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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 Re: January 26-28 Predictions Maze Runner is selling atrociously bad in my region.
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| Wed Jan 24, 2018 1:10 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22681
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Jack Sparrow wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Surprised that many think this will top $20m so easily but maybe its the not-in-US thing. I can't see how it fails to do so. Maybe with a more competitive date it would miss out but I think anchoring its own weekend in January and being one of the only big releases of the month certainly helps. Plus there aren't many movies for teens right now. Only Jumanji which most have seen already and Insidious, which is mostly old news. There's also Greatest Showman which is appealing to everyone but it too has been out a while. Time for something new to excite this demo. Yes on paper it should cross but the market is quite dense for January, almost all movies are currently seeing good runs. Also I just feel the marketing is unusually muted on this and that time for this series has already passed. I wouldn't be surprised by $20m but I think there is good chance it opens close to that mark with $18m-$19m. Yeah looks like sub $20m is likely. _________________
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| Wed Jan 24, 2018 6:37 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions I cannot wait to see Paddington 2's theatre drop this week. Surely it will be huge.
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| Wed Jan 24, 2018 9:50 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Paddington 2's second weekend drop was better than the first movie which dropped 415 theaters in its third weekend. Ofcourse the weekend gross is lesser so it will drop more theaters but its average isn't too poor for many theaters to abandon it. I think a decent 800 theaters drop in this situation or maybe even lower.
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| Wed Jan 24, 2018 10:46 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions I am thinking also that Oscar nominated films may expand a bit this weekend. And Paddington 2 is in 3,700 cinemas. For a film that is only looking to make, what, $6m this weekend, that's just way too many. I cannot see any way it stays over 2,500.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 12:44 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Well it should see a cut in showtimes I believe but its theater count will still be healthy. Here they generally prefer to finish the showtimes for kids movies in the morning-evening slots where as the Oscar type adult oriented movies gets the night shows.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 1:24 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions I think that's true of everywhere. And Paddington 2 has been out in China for ages but still maintains that 1 showtime a day at my local cinema. So you may be right. Let's see.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 1:38 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Eh I still think Paddington will be in around 2,900 theaters or so. It's going to be one of the top grossing movies out right now over the weekend.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 5:16 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Maze Runner is selling atrociously bad in my region. Ditto. I'll predict $12m / $28m.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 6:58 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Hostiles tracking is at $10m but I don't see it happening. I don't know many who are even aware it's coming out - or what it is, despite Bale.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 1:50 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Eh I still think Paddington will be in around 2,900 theaters or so. It's going to be one of the top grossing movies out right now over the weekend. It dropped more than Sparrow and you thought, but less than I thought. 910 theatres cut. 2,792 count.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 8:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Nobody wants Proud Mary, though. That is losing over 1,100 theatres. 
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 8:56 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Proud Mary dropped 65% and there are no signs of it stabilizing.
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 11:33 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions WHERE ARE THE URBAN AUDIENCES??
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| Thu Jan 25, 2018 11:59 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Waiting for Black Panther 
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| Fri Jan 26, 2018 12:15 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Algren wrote: WHERE ARE THE URBAN AUDIENCES?? At Den of Thieves.
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| Fri Jan 26, 2018 12:34 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Hostiles tracking is at $10m but I don't see it happening. I don't know many who are even aware it's coming out - or what it is, despite Bale. The ads on TV have been relentless since it was released on Christmas. They haven't really let up at all. I don't see why it can't do close to 10 Million.
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| Fri Jan 26, 2018 12:35 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67043
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: WHERE ARE THE URBAN AUDIENCES?? At Den of Thieves. Ha, yes, supporting the Gerard Butler vehicle. Makes sense.
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| Fri Jan 26, 2018 1:07 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Hostiles tracking is at $10m but I don't see it happening. I don't know many who are even aware it's coming out - or what it is, despite Bale. The ads on TV have been relentless since it was released on Christmas. They haven't really let up at all. I don't see why it can't do close to 10 Million. Good to know. One of the downsides of cutting the cord, I suppose. Haven't seen a commercial in ages. Surprisingly, Hostiles is #3 on MT with nearly 7%.
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| Fri Jan 26, 2018 8:55 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Algren wrote: Magic Mike wrote: Algren wrote: WHERE ARE THE URBAN AUDIENCES?? At Den of Thieves. Ha, yes, supporting the Gerard Butler vehicle. Makes sense. There's no denying the urban appeal the film has. It's more an ensemble than just a Gerard Butler vehicle.
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| Fri Jan 26, 2018 12:12 pm |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions Paddington 2's 3-day estimate = $5.7m
That's just criminal.
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| Sat Jan 27, 2018 4:35 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions I think that's a great hold for Paddington 2, its holding better than the first movie (which already had some amazing holds) and given the muted opening and theater loss this weekend this was expected. It has one more holiday coming shortly which would mean it could easily see another $5m (4-day) weekend. I think the chances of $60m are becoming a reality. That would be a GREAT total given the opening. And can we talk about TGS. OMG 
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| Sat Jan 27, 2018 8:16 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: January 26-28 Predictions tree and a half wrote: Paddington 2's 3-day estimate = $5.7m
That's just criminal. I'm surprised it lost so many theaters this weekend. It could have dropped less than 25%.
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| Sat Jan 27, 2018 10:44 am |
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