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November 17-19 Predictions
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=83539		 Page 3 of 3
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 3:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Jonathan wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Wonder is right behind Thor on MT. With a strong opening this should be a leggy hit. Depending where it opens it could do 70+.


Yeah, this seems like the kind of movie that could end up pulling a 5+ multiplier, honestly - it'll have a great hold next weekend, and then has zero competition for the next two weeks, and I assume audiences will eat it up. Might be a mini-Blind Side (which also opened the weekend before Thanksgiving).


Yeah that's what I'm thinking.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 3:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
I am still not sure Wonder would open big but it should have a leggy run.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 5:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Upper teens is definitely looking good. 16-18 I'm thinking.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
I kinda think that this is the type of movie that would do great with online sales but not many walk-ups during OW specially with a HUGE opener this weekend. Once the WoM spreads then it would get more and more walk-ups or most likely weekdays will become its strength.
Author:  Jonathan [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
So there are only nine films in mroe than 600 theaters this weekend. When was the last time we had that few movies in proper wide release? That's kinda nuts.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Thu Nov 16, 2017 9:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Interesting fact. Not sure why this is happening but movies are tending to loose theaters faster nowadays mostly because if they don't hit with audience they mostly bust at BO. The studios used to keep the movies afloat longer even with them not being HUGE.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 2:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
1. JUSTICE LEAGUE - 103.2 MILLION (New)
2. THOR: RAGNAROK - 23.97 MILLION (-58%)
3. WONDER - 17 MILLION (New)
4. MURDER ON THE ORIENT EXPRESS - 15.488 MILLION (-46%)
5. DADDY'S HOME 2 - 14.529 MILLION (-51%)
6. THE STAR - 10.778 MILLION (New)
7. BAD MOMS CHRISTMAS - 7.454 MILLION (-35%)
8. LADY BIRD - 2.38 MILLION (+98%)
9. THREE BILLBOARDS - 1.431 MILLION (+344%)
10. JIGSAW - 1.335 MILLION (-61%)
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 5:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
$100m+ opener disappointment, here we come.
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 9:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Wonder has gotta hit 20 or even 25m with these presales.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 10:03 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Nope. There is the bestseller factor here which might inflate these presales figures
Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Nope. There is the bestseller factor here which might inflate these presales figures

It’s tripling Thor. How does it come in under it for the weekend?
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Are you seriously comparing the presales of an opener to a third weekend holdover that is having the most direct competition this weekend? Also do you think every movie that does better in presales rank up same at BO? zwackerm you have been around for enough time to know that by now.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 12:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
With Thor it's not like people really need to get their tickets in advance anymore. It's not likely going to be sold out. Wonder is doing insane presales due to schools going so the sales are kind of misleading. You have to take it with a grain of salt. But its percentage is indeed superb even with pre-sales taken into consideration. High teens should at least happen but more is certainly possible.
Author:  Algren [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
$100m+ opener disappointment, here we come.


Not even that anymore :rofl:
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
$100m+ opener disappointment, here we come.


Not even that anymore :rofl:


I think this will be a Transformers kind of situation where WB will fudge it to get past that mark.
Author:  zwackerm [ Sat Nov 18, 2017 12:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Are you seriously comparing the presales of an opener to a third weekend holdover that is having the most direct competition this weekend? Also do you think every movie that does better in presales rank up same at BO? zwackerm you have been around for enough time to know that by now.

Hmmmm. Maybe I know more than you!
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Sat Nov 18, 2017 1:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: November 17-19 Predictions
Well obviously you got it right now but you didn't answer before seeing numbers. I can go ahead and show you examples of what you said being wrong i.e. MT's sales numbers not representing BO ranks. Also Wonder is NOT tripling Thor's gross over the weekend.
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