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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
$30m 4th weekend, anyone?
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Mon Jun 19, 2017 12:20 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
My guesses at this week...
Mon - $4.4 mil Tue - $5.9 mil Wed - $4.4 mil Thu - $4.05 mil
Total - $293.85 mil
Weekend 4 - $27.7 mil
Total - $321.55 mil
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:53 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Rolling Thunder wrote: $30m 4th weekend, anyone? At this point in its run you just never know. I think its bringing out crowd that would see only a handful of movies per year.
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Mon Jun 19, 2017 7:35 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Chippy wrote: My guesses at this week...
Mon - $4.4 mil Tue - $5.9 mil Wed - $4.4 mil Thu - $4.05 mil
Total - $293.85 mil
Weekend 4 - $27.7 mil
Total - $321.55 mil $0.4 too low on Mon, $0.4 too high on Tue.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Jun 21, 2017 10:15 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Definitely a respectable Tuesday in face of TF5 competition.
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Thu Jun 22, 2017 12:39 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20344 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
So could Wonder Woman's fifth weekend be above Transformers' second weekend? Transformers could make as little as 15 million next weekend if it drops 60% from its 40m OW.
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Thu Jun 22, 2017 10:12 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32102 Location: the last free city
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
zwackerm wrote: So could Wonder Woman's fifth weekend be above Transformers' second weekend? Transformers could make as little as 15 million next weekend if it drops 60% from its 40m OW. It will lol WW 5th wknd will be closer to 20m than 15m. TF:LK will drop -65%-70%
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Thu Jun 22, 2017 10:34 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
$3.85 mil Wednesday, apparently.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu Jun 22, 2017 1:08 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Even with TF5 underperforming, it plus the combination of losing IMAX screens took a toll on Wonder Woman. I see the week playing out like this:
Thu: $3.75M -2.60% Fri: $6.40M +70.67% Sat: $9.45M +47.66% Sun: $7.10M -24.88%
W/E: $22.95M -44.39%
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Thu Jun 22, 2017 3:02 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Would be interesting weekend. TF5 is surely going to make less than $70m so most holdovers should benefit but then last weekend was aided by the FD boost.
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Thu Jun 22, 2017 7:54 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Will need a 115% Friday increase to have a shot at $30m. Unlikely, but WW has defied expectations more than once already.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Jun 23, 2017 9:01 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Aside from AEoM all movies saw a Thursday increase. I don't think WW will do above $25m but if it does I won't be surprised.
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Sat Jun 24, 2017 12:45 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Both after 23 days in release, Wonder Woman overtook BvS, but is still way behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, and it won't beat that in total.
Is Guardians Vol. 2 also drawing people to the cinema that only go a couple of times a year, or does that only apply to Wonder Woman?
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Sat Jun 24, 2017 9:30 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
I think GotG2 is drawing repeat viewings than expanding its audience, though its late legs have been impressive almost on par with the original movie in that aspect.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 2:41 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
One is getting grandma out of the house for the first time since The Sound of Music, but the other (despite earning more) is just getting repeat viewings from worthless teens, sure.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 3:06 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
You have to consider the type of movies they are as well. Marvel movies do have an established fanbase this far in their run. I don't think grandma's will be interested to see another Marvel movie but they "MIGHT" go see a first big treatment of a well received (ugh...) female superhero movie.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 3:22 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Grandmas being interested in any superhero movie, female or otherwise, is just nonsensical. MCU and DCU pull in the same type of viewer.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 3:42 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
First of all I didn't use grandma's example and casual audience are different for MCU and DCU movies.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 4:37 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
But we're not talking about casual audience. We're talking about one film (DC) bringing out people that haven't seen a film in years, and another (Marvel) that gets repeat viewers. It's all just bullshit. Wonder Woman is getting repeat viewers and a couple of fat feminists, just like Guardians Vol. 2 is getting repeat viewers and a couple more fat geeks. Wonder Woman isn't this special type of film that brings out people that have not seen a film in 20 years.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 5:18 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Algren wrote: Wonder Woman isn't this special type of film that brings out people that have not seen a film in 20 years. Not in a broad sense like Avatar, but there is quite a large contingent of people of a certain age (45+) who watched the Wonder Woman TV show which ran from 1975-1979, who rarely go to the cinema anymore, yet are turning out for this.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 6:24 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Maybe they are, but not to the extent where it will make the blindest difference to the film's weekly holds.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:10 am |
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the lesser evil
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 5:13 am Posts: 1476 Location: The Netherlands
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Algren wrote: Both after 23 days in release, Wonder Woman overtook BvS, but is still way behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, and it won't beat that in total. Are you sure about that? It was 31 million behind GotG vol. 2 last week, and closed the gap to 18 million by Friday. It's looking to inch another 2 million closer on Saturday, and still has plenty of gas left in the tank. It's easily outperforming Guardians when you compare their daily numbers, both on weekend and on weekdays, and although there's plenty of competition ahead it'll also benefit from a major holiday (4th of July). Wonder Woman is almost certainly going to outgross Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:28 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
the lesser evil wrote: Algren wrote: Both after 23 days in release, Wonder Woman overtook BvS, but is still way behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, and it won't beat that in total. Are you sure about that? No, I'm not completely sure about it, but it's going to find it tough. Next weekend there is a Warner Bros. film wanting 3,000+ theaters. The weekend after there is a direct competitor superhero film almost certainly getting 4,000+ theaters. Weekend after that there is War for the Planet of the Apes. Then after that are two consecutive weekends with films aimed squarely at the Wonder Woman feminist demo (not to mention another Warner Bros. film wanting 3,000+ theaters).
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 8:39 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
the lesser evil wrote: Algren wrote: Both after 23 days in release, Wonder Woman overtook BvS, but is still way behind Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, and it won't beat that in total. Are you sure about that? It was 31 million behind GotG vol. 2 last week, and closed the gap to 18 million by Friday. It's looking to inch another 2 million closer on Saturday, and still has plenty of gas left in the tank. It's easily outperforming Guardians when you compare their daily numbers, both on weekend and on weekdays, and although there's plenty of competition ahead it'll also benefit from a major holiday (4th of July). Wonder Woman is almost certainly going to outgross Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2. I wouldn't say its a lock to happen just yet.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 2:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion
Algren wrote: But we're not talking about casual audience. After 23 days in their run we are.
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Sun Jun 25, 2017 2:48 pm |
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