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 November 22-26 Predictions 

Will Coco open over or under Moana's 82m 5 day?
Over 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Under 100%  100%  [ 8 ]
Total votes : 8

 November 22-26 Predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post November 22-26 Predictions
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Coco- 51/73
Roman J. Israel, Esq- 8/12

Coco will do a little less than Moana. I may be overestimating Denzel, but is 12m too big a goal?

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Fri Nov 17, 2017 5:20 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I really hope Coco does not do well. It looks shit. I will predict a $50m five-day, and hope Pixar just churn out Cars 4, 5, and 6, and Monsters Daycare, Monsters Pension, and Monsters Afterlife instead.


Fri Nov 17, 2017 9:07 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Yeah Coco really doesn't look good in terms of Pixar movies but the early WoM is pretty good so you never know.

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Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:48 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
It's hard to predict Coco. It's Pixar which seems to get people into seats, but everyone I talk to thinks it looks like a Book of Life rip-off and isn't very interested. Definitely don't see it doing close to as well as Moana next weekend. Especially not with heavy family competition from so many movies, including this weekend's Wonder.

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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:19 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Yeah Wonder breakout is definitely not a good news for Coco. I do believe it won't open big. Moana did $82m and I think this will stall at $65m 5-day

$40m/55m

Most of the awards movies aren't doing big at BO and I don't think Roman J. Israel, Esq will do well enough.

$10m/$15m (and this is only because Denzel has a loyal fanbase that generally shows-up)

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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:25 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I think Roman will heavily disappoint. Reviews aren't great. Adults have better options (Lady Bird is expanding, Three Billboards and Last Flag Flying as well, and then there's still Wonder and Orient Express).

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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:28 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
There hasn’t been a big kids movie in 5 months. And the reviews are much better than for The Good Dinosaur.

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Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:37 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
There hasn’t been a big kids movie in 5 months. And the reviews are much better than for The Good Dinosaur.


That's why it will do a bit better than The Good Dinosaur. ;)

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Sat Nov 18, 2017 2:06 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco - 60 (5-day)

Justice League - 60.5% drop


Sat Nov 18, 2017 7:30 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I am actually interested how Wonder will hold next weekend now that most people expect it to have great legs. Given the history it should see an increase.

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Sat Nov 18, 2017 7:59 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Would be really something if Wonder could perform even half of what The Blind Side did.


Sat Nov 18, 2017 8:06 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
COCO - 43.337 MILLION (3-Day)/61.37 MILLION (5-Day)
ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 7.46 MILLION (3-Day)/9.49 MILLION (5-Day)
THE MAN WHO INVENTED CHRISTMAS - 4.1 MILLION (3-Day)/5.4 MILLION (5-Day)

I don't know how many theaters The Man Who Invented Christmas is opening in but it seems like it's going semi wide as it's opening here and at quite a few other theaters I've noticed. I think it should do solid business but I'll adjust my prediction up or down depending on the theater count.

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Sun Nov 19, 2017 5:02 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
5-day
Coco- 65
Roman J. Israel, Esq- 7.5


Sun Nov 19, 2017 2:45 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco - $47.2 million ($68 million 5-day)
Roman J. Israel, Esq. - $8.6 million ($10.5 million 5-day)

Lady Bird - $6k PTA in however many theaters it expands to

Justice League -55%
Wonder +1%
Thor: Ragnarok -21%


Sun Nov 19, 2017 2:55 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco took a dip in our polling this weekend, likely due to the strength of Wonder. Thinking its OW will be impacted slightly because of it.


Sun Nov 19, 2017 4:18 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco looks quite unappealing. However, the dearth of animated fare this year will certainly bolster its OW.

The studios messed up this Thanksgiving by leaving it so empty.

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Sun Nov 19, 2017 7:51 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco - 44/65(5-Day)
Roman J. Israel, Esq - 5

Justice League -55%


Sun Nov 19, 2017 9:10 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Roman feels like it could be a rare dud for Denzel.


Mon Nov 20, 2017 8:03 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
MadGez wrote:
Coco looks quite unappealing. However, the dearth of animated fare this year will certainly bolster its OW.

The studios messed up this Thanksgiving by leaving it so empty.


I wouldn't argue it looked empty on paper had JL been a true mega event and if Roman looked like a proper Denzel movie.

On paper, a JL holdover + Pixar opening + Denzel opening should have been a massive five-day holiday weekend.

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zwackerm wrote:
You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.


Mon Nov 20, 2017 12:33 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco will probably prevent Wonder from increasing over the 3-day frame but I'm sure rooting for it.

Although Roman Israel is technically rotten on RT, many of the negative reviews say it's worth watching. The limited PTA wasn't spectacular.


Mon Nov 20, 2017 1:28 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
THREE BILLBOARDS will expand into 400-450 theaters...

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Mon Nov 20, 2017 5:14 pm
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Coco: $58M
Justice League: $43M
Wonder: $33M
Roman J: $4.6M

All 3-day


Tue Nov 21, 2017 1:42 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
1. JUSTICE LEAGUE - 44.1 MILLION (-53%)
2. COCO - 43.337 MILLION (3-Day)/61.373 MILLION (5-Day)
3. WONDER - 32.23 MILLION (+17%)
4. THOR: RAGNAROK - 17.335 MILLION (-20%)
5. DADDY'S HOME 2 - 14.58 MILLION (+1%)
6. MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS - 11.736 MILLION (-15%)
7. THE STAR - 8.164 MILLION (-16.8%)
8. ROMAN J. ISRAEL, ESQ. - 7.46 MILLION (3-Day - +1,391%)/9.493 MILLION (5-Day)
9. BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS - 7.14 MILLION (+2%)
10. LADY BIRD - 4.6 MILLION (3-Day - +83%)/[b]5.9 MILLION[/b] (5-Day)
11. THE MAN WHO INVENTED CHRISTMAS - 4.1 MILLION (3-Day)/[b]5.4 MILLION[/b] (5-Day)
12. THREE BILLBOARDS OUTSIDE EBBING, MISSOURI - 3.9 MILLION (3-Day - +25%)/4.769 MILLION (5-Day)
13. CALL ME BY YOUR NAME - $400,000 (New)

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Tue Nov 21, 2017 2:04 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
I don't think Call Me By Your Name will be in 13th place. :P


Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:19 am
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Post Re: November 22-26 Predictions
Given the past drops for movies I do think JL will win 3-day weekend and will be second over 5-day to Coco.

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Tue Nov 21, 2017 3:26 am
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