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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
Chippy wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Chippy wrote: If Solo misses $100 mil 3-Day, I'd say that's more embarrassing than Justice League. (Though SW is getting pretty screwed by the trump crowd, because they're all fucking idiots) Have I missed something? What does Trump have to do with SW? something something star wars is now catering to the "sjw" crowd and "feminists" etc etc etc the nostalgia rules! crowd is led almost strictly by "gamergate"/"mra" types, who think everything should be how it used to be. these people tend to think the metoo people are doing it for attention/money, they worship elon musk and rick and morty. Those people are not all trump supporters. And I don’t think there’s enough of them to affect the box office to a significant degree. And I don’t think it matters, but technically Kennedy is catering to the SJW feminist crowd. Considering the last two Star Wars trilogies were led by white men, I think it is only fair that this Star Wars mainly stars women and POC. But I’m sure that’s their Intention and not coincidence.
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Thu May 24, 2018 4:01 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Club is CLOSED | #Pray4Us
If (I'm not about to prematurely celebrate this club and make a fool of myself lol) Solo fails then I firmly believe it will be down to the factors I outlined in the OP of this thread: franchise fatigue, Han Solo being too caught up in Harrison Ford and not being a vessel character ala Spider Man or Bond, bad release date.
Basically Disney assuming Star Wars can become a Marvel like franchise with multiple independent plots and characters when it has never really been that. Star Wars was always the Skywalker story (and Rogue One had Darth Vader very prominently in the marketing FYI).
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Last edited by Barrabás on Thu May 24, 2018 5:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Thu May 24, 2018 4:17 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | Is the Force with us?
I don't think that franchise fatigue is really a thing. If you unpack it it comes down to how good the movies are (how well-liked they are in their audience).
There's no mass excitement for Solo in large part because the main actor does absolutely nothing to recall Harrison Ford's iconic character. There's also been little in the way of links to the original trilogy shown or hinted at other than the check-boxes of Chewy, Lando, Falcon.
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Thu May 24, 2018 4:47 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | THERE IS STILL HOPE
http://deadline.com/2018/05/solo-a-star ... 202397848/Early preview number is $13m-$15m. Same range as Justice League With Rogue One's previews-to-OW multiplier it would do $80m. Obviously it will be higher thanks to Memorial Day Weekend Sunday, and the previews could be underestimated, but still. It's gonna be close.
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Thu May 24, 2018 9:12 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | THERE IS STILL HOPE
Yikes
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu May 24, 2018 9:15 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | THERE IS STILL HOPE
Rev won't like this. The force is all but vanished on this one.
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Thu May 24, 2018 9:46 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | THERE IS STILL HOPE
Wow somebody prayed hard enough....
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Thu May 24, 2018 11:02 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | THERE IS STILL HOPE
Great club Barbaras, would be REALLY interesting to see how this club fares.
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Thu May 24, 2018 11:28 pm |
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Jmart
Superman: The Movie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21152 Location: Massachusetts
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | THERE IS STILL HOPE
A new hope?
_________________My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005)
If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
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Fri May 25, 2018 1:11 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
Come on Solo don’t let this club win
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri May 25, 2018 1:20 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:05 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club
The Dark Shape wrote: I think an $80-90m OW is totally possible. Not in as of yet, but this club isn't crazy. No hook + recasting iconic actor in iconic role + eh reviews + well-publicized production troubles + the last movie splitting audiences + only a five month gap = Yep.
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:10 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
Barrabás wrote: http://deadline.com/2018/05/solo-a-star-wars-weekend-box-office-1202397848/
Hehehe Yikes, $33m Friday would be embarrassing.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:12 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
I'm worried this will put a stop to an Obi-Wan movie, because he's a character I'm actually interested in seeing again. But hopefully this forces Disney forward and their future spin-offs don't remain so rooted in the OT.
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:15 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
I think Obi Wan WITH EWAN could be big. Hes the one part of the prequels everyone liked.
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:18 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am Posts: 12119 Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
If nothing else, I think this will pump the brakes on Disney's ambition to have multiple Star Wars movies a year. Which makes me a bit happy.
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:20 pm |
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Proud Ryu
Deshi Basara
Joined: Thu Sep 27, 2007 3:36 pm Posts: 5322 Location: The Interstice
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
Star Wars is about Jedi and Sith. As long as they stick to that they'll be fine. Solo is a beloved character but mostly because of what Ford brought to it.
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:28 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3130
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
The Dark Shape wrote: If nothing else, I think this will pump the brakes on Disney's ambition to have multiple Star Wars movies a year. Which makes me a bit happy. Same. Star Wars is too precious for over saturation, liberal progressive agenda, over indulgence on nostalgia, dilution of the IP. Hopefully this puts the brakes on their plans. Solo, Boba Fett...sounds like corporate safe-think.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Fri May 25, 2018 2:28 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
lilmac wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: If nothing else, I think this will pump the brakes on Disney's ambition to have multiple Star Wars movies a year. Which makes me a bit happy. Same. Star Wars is too precious for over saturation, liberal progressive agenda, over indulgence on nostalgia, dilution of the IP. Hopefully this puts the brakes on their plans. Solo, Boba Fett...sounds like corporate safe-think. Like, can y'all just not help yourselves?
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 25, 2018 3:06 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
Apparently the upper range for Friday is $37m. With the same internal multiplier as Dead Men Tell No Tales, that gives it $98m for the weekend. I'm still waiting for actuals to call this club a victory though
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Fri May 25, 2018 5:01 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
CNN: Is 'Solo' suffering from 'Star Wars' fatigue?"Luke Skywalker himself, Mark Hamill, has even said that Disney should "pace themselves." "'Star Wars' felt rare and special and unparalleled when there were only three precious movies held up as the ideal," wrote Kaila Hale-Stern, a senior editor for pop culture site, The Mary Sue. "These days it seems like we're approaching a time where anything can be called 'Star Wars' if it has the right branding." http://money.cnn.com/2018/05/25/media/s ... index.html
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri May 25, 2018 5:41 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
The lower end seems to be $32m which would mean this club has a chance to even win over 4-day total
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Fri May 25, 2018 5:46 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
A $32m Friday would certifiably qualify for a WWW thread, except we already know the answers.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri May 25, 2018 6:03 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
So if it does $33m all is fine?
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Fri May 25, 2018 6:07 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Solo under $100m OW club | A New Hope
Jack Sparrow wrote: So if it does $33m all is fine? Lol, I don't create WWW threads but if I was a betting man, there will be one before lunch tomorrow.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri May 25, 2018 6:08 pm |
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