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 THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR? 

SW8 over/under AVATAR ($760.5m)
Poll ended at Thu Dec 14, 2017 8:27 am
over 60%  60%  [ 9 ]
under 40%  40%  [ 6 ]
Total votes : 15

 THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR? 
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Extraordinary
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Post THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
AVATAR did $760.5m...

poll runs two weeks...

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Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:27 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
under
The Empire Strikes Back did about 30% less than Star Wars too.


Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:33 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
stuffp wrote:
The Empire Strikes Back did about 30% less than Star Wars too.

Nope, STAR WARS did $221,280,994 and EMPIRE $181,379,640 in their respective first runs - that's a drop of 18 %...

BOM falsely includes the 1978, 1979 and 1981 re-releases in its initial release total...

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Last edited by mark66 on Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:46 am, edited 2 times in total.



Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:45 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under - I still think it will fall short of $700m

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Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:46 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
I believe over Avatar. It's going to have Imax theatres for what 4 weeks in a row? It's opening weekend is going to be over 200+. It will be close to 500 by the end of it's 2nd weekend. After 3 weekends it will be closing on 600. I think it will then eventually pass Avatar with the remainder of it's run.

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Thu Nov 30, 2017 8:49 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Over by at least 50m

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Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:04 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
I say under.


Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:24 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
mark66 wrote:
stuffp wrote:
The Empire Strikes Back did about 30% less than Star Wars too.

Nope, STAR WARS did $221,280,994 and EMPIRE $181,379,640 in their respective first runs - that's a drop of 18%...

BOM falsely includes the 1978, 1979 and 1981 re-releases in its initial release total...


Just like you falsely included re-releases for Avatar...

mark66 wrote:
AVATAR did $760.5m...


Anyway, I predict under Avatar but over Rogue One.


Thu Nov 30, 2017 9:50 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
mark66 wrote:
stuffp wrote:
The Empire Strikes Back did about 30% less than Star Wars too.

Nope, STAR WARS did $221,280,994 and EMPIRE $181,379,640 in their respective first runs - that's a drop of 18 %...

BOM falsely includes the 1978, 1979 and 1981 re-releases in its initial release total...


Yeah, I didn't know.

I'm still under, but just without that argument then.


Last edited by stuffp on Thu Nov 30, 2017 1:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Nov 30, 2017 11:22 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under


Thu Nov 30, 2017 12:30 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
I'm going with OVER as well, but I wouldn't be surprised if it was just barely.


Thu Nov 30, 2017 12:41 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Algren wrote:
mark66 wrote:
stuffp wrote:
The Empire Strikes Back did about 30% less than Star Wars too.

Nope, STAR WARS did $221,280,994 and EMPIRE $181,379,640 in their respective first runs - that's a drop of 18%...

BOM falsely includes the 1978, 1979 and 1981 re-releases in its initial release total...


Just like you falsely included re-releases for Avatar...

mark66 wrote:
AVATAR did $760.5m...


Anyway, I predict under Avatar but over Rogue One.


Of course I included the re-release - the question is whether SW8 will pass AVATAR's total gross and move into the No. 2 all-time spot - it wouldn't make any sense to exclude the re-release...

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Thu Nov 30, 2017 1:56 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
ova

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Thu Nov 30, 2017 3:42 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under of course.


Thu Nov 30, 2017 4:42 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
mark66 wrote:
Algren wrote:
mark66 wrote:
stuffp wrote:
The Empire Strikes Back did about 30% less than Star Wars too.

Nope, STAR WARS did $221,280,994 and EMPIRE $181,379,640 in their respective first runs - that's a drop of 18%...

BOM falsely includes the 1978, 1979 and 1981 re-releases in its initial release total...


Just like you falsely included re-releases for Avatar...

mark66 wrote:
AVATAR did $760.5m...


Anyway, I predict under Avatar but over Rogue One.


Of course I included the re-release - the question is whether SW8 will pass AVATAR's total gross and move into the No. 2 all-time spot - it wouldn't make any sense to exclude the re-release...


Of course you would find a reason that it's ok or you to include re-releases, but not stuffp. You are still making a case where The Last Jedi's first-run is being predicted to out-gross or under-gross more than one release of Avatar. How many attempts does The Last Jedi have to out-gross Avatar's total gross for this question to be answered? I bet it's just one, right?


Thu Nov 30, 2017 6:51 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under.


Tue Dec 05, 2017 7:06 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under.

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Tue Dec 05, 2017 7:12 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Over, barely.


Tue Dec 05, 2017 10:16 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under Avatar original domestic release $749,766,139, not counting the Avatar: Special Edition re-release.


(Here's an interesting article on the differences.)


Wed Dec 06, 2017 1:25 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Unda


Thu Dec 07, 2017 3:09 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Over, but the OW will convince most it will come in under.


Thu Dec 07, 2017 3:58 pm
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Vote!

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Thu Dec 14, 2017 5:13 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Last night I watched the double feature of SW7 & SW8... The quality is certainly there to beat AVATAR, hopefully it'll materialize...

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Thu Dec 14, 2017 5:53 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
mark66 wrote:
Last night I watched the double feature of SW7 & SW8... The quality is certainly there to beat AVATAR, hopefully it'll materialize...

There's a correlation between quality and box office?!?


Thu Dec 14, 2017 6:58 am
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Post Re: THE LAST JEDI over/under AVATAR?
Under. WOM is divided. It was divided for TFA also but the novelty factor kept its momentum going.

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