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 September 11-13 Predictions 
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post September 11-13 Predictions
Openers,

Wide:
The Broken Hearts Gallery

Limited:
Sibyl
Fear Pharm
Savage
Find Your Voice
I Am Woman
Rent-A-Pal

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“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
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Thu Sep 10, 2020 12:26 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Tenet ~ $9M
Broken Hearts ~ $5M


Thu Sep 10, 2020 12:40 pm
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Extraordinary
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
The fact that we don't have any Tenet breakdown... lol

Broken Hearts is gonna do sub-4m. Hopefully drops are ok... More interested to see what studios do for the rest of the year.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 12:56 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
I think Tenet was going to relatively disappoint anyway - I.e sub $50m OW without Covid. Offcourse Covid drooped it even further. Looks like in normal conditions it would have doubled New Mutants which looked to open at 20-25m

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Thu Sep 10, 2020 6:49 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
It will be interesting to see what Tenet numbers are given out and/or how much it makes till next Sunday


Thu Sep 10, 2020 6:52 pm
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Teenage Dream
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Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Theater Counts:

Tenet - 2,810 (n/c)
The New Mutants - 2,704 (-50)
Unhinged - 2,365 (-37)
The Broken Hearts Gallery - 2,204 (new)
The Personal History of David Copperfield - 1,203 (-347)
Bill & Ted Face the Music - 807 (-146)
Rent-A-Pal - 56 (new)


Thu Sep 10, 2020 7:17 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Hmm, my $9M prediction was for the 3-day weekend, but they will probably just report the entire week again. Let’s bump that to $11.5M.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 7:22 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
I'll go with $10 for this week. A higher drop due to fanbase and GA audience rush coupled with lower Cinemascore.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 7:39 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Could the “this movie is too confusing to follow” buzz lead to people feeling challenged and going when they otherwise wouldn’t???


#FalseHope


Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:45 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
It will most likely backfire in this case IMO specially because the reviews aren't glowing.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 8:51 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Maybe not, and its difficult to even recommend the movie to someone not instantly sold by the name Nolan, but it’s still by far the best choice out there. Next week? Nothing. The week after? Greenland! Which looks fun but will not be going above 30% on rotten tomatoes.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 9:15 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Um... over at BOT I think they said Tenet made like 9m for the 3-day last weekend lol. The 20.2m was for all previews and Monday. So this weekend's numbers may look pretty low. Orange County is opening theaters though so at least it'll get some LA business...


Thu Sep 10, 2020 10:38 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
I figured it would work out like $5M for the previews + Canada and then $15M for the 4 day weekend. WB could make this easier for us...


Thu Sep 10, 2020 11:00 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
From what I remember that $20.2m figure included Monday numbers as well so the traditional weekend might have been lower than $9m if not boosted by the holiday. WB should have released those numbers, it does not make sense why they didn't release the numbers when they were so adamant about opening the movie in theaters.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 11:33 pm
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
If Tenet is able to somehow stay in the high single digits I'd honestly be really satisfied with that, but seeing how NM dropped last week and the mixed WOM that would probably be asking for a miracle right now.


Thu Sep 10, 2020 11:58 pm
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Tenet $5m
Broken Hearts $2m


Fri Sep 11, 2020 3:13 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
If Tenet really is the only big thing playing for months and theaters are somehow able to stay open then maybe it'll get to 100m... lol if WB reports their #s yeesh


Fri Sep 11, 2020 7:39 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Or people might just skip going to theaters. Its not like all movies "have" to make money or people "have" to go to theaters to see a movie.


Fri Sep 11, 2020 9:50 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
1-2 Million for Broken Hearts Gallery. Even without a pandemic that's a low single digit opener.


Sat Sep 12, 2020 5:01 am
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Defeats all expectations
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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
Tenet - $7-8m
The Broken Hearts Gallery - $0.9-1.2m

Assuming Tenet made $12m+ last weekend (3-day), a drop of 38% will bring it to $7.4m.

The Broken Hearts Gallery looks like an indie romance. Words on Bathroom Walls might be a good comparison.


Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:06 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: September 11-13 Predictions
BOT people are claiming $9m for 3-day weekend and I believe these estimates to be close to accurate.


Sat Sep 12, 2020 10:57 am
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