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 Solo under $100m OW club | Victory! ...But at what cost? 
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Post Solo under $100m OW club | Victory! ...But at what cost?
Trailer views are pathetic + there's already so much negative press + "that's not Han Solo" effect + it's coming out after Avengers and Deadpool which means young male target demo is overserved + so many releases means Star Wars is losing its event status

***remember this is 3-day OW not 4-day long weekend***

Who's in?

- Brrbs
- Algren
- Riggs
- lilmac
- Shack
- stuffp

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Last edited by Barrabás on Mon May 28, 2018 5:47 pm, edited 10 times in total.



Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:26 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Nah.


Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:27 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Wow, Ballsy club. Not automatically out, have to think about it. Agree with your points, buzz is certainly not where I expected it to be.

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Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:27 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Rogue One would have opened higher in summer. I don’t think Solo dips more than 33% from Rogue One. Lowest I see is 125m OW for the three day.


Fri Feb 16, 2018 4:32 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Obviously in.


Fri Feb 16, 2018 7:45 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
I'm in. Even if it's a SW movie I just don't see it this time.


Sat Feb 17, 2018 5:47 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Nope it’s going to out open Rogue One

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Sat Feb 17, 2018 11:51 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
I still feel a new SW movie will open bigger and if not good would fizzle fast so I believe it will cross $100m over OW.


Sat Feb 17, 2018 1:03 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
The Star Wars brand alone should guarantee at least a $100M+ OW, but you never know. The buzz is really weak, and its coming out after two other HUGE male skewing blockbusters. Now, if reviews end up being crap than I'll probably be more tempted to join, but as of right now I'm not confident enough to say its definitely going to happen.


Sat Feb 17, 2018 3:08 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Interestingly it will be the first summer SW film since Sith. Not only does it have more competition than the recent films but it's the only one general audiences have not been clamouring for. Sub 100m is a decent chance but I think the core fanbase and the holiday Monday will help it.

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Sat Feb 17, 2018 5:10 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
The fake Obi Wan A Star Wars Story trailer has as many views as the actual trailer for Solo.

Join while you can! I'm thinking of instituting a late April cut off. Once Avengers and Deadpool make a ton of money it might seem more obvious to people that this will be play second (third?) fiddle to those films in May.

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Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:40 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Out

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Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:19 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Barrabás wrote:
The fake Obi Wan A Star Wars Story trailer has as many views as the actual trailer for Solo.

Join while you can! I'm thinking of instituting a late April cut off. Once Avengers and Deadpool make a ton of money it might seem more obvious to people that this will be play second (third?) fiddle to those films in May.


It will probably play third fiddle to those films and still open up to $100m.

That saying, I’m not completely ruling it out. I just think it’ll be a very busy late April and May. And Disney did itself a favor by opening Avengers a week earlier.

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Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:05 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
I think an $80-90m OW is totally possible. Not in as of yet, but this club isn't crazy.


Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:13 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Considering all three are technically now Disney properties they are crazy to open such HUGE titles in such short time. Regardless I think $100m OW is crazy and even though the fanbase hasn't yet warmed up to it but once the marketing for this starts they will come in droves.


Tue Mar 06, 2018 5:36 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
The Fox/Disney deal hasn't been finalized yet.

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Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:31 am
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Thus the term "technically"


Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:15 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
No. Technically would mean all three are Disney properties. You mean tentatively.

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Tue Mar 06, 2018 2:16 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Out, as much as it looks like this sucks It will cross 100m OW 3 day


Tue Mar 06, 2018 4:58 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
It will go over $100m OW. Even if not by much.

The big question will be how many of the traditional SW fans will this attract (Its Han after all) vs. detract (Only Ford can play Han).

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Tue Mar 06, 2018 6:17 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
MadGez wrote:
It will go over $100m OW. Even if not by much.

The big question will be how many of the traditional SW fans will this attract (Its Han after all) vs. detract (Only Ford can play Han).


I think the problem is that a lot of traditional SW fans don't consider these Disney SW films to be "real SWs" after The Last Jedi.

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Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:05 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
These old Star Wars fans are just stuck. Be spoiled. Enjoy it. We are Star Wars themed films every year. No decade long waits anymore. Thank GOD! I’ll take these versus waiting.

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Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:36 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Jmart wrote:
No. Technically would mean all three are Disney properties. You mean tentatively.


He's got you there, Jack.


Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:42 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
Jmart wrote:
No. Technically would mean all three are Disney properties. You mean tentatively.


Have you corrected everyone else who used this term in this context?


Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:51 pm
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Post Re: Solo under $100m OW club
MadGez wrote:
It will go over $100m OW. Even if not by much.

The big question will be how many of the traditional SW fans will this attract (Its Han after all) vs. detract (Only Ford can play Han).


There is also the case of too much. TLJ is still playing in theaters. Is it too early for another SW movie? In the past franchises with movies opening too close have shown a decline. While this is THE franchise to break trends, I just don't think that will be the case this time.


Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:10 pm
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