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 KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest 
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
:drink:

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Sun Jul 02, 2017 8:43 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
MGKC wrote:
Top 5 Predictions:
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... think the only person who could get this right is Rev, and that's if WW doesn't pass Guardians and Dunkirk doesn't do better than Apes.


Mon Jul 03, 2017 1:57 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Dunkirk won't do better than Apes. But Wonder Woman will pass Guardians.


Mon Jul 03, 2017 2:11 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Yeah WW passing GotG2 is what will prevent the 25 point bonus again. Even if WW goes down hard from here on with Spidey releasing I think it will still cross $390m and pass GotG2 in the end. The only concern is that the amount of theaters its holding is still quite big and that shed can make its drops go harder very soon.


Tue Jul 04, 2017 1:54 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
I knew it would happen soon, but still ... :(


Tue Jul 04, 2017 11:48 am
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Weekly Ranking for July 9

Image

Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74 million
Baby Driver - $80 million
Baywatch - $58.1 million
The Beguiled - $11.5 million
Captain Underpants - $71.4 million
Cars 3 - $149 million
Despicable Me 3 - $225 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388 million
The House - $24 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.3 million
The Mummy - $80 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171 million
Snatched - $46 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $300 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $133 million
Wonder Woman - $390 million

Current Top 5
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $385.6 million
2. Wonder Woman - $368.5 million
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $168.8 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $148.8 million
5. Cars 3 - $133.5 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman (currently $368.5 million)
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy (currently within $4.1 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Despicable Me 3 (currently -59.6%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +15.7%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? The Mummy (currently $78.0 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Rough Night (-1,505 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Six (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $38.4 million)


Wed Jul 12, 2017 8:01 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Damn Baywatch :pinch: The answer to biggest film to not hit #1 will probably be The Mummy if Wonder Woman is as big as I think it's gonna be.

No that will be Captain Underpants.


That's what I'm thinking. :yes:

oop.

though something else could easily take it's place, like Apes not getting #1 this weekend or something.


Wed Jul 12, 2017 8:05 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
What?! I thought I would be getting points for Spider-Man: Homecoming.

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Wed Jul 12, 2017 8:42 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Algren wrote:
What?! I thought I would be getting points for Spider-Man: Homecoming.

You probably will - just playing it safe with the projection until we see the 2nd weekend drop


Wed Jul 12, 2017 10:23 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Cool.

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Wed Jul 12, 2017 10:45 pm
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Weekly Ranking for July 16

Image

Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74 million
Baby Driver - $95 million
Baywatch - $58.1 million
The Beguiled - $11.5 million
Captain Underpants - $72 million
Cars 3 - $149 million
Despicable Me 3 - $225 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.5 million
The House - $26 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.3 million
The Mummy - $80 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171 million
Snatched - $45.9 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $300 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $131 million
War for the Planet of the Apes - $155 million
Wonder Woman - $390 million

Current Top 5
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $386.6 million
2. Wonder Woman - $380.7 million
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $208.3 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $188.0 million
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $170.0 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy (currently within $5.1 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? War for the Planet of the Apes (currently -72.9%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.0%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? The Mummy (currently $79.0 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Rough Night (-1,505 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Six (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Three (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $41.2 million)


Sun Jul 16, 2017 4:46 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
I need Spider-Man to have some good August legs. Highly possible since its a barren wasteland after Dark Tower.


Sun Jul 16, 2017 10:59 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Back to descent and moving to the bottom of the list...ugh


Wed Jul 19, 2017 2:44 am
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Weekly Ranking for July 23

Wonder Woman takes the summer lead, Baby Driver jumps into the top grossing movie to not be #1, and MadGez makes a jump out of nowhere into first place.

Image

Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74.3 million
Baby Driver - $95 million
Baywatch - $58.1 million
The Beguiled - $10.7 million
Captain Underpants - $72.4 million
Cars 3 - $149 million
Despicable Me 3 - $228 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Dunkirk - $200 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.5 million
The House - $26 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.3 million
The Mummy - $80 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171 million
Snatched - $45.9 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $285 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $40 million
War for the Planet of the Apes - $133 million
Wonder Woman - $400 million

Current Top 5
1. Wonder Woman - $389.0 million
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $387.3 million
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $251.7 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $213.3 million
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $170.6 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy (currently within $5.3 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (currently -57.9%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.2%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baby Driver (currently $84.2 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Rough Night (-1,505 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Seven (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $42.3 million)


Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:12 am
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Post Re:
MGKC wrote:
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (currently -57.9%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.2%)

I find it kinda funny that An Inconvenient Sequel still seems like a great contender for either one of these. I have no idea how it's going to do.


Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:15 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So Girls Trip won't figure into anything because it was a backup, right? That's really unfortunate. Should not have been a backup in the first place.


Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:21 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Magic Mike wrote:
So Girls Trip won't figure into anything because it was a backup, right? That's really unfortunate. Should not have been a backup in the first place.

It can definitely be a contender for question #6 (highest grossing film not to hit #1) if the film has decent legs. Otherwise, yep not really.

It just didn't score high enough in interest here in the preseason poll to have it as an officially predicted film.


Mon Jul 24, 2017 12:34 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So, no one will get the top 5 again.

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Mon Jul 24, 2017 2:51 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
That was a given after WW's second weekend.


Mon Jul 24, 2017 5:12 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
I actually gained 1pt. That big red down arrow unfairly looks like I've done badly, but it's just that others have done exceedingly well.

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Mon Jul 24, 2017 9:49 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
MGKC wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
So Girls Trip won't figure into anything because it was a backup, right? That's really unfortunate. Should not have been a backup in the first place.



It just didn't score high enough in interest here in the preseason poll to have it as an officially predicted film.


What a surprise that an African American, female skewing movie didn't get much interest here ;). It should have been predicted because it had a great chance of a breakout.

I'm just bummed though because I would have done really well with my prediction :P.


Mon Jul 24, 2017 11:23 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Man, I'm so bad at predicting the box office of threequels... :disgust:


Wed Jul 26, 2017 12:47 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
I need Wish Upon to lose 1,506 theatres this weekend.

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Wed Jul 26, 2017 10:37 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
David wrote:
I need Wish Upon to lose 1,506 theatres this weekend.

Close; 1,262.


Thu Jul 27, 2017 11:46 pm
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Weekly Ranking for July 23

3 movies left to score...

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Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74.3 million
Atomic Blonde - $52 million
Baby Driver - $100 million
Baywatch - $58.1 million
The Beguiled - $10.7 million
Captain Underpants - $73.4 million
Cars 3 - $149 million
Despicable Me 3 - $245 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Dunkirk - $175 million
The Emoji Movie - $75 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.5 million
The House - $26 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 million
The Mummy - $80 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.6 million
Snatched - $45.9 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $300 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $39 million
War for the Planet of the Apes - $133 million
Wonder Woman - $402 million

Current Top 5
1. Wonder Woman - $395.4 million
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $387.8 million
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $278.4 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $230.4 million
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.0 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (currently -57.8%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.4%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baby Driver (currently $92.0 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Rough Night (-1,505 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Nine (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $42.7 million)


Sun Jul 30, 2017 3:09 pm
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