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 3-day Weekend Estimates 
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Extraordinary
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Post 3-day Weekend Estimates
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

So Disney has
-the No. 1 movie
-the No. 2 movie beating its predecessor
-the No. 10 movie passing the $500m mark

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Sun May 28, 2017 11:50 am
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The Wall
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Those would be good dailies for PotC5. Alien will have hard time getting to $75m even. LOL.


Sun May 28, 2017 12:01 pm
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
All things considered, Alien: Covenant has about the worst second weekend drop for a blockbuster that I can think of.


Sun May 28, 2017 12:59 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Ultron made 55 million more after this point in 2015. So it seems to me Guardians which has been holding better, could hit 390m.


Sun May 28, 2017 1:28 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Biggestgeekever wrote:
All things considered, Alien: Covenant has about the worst second weekend drop for a blockbuster that I can think of.


Second behind DH2 for a movie playing in 3000+ theaters and that's not apples-to-apples comparison. So yes it is the biggest drop ever.


Sun May 28, 2017 2:04 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
zwackerm wrote:
Ultron made 55 million more after this point in 2015. So it seems to me Guardians which has been holding better, could hit 390m.


Ultron's dailies were bigger at the same point and it made $51m after this weekend, so I don't think GotG2 will cross $390m but it will top $380m


Sun May 28, 2017 2:07 pm
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Jack Sparrow wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Ultron made 55 million more after this point in 2015. So it seems to me Guardians which has been holding better, could hit 390m.


Ultron's dailies were bigger at the same point and it made $51m after this weekend, so I don't think GotG2 will cross $390m but it will top $380m

459-404=55.


Sun May 28, 2017 2:33 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
What the hell happened with Alien?! It has good review. It's not trash. Did Prometheus really hurt the franchise that much that it's a 100% diehard fan only event now? I really hope we get one more to connect things with the original 1979 film.

Pirates did about what I expected it to do in the US. This will probably be the last film. Depp's career is on life support.

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Sun May 28, 2017 2:52 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
zwackerm wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
Ultron made 55 million more after this point in 2015. So it seems to me Guardians which has been holding better, could hit 390m.


Ultron's dailies were bigger at the same point and it made $51m after this weekend, so I don't think GotG2 will cross $390m but it will top $380m

459-404=55.


Yeah I just looked till Week 11 in the comparison charts. Regardless GotG2 won't get to $390m it can make $385m.


Sun May 28, 2017 2:54 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
This will be the summer of flops. King Arthur, Alien (*sobs*), and Baywatch are just the beginning. Wonder Woman is looking like it won't really break out, The Mummy will surely bomb, Transformers will be another Pirates 5 situation, War for the Planet of the Apes looks dire and will probably decrease from the last one, Despicable Me will drop too, everything else looks like a flop.

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Sun May 28, 2017 2:56 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Spider-Man can run with Homecoming ;)


Sun May 28, 2017 2:58 pm
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Barrabás wrote:
What the hell happened with Alien?! It has good review. It's not trash. Did Prometheus really hurt the franchise that much that it's a 100% diehard fan only event now? I really hope we get one more to connect things with the original 1979 film.

Pirates did about what I expected it to do in the US. This will probably be the last film. Depp's career is on life support.
A:C is playing like a horror movie that is insulting to a large portion of its fanbase... which, in fact, pretty much exactly describes the film.


Sun May 28, 2017 3:00 pm
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The Wall
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Barrabás wrote:
What the hell happened with Alien?! It has good review. It's not trash.

It is trash. The worst Alien movie. Makes look 3 & 4 like well thought out masterpieces.


Sun May 28, 2017 3:00 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Biggestgeekever wrote:
Barrabás wrote:
What the hell happened with Alien?! It has good review. It's not trash. Did Prometheus really hurt the franchise that much that it's a 100% diehard fan only event now? I really hope we get one more to connect things with the original 1979 film.

Pirates did about what I expected it to do in the US. This will probably be the last film. Depp's career is on life support.
A:C is playing like a horror movie that is insulting to a large portion of its fanbase... which, in fact, pretty much exactly describes the film.


I didn't mind the explanation for the xenomorphs, thematically it's actually great, but I can see why people are pissed off. It's not what they expected or wanted.

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Sun May 28, 2017 3:00 pm
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
mark66 wrote:
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

So Disney has
-the No. 1 movie
-the No. 2 movie beating its predecessor
-the No. 10 movie passing the $500m mark

That's what Disney does lol it's a juggernaut

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Sun May 28, 2017 7:52 pm
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Guardians isn't passing 400m. Next week it will drop hard because of Wonder Woman and post Memorial Day drop


Sun May 28, 2017 8:28 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
don't think anyone was expecting it to hit 400m. It's been holding well though.


Sun May 28, 2017 9:26 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Barrabás wrote:
Pirates did about what I expected it to do in the US. This will probably be the last film. Depp's career is on life support.


I doubt it's the last. It did well overseas this weekend.


Mon May 29, 2017 1:48 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
The OS legs are still important for Pirates. It needs to clear $900m WW for another movie. Also this one was touted as "The Final Adventure" in marketing here.


Mon May 29, 2017 2:08 am
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
Pirates U.S opening isn't good. The series continues to lose viewers. Should do 170mil at best. The overseas numbers will save it and Disney might make another one but it will be the last one because overseas will start dropping more as well.

Baywatch came in way under tracking. That number wouldn't be bad if the film had a 35mil budget and minimal marketing but it didn't.

Alien Covenant is officially a disaster. Not too shocking considering how mediocre the marketing and trailers were and how much so many people hated Prometheus.


Mon May 29, 2017 6:31 am
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Post Re: 3-day Weekend Estimates
I don't like the phrasing that "overseas will save it". It's ridiculous. Overseas is the majority of its gross and is for the majority of films. It's this old-fashioned mentality that the US gross is all that still matters. In fact, domestic will save Pirates. If it didn't have domestic grosses, it would still do pretty well with just overseas. Maybe break-even. Domestic will absolutely and totally be the one to save it (tip it over into profit).

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Mon May 29, 2017 8:55 am
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