people quickly lost interest in Lara Croft as a movie character with the biggest actress at the time at the helm, why are they going to start caring again all of a sudden?
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 11:52 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11185 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Aka Magnus is in
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 8:22 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Magnus wrote: if the film is trash Sounds like the sort of thing Jack Sparrow would say. This is a prediction site! Incorporate whether it's trash or not into your prediction!
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Mon Feb 26, 2018 8:51 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Ok, so this club is now closed. Tracking and reviews and stuff like that will come out soon, so not accepting new people.
Let's await the results. We have 4 IN, and 7 OUT.
In - 4 Algren, Passionate Thug, MadGez, Jack Sparrow
Out - 7 Rev, stuffp, zwackerm, Barrabás, Dil, Jmart, nghtvsn
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Wed Mar 07, 2018 11:49 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36915
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
So the film isn't trash and better than Jolie's version (both of them). But I still fell this won't do much as the appeal for the character isn't much. I do feel this will do really well in OS and make its budget, but domestically it will flop.
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Thu Mar 08, 2018 9:20 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Does anyone in the US know if this is tapping in to that female empowerment consciousness yet? I think that's key to its success. From what I can tell, it isn't...
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Thu Mar 08, 2018 10:58 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Hunger Games, Frozen, Star Wars, Wonder Woman, ... so yes.
I'm not sure that people need another girl shooting a bow and arrow, which is like every 3rd female led action movie it seems. But I think there is a desire for another treasure hunt type movie. And Vikander looks the part a lot more than so many female stars who do action roles. I don't think at this point anyone cares much about the Jolie legacy of this property.
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Fri Mar 09, 2018 11:16 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23695 Location: Classified
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Algren wrote: Does anyone in the US know if this is tapping in to that female empowerment consciousness yet? I think that's key to its success. From what I can tell, it isn't... Doesn’t seem like it, but I think there’s interest from the older male crowd that powered Jolie’s versions. Not as dependable an audience, but I can’t see it flopping this badly anymore. Especially with the underperformance of Wrinkle, the weak tracking of Ready Player One and the apathy felt towards Pacific Rim. $25m opening.
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Fri Mar 09, 2018 1:06 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Proud Ryu wrote: I don't think at this point anyone cares much about the Jolie legacy of this property. Agreed.
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Fri Mar 09, 2018 7:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67000
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
I know this is based off that Tomb Raider game where she doesn't use guns (I think), but her not using guns is a bit of a disappointment. And I only just realised it.
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Fri Mar 09, 2018 8:48 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21628 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
This looks Terrible, if it looked great maybe AC numbers.
I don't think it'll break 30 million.I'd be bold to say it doesn't even pass 14 that Transporter ReFuckeditup did. But I think it can still muster a 9-13 opening.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sat Mar 10, 2018 12:21 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11452
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
This feels really dated. Wonder Woman brought something new to the table and was fresh. This looks way too generic.
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Sat Mar 10, 2018 4:15 am |
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Lotan
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 5:25 pm Posts: 1222
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Re: Tomb Raider BELOW $45m Total Club
Algren wrote: I know this is based off that Tomb Raider game where she doesn't use guns (I think), but her not using guns is a bit of a disappointment. And I only just realised it. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aeB6WMA4cQM
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Sat Mar 10, 2018 5:14 am |
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