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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20340 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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January 19-21 Predictions
Wow, is this a January weekend or what? 12 Strong- 13 Den of Thieves- 6 Forever My Girl- 3
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Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:59 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32095 Location: the last free city
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Den of Thieves lol please
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 12:42 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Everything is garbage. Glad I have a lot to catch up on plus Phantom Thread and Hostiles go wide.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:27 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Won't 12 Strong and Den of thieves eat into each others business? Forever my girl won't do much as well. Hopefully the December holdovers and the sophomore films will have a great weekend after MLK.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:43 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Forever My Girl does have a surprisingly strong amount of Facebook fans. Probably fans of the book. I love Jessica Rothe but damn does it look bad. I can't muster up any interest.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:50 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23757 Location: Classified
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
12 Strong looked good a few weeks ago, but I think the 15:17 To Paris has stolen most of the hype from the ‘Murica crowd.
I still think Den of Thieves will play well with black audiences and will open around $15m.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:09 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: 12 Strong looked good a few weeks ago, but I think the 15:17 To Paris has stolen most of the hype from the ‘Murica crowd.
I still think Den of Thieves will play well with black audiences and will open around $15m. Nah bruh at this point I don't see why black audiences won't just wait until Black Panther drops. If Proud Mary can't even do $10M for the 3-Day with Taraji still high on the popularity of Empire than no way is Den of Thieves cracking $15M. I know that movie had lackluster marketing, but the marketing for DOT has been no better and reviews will likely be as bad or even worse considering the embargo doesn't lift till Thursday lol. It will be lucky to hit $5-6M IMO.
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:30 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 37969
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
"Forever My Girl" - somehow not a Nicholas Sparks movie
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Sat Jan 13, 2018 4:50 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Hostiles has been moved to January 26.
As for what movie will be #1 this weekend, Jumanji will repeat #1 for the third weekend in a row.
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Wed Jan 17, 2018 7:34 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Dil wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: I still think Den of Thieves will play well with black audiences and will open around $15m. Nah bruh at this point I don't see why black audiences won't just wait until Black Panther drops. Both of you can be right. Opening to $15m hardly means that the complete "black audience" in the US went to see Den of Thieves, lol. The majority will wait for Black Panther, but some may see Den of Thieves. There is a difference between $15m and $100m+ openings.
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Wed Jan 17, 2018 10:32 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Dil wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: 12 Strong looked good a few weeks ago, but I think the 15:17 To Paris has stolen most of the hype from the ‘Murica crowd.
I still think Den of Thieves will play well with black audiences and will open around $15m. Nah bruh at this point I don't see why black audiences won't just wait until Black Panther drops. Are you saying black audiences can't afford to go to 2 movies?
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Wed Jan 17, 2018 11:38 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
1. JUMANJI: WELCOME TO THE JUNGLE - 17.4 MILLION (-38%) 2. 12 STRONG - 15.447 MILLION (New) 3. THE POST - 14.1 MILLION (-27%) 4. DEN OF THIEVES - 10.36 MILLION (New) 5. THE GREATEST SHOWMAN - 9.97 MILLION (-20%) 6. PADDINGTON 2 - 7.37 MILLION (-33%) 7. THE COMMUTER - 6.439 MILLION (-53%) 8. STAR WARS: THE LAST JEDI - 5.334 MILLION (-55%) 9. INSIDIOUS: THE LAST KEY - 5.154 MILLION (-58.5%) 10. PROUD MARY - 4.48 MILLION (-55%) 11. FOREVER MY GIRL - 3.4 MILLION (New) 12. PHANTOM THREAD - 3.4 MILLION 13. PITCH PERFECT 3 - 2.877 MILLION (-52%) 14. THE DARKEST HOUR - 2.856 MILLION (-36%) 15. I, TONYA - 2.555 MILLION (-24%) 16. COCO - 1.9 MILLION (-43%)
* CALL ME BY YOUR NAME - 1.665 MILLION ($2,200 average)
Last edited by Magic Mike on Thu Jan 18, 2018 5:17 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Wed Jan 17, 2018 11:47 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22673 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
12 Strong- 15 Den of Thieves- 7 Forever My Girl- 4
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Thu Jan 18, 2018 12:09 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
I feel that all the openers will disappoint specially with 12 Strong and Den of Thieves eating into each other.
12 Strong is such a wannabe American Sniper to please the patriotic crowd but it feels like Bin Laden and 9/11 based middle-east stories are something that audience are not much interested, plus Hemsworth hasn't led (m)any movies outside MCU to success. $10m
Den of Thieves - Geostorm looked way more accessible than this and that opened to $13m so I think this isn't hitting double digits and then 12 Strong will take away some of its action audience. $7m
Forever My Girl looks another average YA movie with unknown actors, that's generally a bad formula for these kind of movies and the ones that flop are completely ignored by the audience which I think will be the case here - $2m
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Thu Jan 18, 2018 2:24 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23757 Location: Classified
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Den of Thieves has a 65 on metacritic. I wonder why they held the reviews back. If you have a good movie then flaunt it for as long as possible.
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Thu Jan 18, 2018 1:20 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67028
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: Den of Thieves has a 65 on metacritic. I wonder why they held the reviews back. If you have a good movie then flaunt it for as long as possible. Well, look at the cast. Hardly actors synonymous with respected films. So STX were cautious that the critics would just tear it a new one because they hate Butler, 50 Cent etc. I am glad it's not flopping. $20m in 7 days is a good enough foundation to make $45m total. For this type of film, that's pretty decent.
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Fri Jan 26, 2018 1:50 am |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11201 Location: Bright Falls
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
$45m would definitely be fricking great.
In MGKC's game there were only 3 who predicted $40m or more for it.
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Fri Jan 26, 2018 3:02 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: January 19-21 Predictions
Yes $45m for Den of Thieves and in January with a similar movie like 12 Strong released along with it no less is pretty impressive.
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Fri Jan 26, 2018 3:48 am |
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