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 November 22-26 Predictions 

Will Coco open over or under Moana's 82m 5 day?
Over 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Under 100%  100%  [ 8 ]
Total votes : 8

 November 22-26 Predictions 
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Coco will probably prevent Wonder from increasing over the 3-day frame but I'm sure rooting for it.


I'm expecting Wonder to hurt it more than anything else. It just doesn't feel like Coco is a tent pole film outside of it's appeal towards Hispanic audiences. Moana had way more buzz at this point, but that had the Rock who is a social media marketing beast on his own. It's got great reviews though, so maybe that will help out it's legs more than the likes of TGD.


Tue Nov 21, 2017 12:34 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Dil wrote:
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Coco will probably prevent Wonder from increasing over the 3-day frame but I'm sure rooting for it.


I'm expecting Wonder to hurt it more than anything else. It just doesn't feel like Coco is a tent pole film outside of it's appeal towards Hispanic audiences. Moana had way more buzz at this point, but that had the Rock who is a social media marketing beast on his own. It's got great reviews though, so maybe that will help out it's legs more than the likes of TGD.


Valid points. After years of underestimating the Hispanic demographic, I'm being a little more optimistic about Coco. I still don't see its 5 day over Moana, though, and I concur that it doesn't have typical tentpole film expected to generate palpable buzz.

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Tue Nov 21, 2017 2:15 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Algren wrote:
I don't think Call Me By Your Name will be in 13th place. :P


Have you seen the other competition? Everything is doing peanuts. I could see Jigsaw or maybe Blade Runner possibly beating it, or if Last Flag Flying expands enough, but other than those I don't know what would beat it.

What kind of theater average would you expect for CMBYN?


Last edited by Magic Mike on Tue Nov 21, 2017 8:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:30 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
7 minutes of Fandango watching:
Coco - 122
Wonder - 101
The Star - 25

Coco sales is too close to Wonder for comfort.


Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:13 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
It’s discount Tuesday so it’s not that worrying.


Tue Nov 21, 2017 6:18 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I've always thought Coco looked like a sub-$200m grosser. Which is a shame since the animation is gorgeous and we need to support original Pixar. Hopefully it can beat Cars 3 atleast.

$9m opening day, $41m 3 day, $60m 5 day.


Tue Nov 21, 2017 7:21 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Maybe families won't see Coco because of that pig Lasseter! ;)


Tue Nov 21, 2017 7:36 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
I've always thought Coco looked like a sub-$200m grosser. Which is a shame since the animation is gorgeous and we need to support original Pixar. Hopefully it can beat Cars 3 atleast.

$9m opening day, $41m 3 day, $60m 5 day.

I don’t think it hits 60m 5 day off a 9m OD.


Tue Nov 21, 2017 9:44 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
1. JUSTICE LEAGUE - 44.1 MILLION (-53%)
2. COCO - 43.337 MILLION (3-Day)/61.373 MILLION (5-Day)
3. WONDER - 32.23 MILLION (+17%)
4. THOR: RAGNAROK - 17.335 MILLION (-20%)
5. DADDY'S HOME 2 - 14.58 MILLION (+1%)
6. MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS - 11.736 MILLION (-15%)
7. THE STAR - 8.164 MILLION (-16.8%)
8. ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 7.46 MILLION (3-Day - +1,391%)/9.493 MILLION (5-Day)
9. BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS - 7.14 MILLION (+2%)
10. LADY BIRD - 4.6 MILLION (3-Day - +83%)/[b]5.9 MILLION[/b] (5-Day)
11. THE MAN WHO INVENTED CHRISTMAS - 4.1 MILLION (3-Day)/[b]5.4 MILLION[/b] (5-Day)
12. THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI - 3.9 MILLION (3-Day - +25%)/4.769 MILLION (5-Day)
13. CALL ME BY YOUR NAME - $400,000 (New)


Three Billboards is in more theaters than I thought it would be. Was thinking around 400. I'm increasing my prediction to 6.65 Million for the 3-Day and a whopping 8.32 Million over the 5-Day. I'm really reminded of No Country For Old Men even though that had a couple hundred more theaters in its third weekend (also over the Thanksgiving stretch). That did close to 11 Million in its 5-Days.


Thu Nov 23, 2017 2:50 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Algren wrote:
I don't think Call Me By Your Name will be in 13th place. :P


Not to brag or anything but it placed 13th for the weekend ;).


Sun Nov 26, 2017 12:22 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Could be close. Jigsaw might sneak past it :P but it was a GREAT call nonetheless Mike :thumbsup:


Sun Nov 26, 2017 1:35 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Could be close. Jigsaw might sneak past it :P but it was a GREAT call nonetheless Mike :thumbsup:


Thanks. I highly doubt Jigsaw surpasses it though. ;)


Sun Nov 26, 2017 3:44 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
I don't think Call Me By Your Name will be in 13th place. :P


Not to brag or anything but it placed 13th for the weekend ;).


:funny: :clap:


Mon Nov 27, 2017 5:03 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
I don't think Call Me By Your Name will be in 13th place. :P


Not to brag or anything but it placed 13th for the weekend ;).


:funny: :clap:


Ok, I was wrong. Blade Runner numbers are out now and it did $541,078 in 434 theaters. So CMBYN should be 14th. Still super impressive being in 4 theaters.


Mon Nov 27, 2017 5:11 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Close though, and it indeed did well. Let's see if that continues with a wider release as we know it's much easier to get a good PTA in just 4 cinemas.


Mon Nov 27, 2017 6:47 pm
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