This is reminding me of my Maleficent club 3 years ago.
Anything above 300m is fantastic for WW. Hopefully the relatively crappy release slate will keep this chugging along.
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| Wonder Woman>BvS club http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=82690 |
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| Author: | tree and a half [ Sat Jun 03, 2017 7:54 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Brutal. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jun 03, 2017 1:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
LOL. Another brilliant prediction by Excel. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Sat Jun 03, 2017 2:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Will be close. |
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| Author: | Jmart [ Sat Jun 03, 2017 2:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Yeah, unless it's massively frontloaded and the Cinemascore doesn't pan out, this might end up still happening just with a very impressive way of getting there. It probably won't, but unless The Mummy explodes, June's kinda dull. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Sun Jun 04, 2017 11:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
I'd put this at 50/50 leaning towards yes. Regardless, WW is the more popular film |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Jun 04, 2017 12:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
I don't see how this happens. It will need a good bit over a 3X multiple. |
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| Author: | Excel [ Sun Jun 04, 2017 12:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Wouldn't be unheard of this time of year. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon Jun 05, 2017 6:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Yeah I don't think it will be easy for it to get past $330m. The dailies are decent but nothing suggests that it will hold well from here on. I think it will do $260m-$280m which is decent for superhero movies. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Mon Jun 05, 2017 12:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Magnus wrote: 3.2 multiplier needed now. Not impossible even if not probable. Of course it's possible. |
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| Author: | Biggestgeekever [ Mon Jun 05, 2017 2:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
With the Sunday hold, I'm actually predicting a 3.2 multiplier. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Mon Jun 05, 2017 3:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
The Sunday hold is great and certainly encouraging but I'm not onboard with a 3.2 multiplier yet. It will have to prove it's a different type of superhero film through dailies. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue Jun 06, 2017 12:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Yeah I am not entirely sure with 3.2 multiplier yet. MoS's first Sunday was brilliant as well. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Tue Jun 06, 2017 2:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Jack Sparrow wrote: Yeah I am not entirely sure with 3.2 multiplier yet. MoS's first Sunday was brilliant as well. MOS 1st sunday was boosted by FATHER'S DAY. Wonder Woman was boosted by WOM. Big difference on how the legs work between 2 of them. But you missing this fact is quite obvious. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue Jun 06, 2017 2:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Someone is bitter today..ugh. Yes I wasn't sure on the Father's Day part, was wondering how it was that high, still I believe it would have done about 20% drop on Sunday at the worst. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:10 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Jack Sparrow wrote: Someone is bitter today..ugh. Yes I wasn't sure on the Father's Day part, was wondering how it was that high, still I believe it would have done about 20% drop on Sunday at the worst. its not that hard if you look at how the rest of top 10 behaved. Wonder Woman by far had the best drop(even stronger than Captain Underpants and family flicks have stronger sunday holds). On the other hand during MOS 1st sunday, you will see couple of movies(STID and IM3) even increasing. So the impact on MOS was huge. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:27 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Its not hard NOW when I realize it was Father's day but this was its OW and its hold is still slightly better than the regular Father's day boost. I never said WW didn't hold well, it DID but that hold alone doesn't guarantee great drops for its overall run. Also I have noticed in recent years that superhero and blockbuster movies tend to do well on Sunday's. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Jun 10, 2017 5:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
This is reminding me of my Maleficent club 3 years ago. Anything above 300m is fantastic for WW. Hopefully the relatively crappy release slate will keep this chugging along. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 1:09 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
It could still be the case of a great second weekend. I don't see the path being easy but this weekend's drop definitely makes this much easier than last weekend. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 1:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
publicenemy#1 wrote: Anything above 300m is fantastic for WW. Umm, not really. $300m is the expected bar for DCU/MCU movies these days. A fantastic number for Wonder Woman would be $400m. It doesn't get a pass for a 3.0 multiplier just because it's a female superhero. Sorry. If it just manages $300m it will be a disappointment. It needs at least $350m. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 1:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Nah. I believe $300m is good enough for for WW. There were signs for that, the relatively smaller budget, the industry expectations (also on the board on an average). I don't think it was easier for WW to do $100m OW and unless the reviews came out it was actually not going to happen. Now its the case of great legs. I do agree that $300m is not out of ordinary for a first female superhero movie but its surely not disappointing. |
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| Author: | Chippy [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 10:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Riggs wrote: I seriously don't get those gargantuan WW predictions. Looks to me like a solid 170m+ grosser. 
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 3:51 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Only needs a 3.2 multiplier from this weekend for this to happen
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| Author: | bl1222 [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 8:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Jack Sparrow wrote: Nah. I believe $300m is good enough for for WW. There were signs for that, the relatively smaller budget, the industry expectations (also on the board on an average). I don't think it was easier for WW to do $100m OW and unless the reviews came out it was actually not going to happen. Now its the case of great legs. I do agree that $300m is not out of ordinary for a first female superhero movie but its surely not disappointing. It only needs a 2.66 multiplier to get to $300M Domestically. Even if it falls hard like Man of Steel (2.96 from its 2nd weekend), it will finish with $315.4m, which is the minimum. It only needs a 3.2 to pass BvS. Unless Cars 3 and Rough Night pull what Cars 2/Bad Teacher did last year, I can't see it finishing less than $300M, let alone less than $315.4m. The competition is weaker and much better WOM for WW than it was for MoS. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Jun 11, 2017 9:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
Yeah this is getting past BvS now. Its weekend IM is really good for this to not happen. |
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| Author: | bl1222 [ Mon Jun 12, 2017 10:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Wonder Woman>BvS club |
MGKC wrote: Riggs wrote: I seriously don't get those gargantuan WW predictions. Looks to me like a solid 170m+ grosser. I agree - I don't see why this is going to be so much bigger than Captain America, Ant-Man, Thor, and Doctor Strange. Famous character, sure, but it's not the first we've seen of her, so there's no novelty factor. Child, bye. |
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