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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Jul 15, 2017 4:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
How much will this do? I'd hope with its release date and likely heavy marketing push it could open to 40m and close with 130m. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sat Jul 15, 2017 9:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Well, it's Disney so it is hard to be too down on its potential, but it looks crap so I want to go with $78m total. |
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| Author: | pro1986 [ Sat Jul 15, 2017 10:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
OMG this was Directed by Ava. Everything she makes is acclaimed. Can not wait. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Jul 16, 2017 8:53 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
There's five books in the series. Hopefully this isn't another Narnia where it takes half a century to get all the books on screen. It should get a lot of the urban audience that should come out for Black Panther, not to mention it's trailer will be in front of Black Panther and probably Star Wars and Thor, so it could benefit from that like Hidden Figures and A Dogs Purpose did after having trailers with Rogue One and Fantastic Beasts. This could open with or close with 70 million, IMO. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Aug 09, 2017 12:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
The book is really strange. It has an episodic nature. It transitions from a high fantasy book in the first half to a sort of dystopian sci-fi in the second half. It will be hard to make a good film version. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sat Nov 25, 2017 11:40 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
After the last goofy trailer, I’d Guess 30/90 like Tomorrowland. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Nov 25, 2017 2:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
This looks visually interesting... but like it'll flop. We'll see. |
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| Author: | David [ Sat Nov 25, 2017 9:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
In a lot of ways, it reminds me of mid-tier family hits from the 2000s. My mind goes to Bridge to Terabithia and The Spiderwick Chronicles. Those film's adjusted runs: 37/106 and 30/88, respectively. But I sense Disney wants this to do 150 or even 200-plus million? |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat Nov 25, 2017 10:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
I am thinking $65m/$200m for this. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Tue Nov 28, 2017 9:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Never understood the appeal of Oprah. She's rich and acts like it. The lack of humility rubs me the wrong way. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue Nov 28, 2017 9:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
So even things that are popular along the Bible belt, Rolling Thunder seems clueless on. |
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| Author: | BK [ Wed Dec 27, 2017 12:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
This looks like fucking shit. I really absolutely hate it. No idea what it's based on, but the entire thing screams of being overproduced. You can just see the disgusting cheap Disney CGI flourishes with inane cinematography and blocking choices. Burn it with fire. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Dec 27, 2017 5:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
$32/$90m Bridge to Terabithia adjusted. The Tomorrowland of 2018. |
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| Author: | Barrabás [ Wed Dec 27, 2017 11:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. Both will flop. People haven't automatically gone to the theatre since like 2004. People will only go to see something that's appealing, neither of those are. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:00 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Barrabás wrote: The Tomorrowland of 2018. Yeah, don't understand how people are not seeing this as a total flop. Magnus posting $200m+ is a serious wtf. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 12:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Barrabás wrote: zwackerm wrote: Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. Both will flop. People haven't automatically gone to the theatre since like 2004. People will only go to see something that's appealing, neither of those are. No, I agree with that. I'm just assuming that one is connecting in a way that we cannot see. The studios cannot possibly have fucked up March that much. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 1:35 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
If this would have been LGF then I would have thought less but for now I'll stay optimistic on this |
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| Author: | BK [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:31 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Magnus wrote: Also I’m leaning for this do 200m+ now. Minoroties and females will drive this up. Based on what though? It really does look terrible. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 5:56 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
zwackerm wrote: Barrabás wrote: zwackerm wrote: Either this or Ready Player One HAS to do well. The schedule is too open for them to both disappoint. Both will flop. People haven't automatically gone to the theatre since like 2004. People will only go to see something that's appealing, neither of those are. No, I agree with that. I'm just assuming that one is connecting in a way that we cannot see. The studios cannot possibly have fucked up March that much. Well, since Game Night moved to February it is looking more like they have. I'm getting that vibe from a lot of 2018 films. I think the overall domestic box office could dip again. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 8:12 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
The overall box office could be saved by early summer stretch of May-June |
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| Author: | Dil [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 2:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
I'd be really fucking surprised if this did $200M+ lolz. I don't think it looks awful, but just like RPO I'm not seeing the mass appeal either. Sure females and minorities will show up, but what about everyone else? This isn't going to be like Black Panther where it will have a ton of cross gender and ethnic appeal at least I doubt it does. Hell I could be wrong and it does open to BIG numbers, but I'd say Tomorrowland/John Carter numbers are more likely. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Dec 28, 2017 9:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
Dil wrote: I'd be really fucking surprised if this did $200M+ lolz. I don't think it looks awful, but just like RPO I'm not seeing the mass appeal either. Sure females and minorities will show up, but what about everyone else? This isn't going to be like Black Panther where it will have a ton of cross gender and ethnic appeal at least I doubt it does. Hell I could be wrong and it does open to BIG numbers, but I'd say Tomorrowland/John Carter numbers are more likely. Aside from females which btw is easily capable to get a movie past $200m there will be some families and adventure audience. It's not a guarantee but there is potential |
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| Author: | Shack [ Fri Dec 29, 2017 3:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
I can't picture this making 60 mil OW. I am thinking Jack the Giant Slayer type of performance. There's a huge portion of the audience this has no appeal to. I don't really buy the urban audiences argument, it's an Oreo, it has minorities on the outside but everything else is as white and square material as it gets, no cool factor |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Jan 01, 2018 11:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: A Wrinkle in Time Predictions |
THe budget is just 103m, so it probably only needs 300m WW to break even which should be the low end for it. It probably won’t bomb at least even if it isn’t a big hit. |
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