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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20345 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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May 25-29 Predictions
Pirates 5- 68/88 (3 day/4 day) Baywatch- 30/50 (3-day/5-day)
Last edited by zwackerm on Wed May 24, 2017 10:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Fri May 19, 2017 4:00 pm |
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WonderingWoman
Waitress in LA
Joined: Fri May 19, 2017 8:40 am Posts: 23
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
I think the tracking is going to be wrong on pirates and that it's going to open under 90 million. I'm thinking more like 60 to 80mil. it wouldn't shock me if Baywatch out opened it. I just see another Alice in Wonderland 2 except more successful situation happening. It'll kill overseas but domestically I don't think it's going to do that great.
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Sat May 20, 2017 2:27 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18877 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates - 72 4-day Baywatch - 40 5-day
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Sat May 20, 2017 2:31 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67041
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $65m (4-day) Baywatch - $38m (5-day)
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat May 20, 2017 2:37 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates 60m Baywatch 55m
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Sat May 20, 2017 4:29 am |
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CowboyFromHell
Your Knife, My Back. My Gun, Your Head.
Joined: Mon Sep 13, 2010 5:23 pm Posts: 2033 Location: Somewhere, USA
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Baywatch - 49 / 61 / 66 (3-day / 4-day / 5-day)
PotC 5 - 44 / 54 (3-day / 4-day)
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Sat May 20, 2017 9:44 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MEN TELL NO TALES - 53.728 MILLION (3-Day)/67.03 MILLION (4-Day) BAYWATCH - 36.5 MILLION (3-Day)/54.13 MILLION (5-Day)
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Sat May 20, 2017 10:44 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23779 Location: Classified
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
$90m+ on the 4 day. The franchise is tired, but pirates will always be fun.
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Sat May 20, 2017 12:13 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates - 68/85(4-Day) Baywatch - 30/40(4-Day)
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Sat May 20, 2017 12:42 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20345 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Remember Pirates 4 opened to 90m in 4 days. If it were not for Depp's current reputation, we'd be predicting at least 70m for the 3-day each.
I'd wager that people enjoy the Pirates films and they were not going to see them just because they like Johnny Depp. And while I do expect the franchise to continue downward, I think the marketing has been strong enough that the bleeding will not be too bad.
Alice is NOT comparable to Pirates. There is still hope that we'll get a great Pirates film like the first. No one ever had any hope that Alice 2 would be good.
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Sat May 20, 2017 12:57 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates - 75m 4-day Baywatch - 50m 5-day
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun May 21, 2017 1:24 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates - 62 (4 days) Baywatch - 40 (5 days)
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Sun May 21, 2017 11:29 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Its really bad when Algren is not the lowest predictor. That is a big sign that Pirates gonna tank :-)
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sun May 21, 2017 11:34 am |
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WonderingWoman
Waitress in LA
Joined: Fri May 19, 2017 8:40 am Posts: 23
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates-70mil (4day) Baywatch-50mil (4dday)
I can see if I was going a little lower.
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Sun May 21, 2017 5:49 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
As expected Pirates has started RT at 31%(4/13). It should finish below last one !!!! I am now thinking it could go even lower like 60-65m. It better hit MT by EOD today(even Alien hit by Monday). Baywatch is also nowhere but Rock will ensure huge walk ins. So I am sticking with 50m ( 5 day).
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon May 22, 2017 9:59 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20345 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: As expected Pirates has started RT at 31%(4/13). It should finish below last one !!!! I am now thinking it could go even lower like 60-65m. It better hit MT by EOD today(even Alien hit by Monday). Baywatch is also nowhere but Rock will ensure huge walk ins. So I am sticking with 50m ( 5 day). It's #5 with 5%. I have a feeling the reviews will rise over the On Stranger Tides level.
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Mon May 22, 2017 10:17 am |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
A low RT score was obvious, critics hate this franchise.
85m 4 Day 215m Dom
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Mon May 22, 2017 10:37 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6166
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Brian wrote: A low RT score was obvious, critics hate this franchise.
85m 4 Day 215m Dom That multi is impossible. Even AWE barely doubled its 4 day gross. This one will be way more frontloaded. Dont forget WW is opening next week.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon May 22, 2017 10:51 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Yeah legs for this one are going to be terrible. But I am really surprised by those low RT numbers, I thought it would get to low-40's at the least.
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Mon May 22, 2017 2:03 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote: Yeah legs for this one are going to be terrible. But I am really surprised by those low RT numbers, I thought it would get to low-40's at the least. These are some terrible reviews, definitely not kind to the film. I don't see it making much of a difference OW but the legs will indeed be poor.
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Mon May 22, 2017 2:07 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
It's almost like the box office is setting up for something to break out next weekend...
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Mon May 22, 2017 2:09 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20345 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Pirates looks like it's rising fast enough to be #1 by the end of discount Tuesday
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Tue May 23, 2017 12:03 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Pirates looks like it's rising fast enough to be #1 by the end of discount Tuesday With it being discount Tuesday I can't imagine it will. But Wednesday morning for sure.
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Tue May 23, 2017 1:31 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3129
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Reviews are bad plus there is Baywatch.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Tue May 23, 2017 1:34 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67041
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Re: May 25-28 Predictions
Oh yeah, we forgot about that gargantuan uber brand known as Baywatch.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue May 23, 2017 1:39 am |
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