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the lesser evil
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 5:13 am
Posts: 1476
Location: The Netherlands
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 Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Magnus wrote: But I don't think it's going to beat Guardians actually. I think this weekend will be the deciding one. I mean, it will pull ahead of Guardians on a daily basis before the weekend is over regardless, but if it doesn't completely crumble I think it's still going to beat Guardians AND win the Summer unless Spider-Man does something spectacular.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2017 4:28 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Magnus wrote: But I don't think it's going to beat Guardians actually. BOOOOOOOOOOOOOoooooooooo!  I find your lack of faith disturbing
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| Fri Jul 07, 2017 6:59 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67035
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion I hope it doesn't beat Guardians Vol. 2 but looking at the numbers I just don't see it not beating it. Let's just hope the July releases have a big impact.
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| Fri Jul 07, 2017 9:56 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Magnus wrote: If it stays above 10m this weekend, I take back what I said. It'll beat Guardians and also beat TFA multiplier to have the best legs for a live action film in the top 60 OW of all time.
Absurd if it stays in double digits this weekend. Did not see that coming. If it's closer to 11m, then 400m is definitely possible. Even if it does $9.8m, it only needs a 3.3 multiplier to beat GOTG2. There's no other films now that will kill WW unless SM:H gets real good legs. It just survived its own competition. $400M is not out of the question.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2017 8:54 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion So THIS kind of drop for WW surely confirms its not attracting the regular MCU crowd which is why the hold against SMH. I believe only theater drops will stop it now from getting great holds.
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| Sat Jul 08, 2017 10:50 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Jack Sparrow wrote: So THIS kind of drop for WW surely confirms its not attracting the regular MCU crowd which is why the hold against SMH. I believe only theater drops will stop it now from getting great holds.  how dare u disrespect her like that
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| Fri Jul 14, 2017 5:06 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Its a NOT.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2017 7:41 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32098
Location: the last free city
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Woman & DC fans will push her to 400m 
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| Fri Jul 14, 2017 10:04 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Rev wrote: Woman & DC fans will push her to 400m Wom "e"n
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| Fri Jul 14, 2017 2:59 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Magnus wrote: If it stays above 6m this weekend, 400m gets closer. At the very least it would be on a projection where WB just needs to do a little push at end of summer / fudging of numbers to get it there. If it follows the same daily pattern as last weekend it should make about $6.2 million, and I feel like it could do better with Apes being both smaller than SM:H and less direct as competition. Considering how consistent legs have been thus far, I have a hard time seeing it finish with less than $390-395 million, and if it's that close WB will definitely give it at least a Labor Day weekend push.
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| Fri Jul 14, 2017 4:00 pm |
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the lesser evil
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 5:13 am
Posts: 1476
Location: The Netherlands
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion It's also only a little bit away from overtaking Star Wars: The Force Awakens' multiplier, absolutely incredible.
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| Sun Jul 23, 2017 11:43 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Yep the legs on this one have been brilliant.
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| Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:14 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am
Posts: 2084
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Unlike Dunkirk, WW demonstrates what can happen if you make a WWII movie with an actual story - it's a rare superhero hit with older audiences.
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| Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:36 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Well Dunkirk has just started its run tree 
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| Mon Jul 24, 2017 7:34 am |
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the lesser evil
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 5:13 am
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Location: The Netherlands
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion tree and a half wrote: Unlike Dunkirk, WW demonstrates what can happen if you make a WWII movie with an actual story - it's a rare superhero hit with older audiences. Wonder Woman is a WWI movie, not a WWII one.
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| Mon Jul 24, 2017 11:05 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67035
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Ouch. How embarrassing.
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| Tue Jul 25, 2017 12:47 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion True that. I see it topping at $410m after which I think it would be good to release it in Home Media than keeping in theaters.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 1:47 am |
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the lesser evil
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Aug 20, 2009 5:13 am
Posts: 1476
Location: The Netherlands
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion It would have to hold a lot better than Spider-Man did from this point onward, since they have the same total and about the same weekend number after its 9th weekend, but I guess WW has the advantage that it's late in the Summer now, whereas Spider-Man had to deal with a lot more competition for audiences/theatres at this point in its run.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 1:59 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm
Posts: 11015
Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Apparently WW is trying to be the 4th film to be in the top 10 for 10 weeks in a row. Article said it was gonna be close next week with 2 openers but Valerian and something else would probably end up behind WW anyway.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 8:37 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion I think TBS can do better next weekend so it will overtake WW. Baby Driver is generally dropping harder than WW, though it will also depend on how many theaters will WW keep next weekend.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 11:39 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18870
Location: San Diego
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion nghtvsn wrote: Apparently WW is trying to be the 4th film to be in the top 10 for 10 weeks in a row. Article said it was gonna be close next week with 2 openers but Valerian and something else would probably end up behind WW anyway. Detroit (which is expanding this weekend) will be above WW too. Top movies next weekend will probably be 1. Dark Tower 2. Dunkirk 3. Girls Trip 4. Emoji Movie 5. Detroit 6. Atomic Blonde 7. SMH 8. Apes 9. Kidnap 10. Despicable Me 3 11. Baby Driver 12. Valerian 13. Wonder Woman
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 6:23 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion I think WW will be bigger than Baby Driver for sure, the former is dropping more in general. WW might even be bigger than Valerian if the latter suffers another 60% drop because of theater loss. But yeah Detroit should most likely move ahead of WW though its average wasn't strong from its last-minute limited release this weekend.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 7:40 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18870
Location: San Diego
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion If Baby Driver drops 35%=2.58m
If Wonder Woman drops 30%=2.33m
Don't see why WW would be above Baby Driver for sure, it can be close though.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 7:45 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Yeah I just realized it was only this weekend that WW dropped so much better than BD because of the theater drop difference. So yeah it won't be #10 for sure next weekend.
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 8:08 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3129
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Re: Wonder Woman daily predictions/discussion Magnus wrote: Let's say it's week-to-week drop for this week (i.e. Fri-Thurs) is 33.33% (Transformers on Wednesday will have some effect on its dailies so I don't expect it to be as strong). That puts it at 291m by the end of Thursday.
Given that the competition gets significantly tougher from its fifth weekend onwards, that means that it's hard to expect it to do a 4th weekend multiplier above 3.75. So it would need above a 29m fifth weekend (which would be about a 25% drop probably) to have a shot at 400m. And even if it has a 25% drop next weekend, that doesn't assure 400m given that there's so much competition from June 30th onwards.
But...the film has surpassed almost every expectation after its OD. So I'll say there's about a 15% chance. 15% --> 100% $400m is happening!
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| Mon Jul 31, 2017 11:24 pm |
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