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| Predict the second weekend drop for JL http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=83565 |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Now that the reviews are "officially" in and they are pretty much close to BvS and still falling what do you think will be JL's second weekend drop? For reference BvS dropped 69.1% in its second weekend but ofcourse JL will open lesser and has Thanksgiving to boost its weekend. I am thinking 3-day second weekend drop of 59%. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
-61% |
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| Author: | Darth Indiana Bond [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
I don't know. I think critics missed the mark on this one and there will be some back peddling. 55% |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
75% |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
^ Its Thanksgiving weekend right? I don't think it will drop that high thanks to holiday boost. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Ah, I didn't think about that. Ok, so 65%. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 11:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
It will be sub 50%. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 12:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
NO. Sub-50% is not going to happen. BGE in other thread brought the example of THG films. THG dropped 62% in its sophomore weekend after which CF dropped 53% over Thanksgiving. BvS dropped 69.1% and given that I don't see it dropping below 53% at all specially with these reviews and supposedly mixed WoM. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 1:29 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
60%. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 6:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Darth Indiana Bond wrote: I don't know. I think critics missed the mark on this one and there will be some back peddling. 55% 55% with holiday boost is back peddling? |
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| Author: | nghtvsn [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:49 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
65% |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Holiday will avert a BVS-type drop. 60%. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 10:00 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Interesting that a lot of people are still thinking around 60% drop with holidays drop. |
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| Author: | tree and a half [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 10:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
100% |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Thanksgiving didn’t help the Twilight films or Deathly Hallows Part 1. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:20 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
zwackerm wrote: Thanksgiving didn’t help the Twilight films or Deathly Hallows Part 1. Both of which were even more heavily frontloaded, especially the female-heavy Twilight. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
I think those are not proper comparisons to JL because of the nature of rabid audience. |
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| Author: | i.hope [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 12:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
I am hoping for 70%+ so it can break some record. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
^ Haha I am hopeful that there will be some backloading this time. It opened a good $50m+ below its potential |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Nov 26, 2017 1:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
As per the estimates its at 56.6% and this time WB has given a good 47% Sunday drop. So as of now DIB was the closest at 55% but if it drops another 0.5% in estimates my 59% will become the closest. |
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| Author: | Darth Indiana Bond [ Mon Nov 27, 2017 10:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Do I win? Like I said better than DCU's average WOM and on par with a low tier MCU WOM |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon Nov 27, 2017 11:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
You most likely won yes but I don't agree that the WoM is equal to low tier MCU WoM. Can you give me any reference for comparison? |
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| Author: | Darth Indiana Bond [ Mon Nov 27, 2017 11:55 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Dark World? |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Nov 27, 2017 12:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Dark World? That film didn't have good WOM, so that's not saying much. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon Nov 27, 2017 12:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL |
JL needs $225m to get there. Definitely doable. |
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