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December 8-10 Predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=83670
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Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Dec 05, 2017 1:41 pm ]
Post subject:  December 8-10 Predictions

Really? No thread yet? I know its a dull weekend but come on guys.

The big/only story is Disaster Artist's expansion. I'm expecting it to go very well, but can't make a projection until the actual count is known.

Author:  zwackerm [ Tue Dec 05, 2017 2:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Ferdinand is next weekend. This weekend is Just Getting Started.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Tue Dec 05, 2017 2:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

It's going head to head with Jedi? That doesn't seem wise.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Tue Dec 05, 2017 2:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

The Disaster Artist - $8.5m (based on 800 theater estimate)
Just Getting Started - $7m

Author:  zwackerm [ Tue Dec 05, 2017 2:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Flava'd vs The World wrote:
It's going head to head with Jedi? That doesn't seem wise.


It's not wise. Nor was it wise for Sisters and Alvin to go against TFA. They did it anyway. My only guess is they think releasing it closer to christmas will help its legs.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Tue Dec 05, 2017 9:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Yeah so both Alvin and Sisters did great $85m+ for both movies in face of TFA so I think Ferdinand will be fine. The hype for TLJ is MUCH lower than TFA at the same time so it should work at this time.

Author:  Jonathan [ Thu Dec 07, 2017 11:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Flava'd vs The World wrote:
It's going head to head with Jedi? That doesn't seem wise.


The logic behind it I think is that even if it's getting dwarfed in opening weekend, it's guaranteed a three week run since nothing opens in its third weekend to take away theaters, so that gives it enough time to recover financially. It was never gonna do that great, but I think it'll work out well enough.

Anyway, The Disaster Artist is now at #4 on MT with 4.3%, right between Wonder (4.7%) and Justice League (3.8%). Should comfortably be in third by the end of the night. I don't think it's gonna be as massive as RT does, but I think anything above $5 million in 800 theaters would be really solid.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Thu Dec 07, 2017 12:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

2,146 theaters for Just Getting Started. Seen a bit of marketing but probably still a single-digit opening even with Freeman.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 1:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

zwackerm wrote:
This weekend is Just Getting Started.


Just about :P.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 1:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

1. COCO - 18.17 MILLION (-34%)
2. JUSTICE LEAGUE - 9.49 MILLION (-43%)
3. WONDER - 9.353 MILLION (-23%)
4. THOR: RAGNAROK - 7.117 MILLION (-28%)
5. THE DISASTER ARTIST - 7 MILLION (+478%)
6. DADDY'S HOME 2 - 5.149 MILLION (-32%)
7. JUST GETTING STARTED - 4.9 MILLION (New)
8. MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS - 4.195 MILLION (-38%)
9. LADY BIRD - 3.519 MILLION (-18%)
10. THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI - 3.473 MILLION (-21%)
11. THE STAR - 2.977 MILLION (-27%)
12. BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS - 2.64 MILLION (-22%)
13. THE SHAPE OF WATER - 1.23 MILLION (+641%)
14. ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 1.018 MILLION (-48%)
15. THE DARKEST HOUR - $530,000 (+391%)

Author:  Algren [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 4:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

It is not a bad title. Doesn't it just make any Millenial and/or Generation-Zer start singing that Black Eyed Peas song?

Author:  tree and a half [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 4:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Magic Mike wrote:
1. COCO - 18.17 MILLION (-34%)
2. JUSTICE LEAGUE - 9.49 MILLION (-43%)
3. WONDER - 9.353 MILLION (-23%)
4. THOR: RAGNAROK - 7.117 MILLION (-28%)
5. THE DISASTER ARTIST - 7 MILLION (+478%)
6. DADDY'S HOME 2 - 5.149 MILLION (-32%)
7. JUST GETTING STARTED - 4.9 MILLION (New)
8. MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS - 4.195 MILLION (-38%)
9. LADY BIRD - 3.519 MILLION (-18%)
10. THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI - 3.473 MILLION (-21%)
11. THE STAR - 2.977 MILLION (-27%)
12. BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS - 2.64 MILLION (-22%)
13. THE SHAPE OF WATER - 1.23 MILLION (+641%)
14. ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 1.018 MILLION (-48%)
15. THE DARKEST HOUR - $530,000 (+391%)

Ouch - that bold all-caps style is damaging my vision!

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

My theater is only showing Disaster Artist in RPX all weekend. That seems like such a risky gamble, IMO. Matinees alone are $14.50. I get trying to make as much money as possible but now I won't see it here. I'll go down the road and pay half price. Plus, it doesn't seem like the kind of film that needs an RPX screen.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 4:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

The Disaster Artist did $700,000 in previews last night. Deadline says it's looking at a 6-8 Million weekend.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Dec 08, 2017 4:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Magic Mike wrote:
The Disaster Artist did $700,000 in previews last night. Deadline says it's looking at a 6-8 Million weekend.


That's really solid.

Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat Dec 09, 2017 9:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: December 8-10 Predictions

Indeed that is really encouraging though I still wonder if Academy will be kind to Franco just yet.

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