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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20344 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Early Friday #s
Pirates- 23-25, 65 FSS/75-80 FSSM Baywatch-6.5-7.5 23-24 FSSM 27-29 TFSSM Guardians- 19 FSS/24 FSSM Alien-13-14 FSS/17 FSSM http://deadline.com/2017/05/pirates-of- ... 202102887/I'd say anything over 20m for Pirates is solid. That would be a bit of a rebound for Baywatch. Decent hold for Guardians and expectedly shitty for Alien.
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:20 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Early Friday #s
Both really, really bad numbers.
We had already started lowering our numbers this week due to tracking, so yes, Pirates is inline with that...
But man, that's a bad number. Could miss $150 mil total with that.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:38 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Early Friday #s
What's happened to Memorial Day weekend? Another lousy one.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:46 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20344 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Early Friday #s
Well if it hits 80 4 day and followed Tomorrowland with that it makes 177m total. Alice 2 181m total. Prince of Persia 191 total.
It was never going to do more than the last. And with how Depp's brand has fallen, I'd say a 65-70m opening is not dreadful.
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:50 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18876 Location: San Diego
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Re: Early Friday #s
That seems about what I expected for Pirates. If it manages solid business overseas it's not too bad.
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:56 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Early Friday #s
None of those comparisons made over $43 mil for their 4-day. I don't know if those are valid...
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 3:57 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20344 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Early Friday #s
Chippy wrote: None of those comparisons made over $43 mil for their 4-day. I don't know if those are valid... They're all Disney films that opened over Memorial Day. Even if it follows At World's End, it reaches 177 million.
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Fri May 26, 2017 4:04 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Early Friday #s
It just seems like it's going to have a ton of competition. And it will probably be the worst of the options until Transformers.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri May 26, 2017 4:33 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20344 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Early Friday #s
Chippy wrote: It just seems like it's going to have a ton of competition. And it will probably be the worst of the options until Transformers. Yeah, and a 2.2ish 4 day multiple is already poor. Memorial Day openers are typically frontloaded regardless of the competition. I don't think the competition is worse than any other year.
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Fri May 26, 2017 4:51 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32101 Location: the last free city
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Re: Early Friday #s
Rolling Thunder wrote: What's happened to Memorial Day weekend? Another lousy one. Lack of good/fun movies It'll all be good once Star Wars comes back to may
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri May 26, 2017 5:01 pm |
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1924
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Mar 26, 2013 4:43 pm Posts: 1079
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Re: Early Friday #s
Deadline says 24-26m. A decent recovery after that Preview number
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Fri May 26, 2017 5:32 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32101 Location: the last free city
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Re: Early Friday #s
1924 wrote: Deadline says 24-26m. A decent recovery after that Preview number Bet it ends up going down to low 20's / high teens
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri May 26, 2017 6:52 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
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Re: Early Friday #s
The US is beating China, so it's doing pretty well.
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Fri May 26, 2017 9:52 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Early Friday #s
Baywatch is not doing that much it should be less than GotG2. Pirates would surely miss $200m with that opening
Poor memorial day weekend..... Again
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Fri May 26, 2017 9:55 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Early Friday #s
Superman -> Superman 4
Though at least Superman 4 was a low budget feature essentially sent out to die.
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Fri May 26, 2017 10:27 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21641 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Early Friday #s
DMC's opening Day adjusts to 75 million. This won't do that in 4 days.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri May 26, 2017 11:08 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32101 Location: the last free city
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Re: Early Friday #s
Thegun wrote: DMC's opening Day adjusts to 75 million. This won't do that in 4 days. Jesus Christ forgot how huge DMC was
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Fri May 26, 2017 11:59 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Early Friday #s
Rth has an update: Quote: Fri looking POTC2 22.6,BW 5.6,GOTG2 4.9 Pirates will likely miss $60M for the 3-day by a million or two. Baywatch is tanking hard. It's pretty much following The Hangover Part 3's pattern, which would put it a little under $25M for the 5-day. If it then follows its legs, Baywatch will close with ~$45M domestically.
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Sat May 27, 2017 1:27 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: Early Friday #s
deadline also updated its projections to $62.3M over 3-days and $76.3M. Baywatch isn’t bailing out Paramount after a atrocious stateside 2017 that includes xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Monster Trucks, Rings and Ghost in the Shell. Tracking had this movie over 5 days in the $40M range, maybe even hitting $50M, and this Dwayne Johnson-Zac Efron combo is going to come in with $26.1M, just a tad higher than the three-day for Neighbors 2:Sorority Rising ($21.8M opening/$55.4M domestic). http://deadline.com/2017/05/pirates-of- ... 202102887/
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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Sat May 27, 2017 1:27 am |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am Posts: 5192 Location: The Great _______
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Re: Early Friday #s
Quote: 1.). Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (DIS), 4,276 theaters / $23M Fri. (includes $5.5M previews) /3-day cume: $62.3M/4-day: $76.3M Wk 1
2.). The Guardians Of The Galaxy Vol. 2 (DIS), 3,871 theaters (-476) / $5.3M Fri.(-39%)/3-day cume: $20.4M (-41%) /4-day: $26.6M/ Total: $339.9M / Wk 4 3.). Baywatch (FOX), 3,647 theaters / $6M Fri. / 3-day cume: $17.4M/4-day: $21.5M/Total:$26.1M/ Wk 1 Wednesday bow 4.). Alien: Covenant (FOX), 3,772 theaters (+11) / $3.4M Fri. (-78%) / 3-day cume: $12.3M (-66%)/4-day:$15.3M/Total: $62.1M Wk 2
5.). Everything, Everything (WB/MGM), 2,801 theaters / $2.2M Fri. (-54%) /3-day cume: $8M (-32%) /4-day:$10.4M/Total:$25.7M/ Wk 2
6.). Diary Of A Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (FOX), 3,174 theaters (+17) / $1.37M Fri. (-32%) / 3-day cume: $5.2M (-28%)/4-day:$6.9M/ Total: $16.1M/Wk 2
7.). Snatched (FOX), 2,658 theaters (-853) / $1.08M Fri. (-53%) /3-day cume: $4.1M (-47%) /4-day:$5.3M/ Total:$41.6M / Wk 3
8.). King Arthur: Legend Of The Sword (WB/VR), 2,503 theaters (-1,199)/ $900K (-54%) Fri. / 3-day cume: $3.4M (-52%) / 4-day:$4.4M/Total:$35.1M / Wk 3
9.) The Boss Baby (Fox) 1,342 (-729), $440K Fri (-26%)/3-day: $1.7M (-41%) /4-day: $2.3M/ Total: $169.6M / Wk 9
10). The Fate Of The Furious (UNI), 1,358 theaters (-929) / $355K Fri. (-57%)/ 3-day cume: $1.4M (-58%) / 4-day: $1.75M/Total cume: $222.8M / Wk 7 Alien: Covenant is going to miss $75M domestically. If they let Ridley Scott make another, it would probably do worse than AvP: R's $41M.
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Sat May 27, 2017 2:06 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Re: Early Friday #s
Magnus wrote: Kind ignorant insane that a Pirates film is gonna open on a Friday and get below 25m. Has a franchise that set a OW record even fallen this low? Even Amazing Spider-Man 2, Batman/Robin, Jurassic Park 3, etc. are going to have relatively bigger openings. This won't even do 30% of the franchises peak admissions. Jaws vs Jaws 4?
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Sat May 27, 2017 2:16 am |
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_axiom
The Wall
Joined: Wed Jan 26, 2005 10:50 am Posts: 16163 Location: Croatia
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Re: Early Friday #s
Magnus wrote: Yeah I totally forgot about Superman 4, Jaws, etc.
Still, in terms of modern day record breaking franchises over the last 25 years, this is a really bad drop off. But is it a surprise really? The franchise got its best reception with the first movie and DMC built on that. But from DMC onwards the franchise never really struck the same good will either from professional critics (that were never really with the franchise anyway) or the general audience that found much more hip and cool things to look forward to. Also this is a franchise that like a lot of others isn't primarily targeted for US audiences anymore because of the explosions in the overseas market that eats it up. So $180m+ total for PotC5 in the US is pretty good despite the fact it's nowhere close to franchise's peak. It will definitely go over $800m WW and maybe if China really goes for it it might make it to $1b, so Disney for sure is not upset at somewhat underwhelming domestic take and it definitely won't change things for movie #6 (and it seem people actually like this sequel as it got A- CinemaScore so it might not bleed much next time).
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Sat May 27, 2017 11:38 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Early Friday #s
Inexplicable hold for Everything, Everything. Wonder why it didn't drop like Paper Towns? Seems like it would have been frontloaded.
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Sat May 27, 2017 11:40 am |
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Bishop King
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sun May 19, 2013 2:05 pm Posts: 354
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Re: Early Friday #s
John Depp has overstayed his welcome Enron is bocpx office poison
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Sat May 27, 2017 12:52 pm |
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