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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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 Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Deadline: Dunkirk - $19.5-22m (including $5.5m previews) Girls Trip - $12.5m (including $1.7m previews) Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $6m (including $1.7m previews) http://deadline.com/2017/07/dunkirk-valerian-girls-trip-weekend-box-office-opening-1202132847/THR: Dunkirk - $17+m Girls Trip - $11+m Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $7m http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-dunkirk-heads-45m-50m-us-debut-valerian-bombing-1023378Variety: Dunkirk - $20+m Girls Trip - $12m Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - no Friday number but around $18m OW http://variety.com/2017/film/box-office/box-office-dunkirk-girls-trip-valerian-opening-weekend-1202502419/
Last edited by i.hope on Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:01 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:06 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Wow, great for Dunkirk and Girls Trip if they hold.
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Making Predictions Great Again!
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:17 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) THR is more conservative on Dunkirk. Dunkirk - $17+m Girls Trip - $11+m Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $7m http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/weekend-box-office-dunkirk-heads-45m-50m-us-debut-valerian-bombing-1023378I am thinking $19m for Dunkirk, $10.5m for Girls Trip, and $5.5m for Valerian.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:34 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) That would be great for Dunkirk and Girls Trip. Hopefully those numbers hold, but at the very least it seems like both should stay above $18M and $10M respectively.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:48 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Variety: Dunkirk - $20+m Girls Trip - $12m Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - no Friday number but around $18m OW http://variety.com/2017/film/box-office/box-office-dunkirk-girls-trip-valerian-opening-weekend-1202502419/It will be interesting to see how the weekend plays out.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 4:59 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) If Girls Trip does 12.5 Million today it should go above 30 Million with ease.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:13 pm |
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Star Lord
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 5:59 pm
Posts: 181
Location: Poland
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Deadline sees "Apes" at $18,5M for the 2nd WE...WTF?
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:24 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Looking at MT percentage changes, Dunkirk has dropped over 1% from 36% to 35% since this morning, indicating some frontloading. Valerian has held steady at ~7.5%. Girls Trip has made big gains from 14% to 19%.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:27 pm |
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The Dark Shape
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:56 am
Posts: 12119
Location: Adrift in L.A.
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Is it that big of a surprise? APES and DUNKIRK both skew very old.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 5:28 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21880
Location: Places
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) $17 including previews would be very low
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 6:17 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am
Posts: 2483
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) RTH is saying he expects about $22m for Dunkirk. Would be a great number.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:16 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18870
Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) 22m is great. Don't think anyone can open like that just on a director's name, pretty impressive.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:20 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18870
Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) RTH is also saying 13 for Girls Trip (wow), 6.5 for Valerian (boooo), 6 for Spidey and 5.5 for Apes.
man, those drops for Apes and SMH are bad.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:24 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20340
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Magnus wrote: It'll do 20m-22m.
Interstellar though didn't have a great preview/OD ratio nor a great weekend IM. So there is some concern. But it still ended up with close to 4x multiplier so I'm not too worried. i think 50m/200m is the low end for Dunkirk right now after those preview numbers. Interstellar was pretty mainstream audience friendly. I don't think this is guaranteed to have the same legs.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:53 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21880
Location: Places
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) publicenemy#1 wrote: 22m is great. Don't think anyone can open like that just on a director's name, pretty impressive. Spileberg and Cameron are only ones in the discussion. Cameron its hard to tell though Avatar opened huge. Speilberg with right project is still a master but his audience has largely outgrown cinema _________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 8:58 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21880
Location: Places
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) A Nolan directed Bond starring Jackman, Bale, or even Hardy would open to $150m.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 9:10 pm |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am
Posts: 2483
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Magnus wrote: BOG saying 20m. So 20m-22m range still seems it.
And Interstellar connected to audiences for sure but let's not just say a film that jumps massive amounts in time and ends with its character in a time vortex some tailored made mainstream film. Interstellar was a challenging big budget film too. It was for sure, but I think Dunkirk takes that to another level. Makes Interstellar feel more conventional by comparison.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 9:12 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 8942
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) I always felt Dunkirk would be an easier sell than Interstellar, but I was unsure if that meant it would open over $50M or not. If these numbers stick than I would say Nolan's name is definitely still a big draw and now I'm curious to see what a smaller film from him would do. Not that I expect it him to step away from blockbusters anytime soon, but in order to really compare him to Spielberg I think it could be interesting to see the results when he is away from all the big budget spectacle.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 9:53 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 21880
Location: Places
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) I still think Nolans drawing power with the 50 and older crowd is pathetic. He just has a strangehold on the 18-35 crowd.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 21, 2017 10:16 pm |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11015
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Friend and I watched Dunkirk last night. I was quite hyped to see this and friend less so. He said he wouldn't recommend it. I thought it was meh. This should not connect with GA. It's very meticulous while being minimal in scope and I think that hurts any replayability.
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| Sat Jul 22, 2017 2:35 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) I can't believe Deadline hasn't updated yet with other Friday box office numbers.
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| Sat Jul 22, 2017 3:43 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am
Posts: 2483
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Re: Early Friday Numbers (July 21, 2017) Magnus wrote: Deadline is saying 20m for Dunkirk as well.
That would be a somewhat high preview/OD share though this summer has shown that the ratio doesn't matter that significantly for holds. Breaking 20m OD for Dunkirk is a accomplishment no matyte what and should put it on course for a 50m+ OW. Pretty great number after some of the tracking was at 30-35 weekend.
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| Sat Jul 22, 2017 9:47 am |
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