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 Solo under $100m OW club | Victory! ...But at what cost? 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
Good thought. I'm still out. It should sneak past the mark with the help of holiday.


Thu Apr 26, 2018 1:26 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
Not sub 100 but sub Deadpool 2, which itself would have been unthinkable prior to Feb 2016.

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Thu Apr 26, 2018 2:25 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
People who join this club have no idea how big Star Wars fandom is. #sad lol

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Thu Apr 26, 2018 2:35 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
Rev wrote:
People who join this club have no idea how big Star Wars fandom is. #sad lol


TDK, TDKR and BVS average $190 million OW adjusted, and look what happened to Justice League.

Force Awakens, Rogue One and Last Jedi average $217 million OW adjusted, not that much higher. Solo is coming out after a polarizing entry, recasting an iconic character that they killed off (adding insult to injury) and coming out really soon after the last film.

The circumstances aren't that different.

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Thu Apr 26, 2018 2:53 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
BVS opened well, but was heavily hated, which is what wrecked JL. Last Jedi was generally liked. Evidenced by the cinemascores. And Solo will play more to the good will of the first 3 films. Despite how it looks, fans will want to see it at least to see how it ties into the cannon.

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Thu Apr 26, 2018 3:02 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
Barrabás wrote:
Rev wrote:
People who join this club have no idea how big Star Wars fandom is. #sad lol


TDK, TDKR and BVS average $190 million OW adjusted, and look what happened to Justice League.

Force Awakens, Rogue One and Last Jedi average $217 million OW adjusted, not that much higher. Solo is coming out after a polarizing entry, recasting an iconic character that they killed off (adding insult to injury) and coming out really soon after the last film.

The circumstances aren't that different.

Ha!!! :hahaha: @ that comparison

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Thu Apr 26, 2018 4:54 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
While there is some baggage with this entry I hardly think it is anywhere comparable to JL. Plus I agree the SW brand is still VERY strong and this was its preferred weekend before TFA kicked off the December slot. Being a holiday weekend will only help in this case.


Thu Apr 26, 2018 7:33 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
I'm not sure how JL performed so badly the opening weekend. It was coming off WW for heaven sakes but after watching it that opening night it just had to be terrible wom. I LOVED BVS MOS, SS was okay and I had no intention of watching that JL mess ever again in theatres. Even with all the fake fan polarization I think most SW fans will still show up if not general fans and that should be enough especially with the holiday weekend.

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Thu Apr 26, 2018 10:57 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Two days left to join!
JL performed bad because it was the sequel to BvS and that it looked like one. The trailers were crap and it lost the novelty of seeing three of their biggest superhero's in a crappy movie. The WoM impacted its legs.


Thu Apr 26, 2018 11:37 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED
Wow first BO projections are in the 170m start range, Disney is literally printing money right now. How soon before they buy/own all the studios.

http://deadline.com/2018/05/solo-a-star ... ssion=true


Thu May 03, 2018 12:08 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED
That's really huge. I thought it will do more than $100m 3-day but not much more this looks like it will do $140m+ 3-day.


Thu May 03, 2018 12:14 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED
#prayforthisclub

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Thu May 03, 2018 1:43 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED
Disney has proclaimed this a #Fail already

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Thu May 03, 2018 1:48 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED
I am still skeptical on this opening to $170m but $100m+ will happen for sure. I am thinking $120m 3-day and $145m 4-day


Thu May 03, 2018 8:41 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Yeah even though I'm not seeing this being that big I'd be really surprised if this opened under $100M at this point. That tracking would be off by a HUGE margin.


Last edited by Dil on Fri May 04, 2018 9:21 am, edited 1 time in total.



Fri May 04, 2018 9:18 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
It will open over $100m but tracking is too high. Thinking $125m 3-day right now.

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Fri May 04, 2018 9:20 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Tracking would need to be off by a little more than it was off for Justice League (which was tracking around $120m 3-day), which is exactly what I see happening. Still a firm believer in under $100m. Trailer views don't lie and it would be the same decrease that Revolutions had from Reloaded.

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Fri May 04, 2018 3:10 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Never underestimate the power of the force :lol:

#happystarwarsday #mtfbwy

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Fri May 04, 2018 6:08 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Yeah I dunno, months ago I thought this club had a chance due to terrible buzz / marketing. I'm swinging towards 'this will do well, soft for a Star Wars movie, but will still pull in LOTS of casual folk looking for fun.' Highest May grosser fasho. Maybe $420m total.

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Fri May 04, 2018 6:25 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
May and Memorial Day was the previous opening slot for SW movies so its not like this spot is not proven plus AIW's and BP have made people completely forget about TLJ at this point which will help this.


Fri May 04, 2018 8:16 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Apparently Fandango claims this sold more in 24 hours than BP did but can it keep that momentum.
Quote:
Tickets for “Solo: A Star Wars Story” went on sale Thursday night on Fandango, and presales have doubled those for “Black Panther” in the first 24 hours of their release.

According to the ticketing company, “Solo” had the second-best first day of presales of the year, behind only “Avengers: Infinity War.” “Infinity War” also doubled the numbers set by “Black Panther,” in addition to outpacing the last seven Marvel movies combined, including massive titles like “Thor: Ragnarok,” “Spider-Man: Homecoming,” “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2,” and “Captain America: Civil War.”


old article-->http://deadline.com/2018/01/black-panther-advance-ticket-sales-record-fandango-superhero-movies-1202275304/

Quote:
Three weeks ago, Fandango reported that Black Panther in its first 24 hours outpaced the ticket sales of Marvel’s 2016 Captain America: Civil War (weekend opening of $179.1M).

Industry estimates project that Black Panther will debut to around $120M, possibly as high as $150M over four days. The all-time opening records for February and the Presidents Day holiday belong to Fox/Marvel’s Deadpool ($152.1M).

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Fri May 04, 2018 11:25 pm
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
200m 4-day weekend baby :D

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Fri May 04, 2018 11:29 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
It was going to have massive presales regardless and while I can understand why they are comparing it to BP I don't think these presales guarantee the same weekend as BP but it does mean like this club is toast.


Sat May 05, 2018 12:36 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Iiiii bow dooown to pray

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Sat May 05, 2018 4:40 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Will be interesting to see between DP2 and this, which will underperform more.


Sat May 05, 2018 9:42 pm
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