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 Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend record 
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Post Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend record
I have said in in the other thread before, but let's ake this claim official.

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:48 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
I wonder if RDJ will be upset about clearly not being the most popular hero

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:59 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Is this a club? If so I'm OUT

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:59 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Excel wrote:
I wonder if RDJ will be upset about clearly not being the most popular hero

He could give 2 fucks about it. He's still the highest paid actor in the MCU.

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 12:01 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
No. Y'all are gonna overpredict this like Civil War.


Sun Feb 18, 2018 1:44 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
It will be close but I don't think this opens to $250m+


Sun Feb 18, 2018 1:50 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
I want to wait and see what that second trailer looks like aswell as what those early pre-sales look like before I am even tempted to join this. Its going to be HUGE regardless though.


Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:01 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
New fans of Black Panther aren't going to flock to IW. They dgaf.

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:23 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Chippy wrote:
New fans of Black Panther aren't going to flock to IW. They dgaf.


I believe that is partly true, because not everybody who showed up to that movie will be interested in IW which is why I'm not so quick to join this club, but I also don't think its unreasonable to expect at least some won't be curious even if it is just a small portion. It does look like Wakanda plays a pretty significant role in the movie, and those who are big fans of the character might want to see it just for being able to revisit the world again.

Its just hard to tell how many though.


Sun Feb 18, 2018 4:34 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Well, the first weekend of May

SPIDER-MAN delivered the first $100m opening weekend
SPIDER-MAN 3 delivered the first $150m opening weekend
AVENGERS delivered the first $200m opening weekend
ergo
AVENGERS 3 has to deliver the first $250m opening weekend...

:)

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 5:57 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
By that logic this club is locked :funny:


Sun Feb 18, 2018 10:13 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
I think the floor for this is Ultron OPening weekend + Inflation - Minus the fight.


So around 205 million?

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Mon Feb 19, 2018 9:34 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
What's minus the fight?


Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:52 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Jack Sparrow wrote:
What's minus the fight?

Mayweather Pacquiao


Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:58 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Still no idea. A link maybe?


Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:02 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Still no idea. A link maybe?


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Floyd_May ... y_Pacquiao

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Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:03 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Guess I missed the battle of the century :P


Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:07 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Magnus wrote:
It needs a 20%+ jump in admissions from Ultron to do this. I think 10-15% is reasonable which is a 225m-235m weekend.


I'm in this range as well. I'm pretty sure that the Last Jedi's record for second highest grossing OW of all-time is definitely going down even if it only tops it by like $5M.


Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:30 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Marvel shouldn't put so much focus on Black Panther in IW's marketing, in my opinion. Sure, show him, but don't do a DC and plaster him as the central figure like Wonder Woman was for JL. They are too clever to do that. But it would be tempting. A lot of BP's attendees are showing up because it is a huge black blockbuster, not necessarily because it has anything to do with the MCU, and those won't show up for IW.


Tue Feb 20, 2018 9:06 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
It might need to beat the opening weekend record just to win the year. :ninja:


Wed Feb 21, 2018 12:07 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Yep this has to happen now for IW to win the year. This is looking more and more like WW and JL situation in terms of opening ofcourse on a bigger scale and not at all embarrassing situation here.


Wed Feb 21, 2018 4:09 am
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
I'm going to say In

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Wed Feb 21, 2018 3:41 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Yep this has to happen now for IW to win the year. This is looking more and more like WW and JL situation in terms of opening ofcourse on a bigger scale and not at all embarrassing situation here.


No it can also win the year with just the 2nd best OW ever. ;)
TFA will remain #1 :P

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Wed Feb 21, 2018 4:49 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
Magnus wrote:
Black Panther's performance really is immaterial to this IMO. If you look at the demo breakdowns for BP, its very obvious that so much of its audience isn't the typical MCU crowd. And as WW has shown us, you cannot expect that mainstream crowd to show up for a team-up movie. My sister hasn't seen a single MCU movie in theaters and saw BP and there is zero chance she sits through Infinity War.

The performances we need to use are Ultron and Civil War. It is clear that given the build-up and hype (The trailer view numbers really are insane), this will likely have higher admissions on OW than both those movies. But it's also clear that both those movies were hyped events as well so expecting a BIG jump in admissions is being hopeful.


Black Panther's performance will not be a major influence, but may be just enough to put it over the edge. See, with Wonder Woman, it was seen as a fluke because people were used to being underwhelmed with DCeU films. Black Panther is just enough film to strenghen the MCU brand. And I believe some folks who did find him badass in BP will want to see Infinity War. It will not be a big push, but maybe the few extra million it will need. There is no way this opens below The Last Jedi, I think. The hype is BIG.

Also, don't understimate the love for Guardians of the Galaxy. Adding them to the Avengers will have a bigger effect than Black Panther.

On top of that, I just expect it to be crazy frontloaded. I mean, those who actually want to see it, who would not want to see it opening day or at least opening weekend? To many it is perceived as the final culmination of the MCU. The whole thing building up to this.

I mean, it is Age of Ultron plus Doctor Strange, plus the Guardians, plus Black Panther, plus Ant-Man, plus Spider-Man. There is just no way they can top that in any near future. The only way they could pump up the hype a tiny bit more is if they flash Luke Cage, Daredevil and Jessica Jones in the marketing (but they are probably not in the film).

Opening Day - $115 million ($43 million from previews)
Opening Weekend - $250 million

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Wed Feb 21, 2018 7:46 pm
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Post Re: Avengers: Infinity War will top the opening weekend reco
I think the anticipation for IW is fever pitch and that BP's success will only help it (at least for OW). It could likely match BP's 4-day over 3 days.

From there it could still flirt with $600m so it just depends how high BP can go.

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Wed Feb 21, 2018 8:03 pm
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