Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23762 Location: Classified
Breaking In $100m+ Club
Now that is a multiple demographic crossover hit right there. Legs will probably be bad, but a mammoth Mother’s Day opening weekend should be enough to push this over the mark.
Mon Jan 22, 2018 9:53 pm
Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32097 Location: the last free city
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
I'm rooting for it but I think it'll do around 50m tops. I don't have faith in the general public.
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Mon Jan 22, 2018 10:23 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
This looks good. I'm IN.
Mon Jan 22, 2018 10:52 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
I'm thinking 70+. I want to take my mom for Mother's Day. Definitely think it will break out but I'm not sure if it can do 100 million. I think that's pretty unlikely.
Last edited by Magic Mike on Tue Jan 23, 2018 2:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
I don't know about $100M, but $50M should happen. That trailer is effective and it seems like solid counter programming for not only black audiences, but older women aswell.
Tue Jan 23, 2018 10:34 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67032
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Y'all are nuts. Be lucky to make $30m.
Go on...tell me "URBAN AUDIENCES". I dare ya
Wed Jan 24, 2018 12:53 am
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Algren wrote:
Y'all are nuts. Be lucky to make $30m.
Go on...tell me "URBAN AUDIENCES". I dare ya
30 opening weekend maybe. Disappointed I didn't have this picked in the spring game. If only there had been a trailer out.
Movies like this come out all the time. I think it can do well, but not $100m well. Anyway, it seems like the type of film that I will watch and enjoy, like I do every time a home invasion film comes out (Trespass, A Stranger Calls and before you see it, even Better Watch Out). I pretty much watch them all.
I'll go $60m.
Thu Jan 25, 2018 4:41 am
Star Lord
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 5:59 pm Posts: 181 Location: Poland
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Out.
Thu Jan 25, 2018 12:50 pm
Price
Gamaur's sex slave
Joined: Tue Dec 20, 2005 7:15 pm Posts: 8889 Location: Los Pollos Hermanos
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Algren wrote:
Just watched the trailer.
Movies like this come out all the time. I think it can do well, but not $100m well. Anyway, it seems like the type of film that I will watch and enjoy, like I do every time a home invasion film comes out (Trespass, A Stranger Calls and before you see it, even Better Watch Out). I pretty much watch them all.
I'll go $60m.
Have you seen The Collector and The Collection? Not exactly home invasion movies, but you may like them.
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Thu Jan 25, 2018 3:50 pm
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
I think this would have had a shot if they got a real star to play the lead invader instead of the psycho dad from season 2 of 24. As is though, it can probably be one of the bigger "urban" hits in recent memory. Happy for Gabrielle Union (who apparently produced as well!).
Thu Jan 25, 2018 4:33 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67032
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Price wrote:
Algren wrote:
Just watched the trailer.
Movies like this come out all the time. I think it can do well, but not $100m well. Anyway, it seems like the type of film that I will watch and enjoy, like I do every time a home invasion film comes out (Trespass, A Stranger Calls and before you see it, even Better Watch Out). I pretty much watch them all.
I'll go $60m.
Have you seen The Collector and The Collection? Not exactly home invasion movies, but you may like them.
They totally count towards that type of movie, for me. And yes, I saw the first. Didn't get around to the second yet. Not sure that I really liked the first too much, but I was a lot younger then.
Thu Jan 25, 2018 8:39 pm
bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
It's releasing against another female-oriented film, Melissa McCarthy's Life of the Party. Unless this gets Girls Trip-type reviews, I'm thinking it will be lucky to open better than When the Bough Breaks.
Sun Apr 22, 2018 11:33 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
The competition around it increased so much since this club was made but I feel it will still do well and sneak past $100m if the reviews are good
Mon Apr 23, 2018 12:01 am
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22677 Location: Melbourne Australia
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
May is way overloaded with female skewing films - I really don't understand why they could not have spread them out a little:
Overboard Tully Breaking In Life of the Party Book Club On Chesil Beach
But Mother's Day will certainly help it and it does look appealing to both sexes. So $60-$80m would be a nice haul for it.
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am Posts: 5261 Location: Wakanda
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Out
Gabrielle Union has never been a BIG draw; even in the urban community. It might connect with Mothers but most I can see for it is $18-$20 OW with at most 60m total with excellent reviews. Decent reviews will most likely put it at around a $12m OW and a $25m finish. I hope it is not as dumb as "Traffik" was.
Mon Apr 23, 2018 7:48 am
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23762 Location: Classified
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
Well unless this turns into The Greatest Showman, it will be one of my bigger misses. Life of the PartY moving really hurt, but I still don’t understand why they didn’t try to market beyond black women. Could have played it as an action movie, a social justice movie, a strong black woman overcoming white male obstacles. Instead, they play it as niche amd can’t even match the likes of No Good Deed amd The Perfect Guy.
Sat May 12, 2018 9:15 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: Breaking In $100m+ Club
After the initial marketing it just died and I don't know why. It has good cross over appeal but they never seemed to be interested in marketing this other than for black woman.
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