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 KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - FINAL RANKING 
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
Annihilation - $34m
Black Panther - $180m
Blockers - $17m
2018 Cloverfield Movie - $53m
The Commuter - $34m
Den of Thieves $17m
Early Man - $42m
The 15:17 To Paris - $54m
Fifty Shades Freed - $82m
Game Night - $17m
Gringo $19m
Isle of Dogs - $74m
Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $56m
Pacific Rim Uprising - $78m
Paddington 2 - $120m
Peter Rabbit - $84m
A Quiet Place - $47m
Rampage - $65m
Ready Player One - $155m
Red Sparrow - $88m
Sherlock Gnomes - $45m
Super Troopers 2 - $18m
Tomb Raider - $145m
12 Strong - $58m
A Wrinkle in Time - $88m




Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Spring 2018
#1: Black Panther $180m
#2: Ready Player One $155m
#3: Tomb Raider $145m
#4: Paddington 2 $120m
#5: Red Sparrow $88m

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - Black Panther or the combination of Ready Player One and (ugh) A Wrinkle in Time?
Already feels wrong predicting any success for AWIT

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Early Man, Peter Rabbit, Sherlock Gnomes, or The War with Grandpa?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Paddington 2
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? God Particle/Cloverfield
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 5
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 1
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Proud Mary

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Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Fri Jan 12, 2018 1:18 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
Am I the only one not feeling Black Panther?

Looks downright terrible.

edit: Going by my predictions, it'll be a truly awful 4 months though.

I don't see comedies like Blockers or Game Night making much. They seem to be stuck in the late 2000s where that genre was already starting to fade.

Den of Thieves looks like something everyone has got tired of.

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Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Fri Jan 12, 2018 1:21 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Annihilation $40m
Black Panther $352m
Blockers $63m
2018 Cloverfield Movie $36m
The Commuter $29m
Den of Thieves $11m
Early Man $17m
The 15:17 To Paris $46m
Fifty Shades Freed $101m
Game Night $105m
Isle of Dogs $21m
Maze Runner: The Death Cure $69m
New Mutants
Pacific Rim Uprising $56m
Paddington 2 $67m
Peter Rabbit $95m
A Quiet Place $70m
Rampage $180m
Ready Player One $145m
Red Sparrow $91m
Sherlock Gnomes $62m
Super Troopers 2 $12m
Tomb Raider $82m
12 Strong $38m
A Wrinkle in Time $165m

Backup
Gringo $13m

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Spring 2018
#1: Black Panther
#2: Rampage
#3: A Wrinkle in Time
#4: Ready Player One
#5: Game Night

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - Black Panther or the combination of Ready Player One and A Wrinkle in Time? Black Panther
#2: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Annihilation, New Mutants, Rampage, or Tomb Raider?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Early Man, Peter Rabbit, Sherlock Gnomes, or The War with Grandpa? Peter Rabbit and Sherlock Gnomes
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2? Pacific Rim Uprising
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2? Paddington 2
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Game Night
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Den of Thieves
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 6
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 1
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Truth or Dare

NOTE on #10: If your movie has its release date moved out of the season window, the question will not be voided. Choose your movie carefully based on potential gross and likelihood of being released in this season's window.


Fri Jan 12, 2018 2:00 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
Alpha - 24M
Annihilation - 23M
Black Panther - 375M
Blockers - 36M
2018 Cloverfield Movie - 48M
The Commuter - 36M
Early Man - 20M
The 15:17 To Paris - 56M
Fifty Shades Freed - 90M
Game Night - 48M
Isle of Dogs - 31M
Maze Runner: The Death Cure - 65M
New Mutants
Pacific Rim Uprising - 65M
Paddington 2 - 57M
Peter Rabbit - 53M
A Quiet Place - 30M
Rampage - 167M
Ready Player One - 120M
Red Sparrow - 56M
Sherlock Gnomes - 47M
Super Troopers 2 - 13M
Tomb Raider - 80M
12 Strong - 45M
A Wrinkle in Time - 140M

Backups
Den of Thieves - 46M
Gringo - 35M

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Spring 2018
#1: Black Panther
#2: Rampage
#3: A Wrinkle in Time
#4: Ready Player One
#5: Fifty Shades Freed

The 10 Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Black Panther or the combination of Ready Player One and A Wrinkle in Time?
#2: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Annihilation, New Mutants, Rampage, or Tomb Raider?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Early Man, Peter Rabbit, Sherlock Gnomes, or The War with Grandpa?
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? The 15:17 to Paris
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Death Wish
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 5
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 1
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Proud Mary


Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:09 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
BK wrote:
Am I the only one not feeling Black Panther?

Looks downright terrible.


Cool beans BK: http://variety.com/2018/film/news/black-panther-advance-ticket-sales-record-1202659579/


Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:22 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
Wrinkle in Time has my vote for most likely to wreck the top 5. Followed Closely by Ready Player One.

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Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:26 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
stuffp wrote:
BK wrote:
Am I the only one not feeling Black Panther?

Looks downright terrible.


Cool beans BK: http://variety.com/2018/film/news/black-panther-advance-ticket-sales-record-1202659579/


So I am the only one, lol.

What do you see in it?

Is it just because there's finally a black superhero?

The whole premise is ridiculous and the setpieces and story look like repetitive Marvel crap.

_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Fri Jan 12, 2018 5:54 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
I predicted $275m, so not the lowest but also not reaching the heights that others think it will.
What may help this movie is that people may view it as a sort of trailer for Avengers IW, as the character is also prominently featured in the trailer of that one, and certain plot points may be mentioned in this movie that set up the action for IW.

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Fri Jan 12, 2018 10:00 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Due TONIGHT
BK wrote:
stuffp wrote:
BK wrote:
Am I the only one not feeling Black Panther?

Looks downright terrible.


Cool beans BK: http://variety.com/2018/film/news/black-panther-advance-ticket-sales-record-1202659579/


So I am the only one, lol.

What do you see in it?

Is it just because there's finally a black superhero?

The whole premise is ridiculous and the setpieces and story look like repetitive Marvel crap.


I think it looks terrible too but that's because I don't like superhero movies in general. I do think a lot of the appeal is the excitement over a black superhero. If Get Out could become a phenomenon and make almost 200 Million this will fly past that. Plus it's Marvel and will have great reviews.


Fri Jan 12, 2018 3:52 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest
What a crazy set of Top 5 predictions:

Image

Occurences of each movie for each unique set of Top 5 predictions:
Black Panther - 26
Rampage - 23
A Wrinkle in Time - 22
Ready Player One - 21
Fifty Shades Freed - 8
Peter Rabbit - 8
Red Sparrow - 5
Tomb Raider - 5
The 15:17 to Paris - 3
Pacific Rim Uprising - 3
Game Night - 2
Paddington 2 - 1
A Quiet Place - 1
Sherlock Gnomes - 1

Poor BK...


Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:41 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest
Please let me know if you see any mistakes in your top 5 or in my database of predictions:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

I'll be working on the charts tonight and tomorrow.


Sat Jan 13, 2018 1:43 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Everyone's Top 5 Chart
Ah fuck, I missed the Deadline.


Sun Jan 14, 2018 5:42 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Everyone's Top 5 Chart
WOW. This has to be the most open contest yet. Almost no overlap in Top 5 predictions.

Some people will be out early but its exciting.

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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Sun Jan 14, 2018 7:05 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Everyone's Top 5 Chart
A few interesting selections like 15:17 to Paris, Game Night and A Quiet Place that should both be under the radar hits.

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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Sun Jan 14, 2018 7:07 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Everyone's Top 5 Chart
Riggs wrote:
Ah fuck, I missed the Deadline.


Riggs - you didn't miss it :thumbsup:

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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Sun Jan 14, 2018 7:09 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Everyone's Top 5 Chart
Yep this is a great line up. I hope with such diversity one of us is able to get those Top 5 finally.


Sun Jan 14, 2018 8:17 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Everyone's Top 5 Chart
Yeah pretty crazy how many different top 5's there are.


Mon Jan 15, 2018 2:44 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest
MGKC wrote:
Please let me know if you see any mistakes in your top 5 or in my database of predictions:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

I'll be working on the charts tonight and tomorrow.

YOU LIE

It'll be one more day on these charts...


Mon Jan 15, 2018 3:30 am
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Predictions Overview

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Link to prediction database

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Top 5 Predictions

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Box Office Questions

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Mon Jan 15, 2018 8:22 pm
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Weekly Ranking for January 15

Kudos to exxdee13 to start off this game 2/2 on movie predictions! :thumbsup:

Image

Total Gross Projections
The Commuter - $40 million
Paddington 2 - $33 million

Current Top 5
1. The Commuter - $13.7 million
2. Paddington 2 - $10.9 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Paddington 2 (currently -85.7% million)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Paddington 2 (currently -85.7% million)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • The Commuter (currently $13.7 million)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Proud Mary (currently $9.9 million)


Mon Jan 15, 2018 8:49 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Overview Charts on Page
Isle of Dogs is an odd one to predict. Wes Anderson definitely has a degree of crossover mainstream appeal at this point after Moonrise Kingdom and The Grand Budapest Hotel, but I wonder if the stop-motion animation might limit its performance.

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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Mon Jan 15, 2018 10:32 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Overview Charts on Page
Atleast I am not last for now...


Mon Jan 15, 2018 10:40 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Overview Charts on Page
I think Question #3 will be voided because The War of Grandpa will move out. But my provided answer (which was not included in the chart) was Peter Rabbit and Sherlock Gnomes.


Mon Jan 15, 2018 10:47 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Overview Charts on Page
i.hope wrote:
I think Question #3 will be voided because The War of Grandpa will move out. But my provided answer (which was not included in the chart) was Peter Rabbit and Sherlock Gnomes.

Ah, yep, that chart is now fixed.

I really regret putting The War with Granpda in that question without there being a trailer. I definitely think it will move any day now. I guess I was looking for 4 mid/lower-tier family films to compare. I should have just gone with Paddington 2 being in there instead, but already felt it was too represented in my other box office questions.


Mon Jan 15, 2018 11:14 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Overview Charts on Page
Shit, I meant that PAddington would gross the closest to its predecessor and Super Troopers 2 would fall the most oh well.


Mon Jan 15, 2018 11:50 pm
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