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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22679
Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: June 30-July 2 predictions DM3 is an enjoyable film but not as good as the first two. The minions have a lesser role in this one, for better or worse.
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| Sat Jun 24, 2017 10:29 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions zwackerm wrote: Magnus wrote: I think people are overrating the damage effect of Minions, particularly after Illumination managed to get Pets to 368m and Sing to
270m last year. But...I do think the marketing has been fairly weak. There's no real catch with this other than "Gru has a brother", which doesn't look that appealing.
Still, I think the type of movies Illumination is making is what people want. DM3 will still get around 100m OW and 300m+ total. This sounds about right. After that post $100m OW sounds a bit high, specially when almost ALL of the predictions are close to $100m OW.
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| Sun Jun 25, 2017 2:50 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23775
Location: Classified
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Summer 2017 has not been kind to aging franchises. You'd think Illuminaion's one good franchise would be immune, but maybe nothing is. Even Will Ferrell?
Dm3 - $96m (would have gone $125m+ if this was directly following DM2)
The House - $21m
Baby Driver - $13m ($20m 5 day)
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| Mon Jun 26, 2017 12:06 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48626
Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Despicable Me 3 - 100
The House - 15
Baby Driver - 14 (3 days)
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| Mon Jun 26, 2017 12:20 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions DM3 is #4 on MT.
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| Mon Jun 26, 2017 6:50 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Yeah I would have gone over 100 if it weren't for the Minions movie in between.
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| Mon Jun 26, 2017 6:57 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions #2-6 could all be in the $10-20m range unless The House does indeed do over 20m or Baby Driver flops.
Transformers would need better than a 55% drop to get over 20m this weekend. DOTM dropped 52% so it could happen...
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| Mon Jun 26, 2017 7:49 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67039
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Dark of the Moon was better received. I feel The Last Knight is dropping big (65%).
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| Mon Jun 26, 2017 7:56 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions This should probably be stickied.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 12:07 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Looks like DM3 is going to get the worst reviews of the franchise. It's at 71% on RT, but the average rating is 5.6/10, lower than Minion's 5.8.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 4:44 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Fandango is saying Baby Driver is outpacing sales of the first John Wick. Would be nice to see it hit $20m for the 5-day but doubtful.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 5:37 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22679
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions I hope so. Would love for it to get a solid opening and great legs.
Still think August would have been better for it but at least weekdays should be strong this time of year.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 7:22 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22679
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions Biggestgeekever wrote: Looks like DM3 is going to get the worst reviews of the franchise. It's at 71% on RT, but the average rating is 5.6/10, lower than Minion's 5.8. The first two films are better. Still enjoyable enough though. _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 7:23 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Fandango is saying Baby Driver is outpacing sales of the first John Wick. Would be nice to see it hit $20m for the 5-day but doubtful. Stay positive. I'm sure it will.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 7:57 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions MadGez wrote: Biggestgeekever wrote: Looks like DM3 is going to get the worst reviews of the franchise. It's at 71% on RT, but the average rating is 5.6/10, lower than Minion's 5.8. The first two films are better. Still enjoyable enough though. Yeah I don't think the WoM on this one will be worse than Minions or the rest of DM movies. Its pace is so fast that it leaves no time for you to think it over. Plus adding the girls into the plot will only help increase its family appeal.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 8:31 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67039
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions On Fandango, anything is possible. It doesn't necessarily reflect reality.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 8:46 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions This is from the July 31-August 2 Predictions for another Wednesday Opener from summer 2015, Vacation Quote: 30 tickets sold (out of 299) with 52 minutes until showtime at AMC Century City 15 for Vacation. Sub $1M for Tuesday Previews is not out of the question. [/quote] At this time, Baby driver has 89 tickets sold at around the same pace based on this theater. $5M+ Wednesday is looking good. This seemed like this will be a walk-up movie. WOM will be key for its legs.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 9:19 pm |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6665
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions bl1222 wrote: This is from the July 31-August 2 Predictions for another Wednesday Opener from summer 2015, Vacation Quote: 30 tickets sold (out of 299) with 52 minutes until showtime at AMC Century City 15 for Vacation. Sub $1M for Tuesday Previews is not out of the question. At this time, Baby driver has 89 tickets sold at around the same pace based on this theater. $5M+ Wednesday is looking good. This seemed like this will be a walk-up movie. WOM will be key for its legs. That's good for Baby Driver. My guess is it will do $2.5m Tuesday previews and $5m Wednesday alone. It sounds too optimistic though. My conservative guess is $2m Tuesday and $4m Wednesday.
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| Tue Jun 27, 2017 11:09 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions My 7:25pm showing of Baby Driver was crowded. Close to sold out in a theatre with around 180 seats. And it was a fairly diverse crowd: a few definite groups of Edgar Wright's white-male-nerd contingent  , but also lots of young women, African Americans, and Latinos. This is projection, but I feel a fair portion of the crowd was there for it first and foremost as a car movie. _________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Wed Jun 28, 2017 12:08 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions ^ I too have it associated it as a car chase movie with great reviews, most of the marketing seems to be focused on that.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2017 5:09 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67039
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions The Twitter comments are flattering.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2017 5:13 am |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14544
Location: LA / NYC
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions So the embargo hasn't broken on The House yet so it's clearly terrible.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2017 9:49 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions I'll be watching The House soon so I hope its not terrible.
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| Wed Jun 28, 2017 10:05 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67039
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions thompsoncory wrote: So the embargo hasn't broken on The House yet so it's clearly terrible. It was already clearly terrible from the trailer. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE
FREE TIBET
LIBERATE HONG KONG
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| Wed Jun 28, 2017 10:25 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18876
Location: San Diego
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Re: June 30-July 2 predictions lol @ my House prediction being the closest and yet it was still too high.
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| Sun Jul 02, 2017 7:52 pm |
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