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 KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - FINAL RANKING 
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now we know
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Feb 2
Ouch! Talk about kicking a man when he's down. :P


Sat Mar 03, 2018 9:08 pm
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Weekly Ranking for March 4

The reign of exdee13 continues - he's called 6/13 movies released so far. Not bad!

David's $171 million prediction for Red Sparrow... does not pay off...

Image

Total Gross Projections
Annihilation - $30 million
Black Panther - $650 million
The Commuter - $36.3 million
Den of Thieves - $44.7 million
Early Man - $8.5 million
The 15:17 to Paris - $37 million
Fifty Shades Freed - $100 million
Game Night - $51 million
Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $58.4 million
Paddington 2 - $40.2 million
Peter Rabbit - $103 million
Red Sparrow - $44 million
12 Strong - $45.3 million

Current Top 5
1. Black Panther - $501.1 million
2. Fifty Shades Freed - $95.6 million
3. Peter Rabbit - $84.1 million
4. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $57.1 million
5. 12 Strong - $45.0 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Black Panther or the combination of Ready Player One and A Wrinkle in Time?
  • Black Panther (currently $501.1 million)

#2: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Annihilation, New Mutants, Rampage, or Tomb Raider?
  • VOIDED (due to New Mutants moving out of season window)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Early Man, Peter Rabbit, Sherlock Gnomes, or The War with Grandpa?
  • VOIDED (due to The War with Grandpa moving out of season window)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Paddington 2 (currently -47.8% million)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Fifty Shades Freed (currently -16.6% million)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Peter Rabbit (currently $71.5 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Early Man (-1,597 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (Black Panther)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (Black Panther)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Winchester (currently $24.6 million)


Sun Mar 04, 2018 6:09 pm
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Weekly Ranking for March 11

Image

Total Gross Projections
Annihilation - $30 million
Black Panther - $650 million
The Commuter - $36.3 million
Den of Thieves - $45.1 million
Early Man - $8.4 million
The 15:17 to Paris - $37 million
Fifty Shades Freed - $100.1 million
Game Night - $59 million
Gringo - $7.5 million
Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $57.9 million
Paddington 2 - $40.35 million
Peter Rabbit - $105 million
Red Sparrow - $44 million
12 Strong - $45.3 million
A Wrinkle in Time - $100 million

Current Top 5
1. Black Panther - $562.0 million
2. Fifty Shades Freed - $98.4 million
3. Peter Rabbit - $93.5 million
4. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $57.4 million
5. 12 Strong - $45.2 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Black Panther or the combination of Ready Player One and A Wrinkle in Time?
  • Black Panther (currently $562.0 million)

#2: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Annihilation, New Mutants, Rampage, or Tomb Raider?
  • VOIDED (due to New Mutants moving out of season window)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Early Man, Peter Rabbit, Sherlock Gnomes, or The War with Grandpa?
  • VOIDED (due to The War with Grandpa moving out of season window)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Paddington 2 (currently -47.3% million)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Fifty Shades Freed (currently -14.2% million)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Peter Rabbit (currently $93.5 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Early Man (-1,597 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (Black Panther)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (Black Panther)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Winchester (currently $24.9 million)


Sun Mar 11, 2018 5:56 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
Gringo and The Hurricane Heist could contend for question no. 7.

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Sun Mar 11, 2018 8:57 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
Wow! I'm doing well!


Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:14 pm
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Keeping it Light
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
This is quite the competitive game.


Sun Mar 11, 2018 9:36 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
It looks like the top 4 will be

1. Black Panther
2. Rampage
3. Peter Rabbit
4. Fifty Shades

And the number 5 film will be Wrinkle or READY PLAYER one.


Mon Mar 12, 2018 2:58 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
A dark horse such as A Quiet Place or Blockers might also sneak into the top five, though it seems Ready Player One will do well (positive reviews help).

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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Tue Mar 13, 2018 12:12 am
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
Calling it now (realizing I'm in second last place), Blockers will crack into the top 5 now..


Tue Mar 13, 2018 12:56 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
Yes, some points on the board haha.

Was starting to look quite embarrassing for awhile there.

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Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Tue Mar 13, 2018 3:17 am
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now we know
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
This is very competitive. Anyone in the top ten has a chance!


Tue Mar 13, 2018 4:56 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Will this be the first time ever that the Summer contest starts in April?


Sun Mar 18, 2018 4:54 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
No it won’t. Avengers is a spring movie now.


Sun Mar 18, 2018 5:04 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Birdman wrote:
Will this be the first time ever that the Summer contest starts in April?

Yes - we'll definitely be predicting it for the Summer game.


Sun Mar 18, 2018 8:25 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
So glad nobody predicted I Can Only Imagine for #10 because that's the answer.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 1:45 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Magic Mike wrote:
So glad nobody predicted I Can Only Imagine for #10 because that's the answer.


From what I read in some threads, most people found out this was opening less than one week before it did, so no wonder no one predicted it. :P

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Tue Mar 20, 2018 6:38 am
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Yeah mostly no one on the board knew it was being released and then the small theater count also didn't help. But this opens up a possibility for next time to not take faith based movies for granted.


Tue Mar 20, 2018 8:53 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
It was on the schedule the whole time. People just didn't know what it was. Though the trailer was attached to Wonder which many saw. Just hard to gauge these faith-based films and how wide they'll open. Hard to know which of them will break out.


Wed Mar 21, 2018 1:56 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
It's not 100% that I Can Only Imagine will win question 10. It has patterns similar to a concert movie (like the pre-sales), and Son of God had pretty hard drops. They both dropped on Saturday. And Paul Apostle of Christ could hit it hard. It has the A+ Cinemascore but I think it's too early to call it a lock.

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:30 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Proud Ryu wrote:
It's not 100% that I Can Only Imagine will win question 10. It has patterns similar to a concert movie (like the pre-sales), and Son of God had pretty hard drops. They both dropped on Saturday. And Paul Apostle of Christ could hit it hard. It has the A+ Cinemascore but I think it's too early to call it a lock.


But people also realized they'd already seen Son of God and it was just an edited down version of the Bible mini-series.

Paul is not hitting hard. People are LOVING ICOI and it will likely get many repeat viewings. Not to mention Son of God didn't get a big theater increase (just 11 as it was already ultra wide).


Wed Mar 21, 2018 2:59 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Yeah ICOI is pretty much a lock from this opening it should easily get past $35m mark which should be good enough to win this question. There aren't many movies left in the draw to challenge that mark.


Wed Mar 21, 2018 8:56 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Gringo has the biggest third weekend theater drop so far right?


Fri Mar 23, 2018 1:35 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 4
David wrote:
Gringo and The Hurricane Heist could contend for question no. 7.


True that, close call. Gringo will be hard to beat at -2,197. Can't believe that movie got that many theaters to begin with.

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Fri Mar 23, 2018 2:45 pm
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Spring Box Office Contest - Points Update for Mar 1
Magic Mike wrote:
Gringo has the biggest third weekend theater drop so far right?


Nice call on that one (even it if it doesn't hold)

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Fri Mar 23, 2018 2:51 pm
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Sorry for the delay on this update from last week:

Weekly Ranking for March 18

Image

Total Gross Projections
Annihilation - $32.5 million
Black Panther - $670 million
The Commuter - $36.344 million
Den of Thieves - $45.1 million
Early Man - $8.4 million
The 15:17 to Paris - $36.3 million
Fifty Shades Freed - $101 million
Game Night - $65 million
Gringo - $5.2 million
Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $57.9 million
Paddington 2 - $40.442 million
Peter Rabbit - $114 million
Red Sparrow - $44 million
Tomb Raider - $55 million
12 Strong - $45.6 million
A Wrinkle in Time - $90 million

Current Top 5
1. Black Panther - $605.0 million
2. Peter Rabbit - $102.4 million
3. Fifty Shades Freed - $99.6 million
4. A Wrinkle in Time - $60.8 million
5. Maze Runner: The Death Cure - $57.6 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Black Panther or the combination of Ready Player One and A Wrinkle in Time?
  • Black Panther (currently $605.0 million)

#2: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Annihilation, New Mutants, Rampage, or Tomb Raider?
  • VOIDED (due to New Mutants moving out of season window)

#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Early Man, Peter Rabbit, Sherlock Gnomes, or The War with Grandpa?
  • VOIDED (due to The War with Grandpa moving out of season window)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Paddington 2 (currently -47.0% million)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fifty Shades Freed, Maze Runner: The Death Cure, Pacific Rim Uprising, Paddington 2, or Super Troopers 2?
  • Fifty Shades Freed (currently -13.1% million)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Peter Rabbit (currently $102.4 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Gringo (-2,197 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Two (Black Panther, Peter Rabbit)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (Black Panther)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Winchester (currently $25.0 million)


Sat Mar 24, 2018 12:24 pm
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