| Author |
Message |
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
|
 Early Friday Estimates Quote: The first set of estimates are in, and they’re showing that Disney/Marvel’s Black Panther is headed toward a historic weekend with $200M-$205M over four-days, $175M over three. These figures do not come from Disney. The Ryan Coolger-directed, an co-written pic with Joe Robert Cole should post an estimated $72M today, with last night’s $25.2M previews repping 35% of that number.
Universal’s Fifty Shades Freed is estimated to take $5.5M today, -70% with a 4-day between $15M-$20M in second place. On the high end, this sends the threequel’s cume to $79M-plus.
Lionsgate/StudioCanal/Aardman’s family title Early Man is eyeing $1.1M today, $6.1M over four-days in its opening.
PureFlix’s sword and sandal movie Samson is looking at $750K for Friday, $2.6M over the four-day holiday.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:42 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates I do not believe Fifty Shades will end up in second this weekend. I think it will be Peter Rabbit but there's no estimate for that yet.
Very curious how Showman holds up. I think it will see a really great hold even with Black Panther. Will probably be the least hurt by Panther.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:45 pm |
|
|
|
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20341
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates That would be a great hold for 50 shades in the face of Black Panther. People must still be catching it for Valentine’s Day.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:47 pm |
|
|
|
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21882
Location: Places
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates OH
MAH
GAH
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:49 pm |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Men can go to Black Panther and women can go to Fifty Shades. Not that women aren't interested in Black Panther but it does have more male appeal, IMO.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:50 pm |
|
|
|
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21882
Location: Places
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates The next wave of superhero are clearly hitting their stride now. Wonder Woman, Thor, and now obviously BP will easily outgross Spider-man, Iron Man, Justice League, etc.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:58 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Should end up in the 75m-80m range today. I LOVE THIS!!!!
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:01 pm |
|
|
|
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21882
Location: Places
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Magnus wrote: Aquaman next right excel LOL  _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:06 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Excel wrote: Magnus wrote: Aquaman next right excel LOL Hahaha let’s just hope it’s a good movie first
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:08 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Would be terrible for Samson, placing it as possibly the lowest wide opener in President's Weekend history.
_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:08 pm |
|
|
|
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates This will pass up Insidious 4 as the highest grossing movie of 2018 in one day. Nice.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:27 pm |
|
|
|
i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Looking at the massive number Black Panther is pulling, Sony would be stupid not to use it to remind people of their own Spider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse coming in December.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:47 pm |
|
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23764
Location: Classified
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates If $72m is close to accurate, I’d say the mark to beat is Iron Man 3’s $174m. That would make Black Panther the biggest solo hero opener.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 5:54 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Flava'd vs The World wrote: If $72m is close to accurate, I’d say the mark to beat is Iron Man 3’s $174m. That would make Black Panther the biggest solo hero opener. Hope it beats it. Looking good so far
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:17 pm |
|
|
|
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13041
Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates
_________________
Nothing Compares 2 U
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:32 pm |
|
|
|
i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates
Great. Thinking $78m for Friday.
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:36 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Holding out hope for 80m 
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 6:46 pm |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates It’s almost 11pm in the east cost when’s the next update?
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
|
| Fri Feb 16, 2018 11:48 pm |
|
|
|
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Rev wrote: It’s almost 11pm in the east cost when’s the next update? Pandya down-graded a bit. 
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 12:33 am |
|
|
|
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23764
Location: Classified
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates $68m would be pretty weak considering the previews. Still an amazing number obviously and Iron Man 3 is still in play thanks to an inflated Sunday.
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:03 am |
|
|
|
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates I wonder what movie will take #1 from Black Panther? The first movie with a chance is A Wrinkle In Time. That should be able to but it's possible it won't.
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:06 am |
|
|
|
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Black Panther is now, I believe, only the second superhero movie to ever get an A+ from Cinemascore, after The Avengers. Well, third if you count Incredibles. So that's probably a good sign for legs?
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:25 am |
|
|
|
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates Jonathan wrote: Black Panther is now, I believe, only the second superhero movie to ever get an A+ from Cinemascore, after The Avengers. Well, third if you count Incredibles. So that's probably a good sign for legs? Shouldn't hurt it
_________________
Is it 2024 yet?
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 2:25 am |
|
|
|
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21882
Location: Places
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates TDK didn't get an A+ with what was obv the GOAT WOM? Acronyms FTW BTW
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 2:26 am |
|
|
|
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18872
Location: San Diego
|
Re: Early Friday Estimates 1..) Black Panther (DIS), 4,020 theaters / $76.6M Fri (includes $25.2M in previews) /3-day: $187.6M /4-day: $216M/Wk 1
2..) Peter Rabbit (SONY), 3,725 theaters / $4.2M Fri (-26%) /3-day: $17.7M (-29%) /4-day: $23M /Total: $54M/Wk 2
3..) Fifty Shades Freed (UNI), 3,768 theaters / $5.7M Fri (-69%)/3-day: $17.75M (-54%)/4-day: $20.2M/Total: $79.4M Wk 2
4..) Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (SONY), 2,800 theaters (-336) / $1.85M Fri /3-day: $8M (-20%)/4-day: $10.5M /Total:$380.2M/ Wk 9
5..) The 15:17 to Paris (WB), 3042 theaters / $2.1M Fri (-43%)/3-day: $8.5M (-32%)/4-day: $9.95M/Total: $27.7M/ Wk 2
6..) The Greatest Showman (FOX), 1,936 theaters (-437) / $1.3m Fri / 3-day: $5.7M (-11%)/4-day: $7M /Total: $156.4M/Wk 9
7..) Early Man (LG), 2,494 theaters / $858K Fri /3-day: $3.5M /4-day: $4.8M/Wk 1
8..) Maze Runner: Death Cure (FOX), 1,892 theaters (-1,031) / $659K Fri /3-day: $2.7M (-56%) /4-day: $3.3M/ Total: $54.8M/Wk 4
9..) The Post (FOX/DW), 1,050 theaters (-815) / $464K Fri /3-day:$1.96M (-46%)/4-day: $2.45M/Total: $77M/Wk 9
10..) Samson (PURE), 1,249 theaters / $642K Fri /3-day: $1.95M /4-day: $2.3M/Wk 1
Pretty darn good drops for most films, even 50 Shades.
Black Panther is gonna have an insane run.
|
| Sat Feb 17, 2018 4:36 am |
|
|
