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 KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Out of Top 25...again. I am so BAD at this game.


Mon Jul 31, 2017 1:53 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Ouch.


Mon Jul 31, 2017 9:24 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
aaaand Valerian takes #7. It's gonna lose 1,758 theaters this weekend.


Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:16 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Phew I get one point for that. Hopefully this gets me inside Top 25.


Thu Aug 03, 2017 10:07 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
publicenemy#1 wrote:
aaaand Valerian takes #7. It's gonna lose 1,758 theaters this weekend.

:funny:

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Fri Aug 04, 2017 12:03 am
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Weekly Ranking for August 6

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Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74.3 million
Atomic Blonde - $52 million
Baby Driver - $102 million
Baywatch - $58.1 million
The Beguiled - $10.7 million
Captain Underpants - $73.4 million
Cars 3 - $149 million
The Dark Tower - $53 million
Despicable Me 3 - $251 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Dunkirk - $175 million
The Emoji Movie - $75 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390.5 million
The House - $26 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 million
The Mummy - $80.1 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.6 million
Snatched - $45.9 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $312 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $39 million
War for the Planet of the Apes - $143 million
Wonder Woman - $404 million

Current Top 5
1. Wonder Woman - $399.5 million
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.4 million
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $294.9 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $240.8 million
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.3 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? An Inconvenient Sequel (currently -95.6%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.6%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baby Driver (currently $97.1 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (-1,758 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Nine (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $43.1 million)


Sun Aug 06, 2017 11:46 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
The Gezmeister!

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Sun Aug 06, 2017 11:50 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
I should have a planning poll up for next season's contest (Sep - Dec) sometime tonight.


Tue Aug 08, 2017 5:26 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Up 18th to 3rd in 2 weeks?!

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Thu Aug 10, 2017 5:05 pm
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Weekly Ranking for August 13

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Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74.3 million
Annabelle: Creation - $77 million
Atomic Blonde - $52 million
Baby Driver - $105 million
Baywatch - $58.06 million
The Beguiled - $10.576 million
Captain Underpants - $73.4 million
Cars 3 - $149 million
The Dark Tower - $49 million
Despicable Me 3 - $253 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Dunkirk - $175 million
The Emoji Movie - $75 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390.5 million
The House - $26 million
An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power - $5.5 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 million
The Mummy - $80.1 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.9 million
Snatched - $45.852 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $317 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $40 million
War for the Planet of the Apes - $144 million
Wonder Woman - $407 million

Current Top 5
1. Wonder Woman - $402.2 million
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.9 million
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $306.5 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $247.7 million
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.6 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? An Inconvenient Sequel (currently -90.5%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.7%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baby Driver (currently $100.1 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (-1,758 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Ten (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk, Baby Driver)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $43.4 million)


Sun Aug 13, 2017 1:08 pm
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All movies are now in play. We're getting down to the final ranking! Here some impacts I could come up with to the current top 7 rankings.

Things that will definitely happen:

-Girls Trip passes Baby Driver in total gross, taking question #6 (highest grossing film without being #1).
NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7

--Dunkirk passes Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales for the Summer #5 position.
FLAVA'D and EXDEE13 LOSE 1 PT.


Things that could happen:

-The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature loses more than 1,758 theaters on Aug 25.
NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7

-Annabelle: Creation gets within 16.3% of Annabelle''s total gross ( it needs to pass $70.2 million), taking question #5 (closest-grossing sequel) from Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.
ALGREN LOSES 2 PTS

-Only 1 additional movie (Girls Trip) will pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 11 movies.
PRICE GAINS 2 PTS

-The Hitman's Bodyguard out-grosses 47 Meters Down ($43.4 million).
FLAVA'D and ALGREN GAIN 2 PTS.

-Dunkirk passes $175 million.
FLAVA'D LOSES 3 PTS.

-Dunkirk passes $182.5 million.
FLAVA'D and JONATHON LOSE 3 PTS. MADGEZ GAINS 3 PTS.

-Spider-Man: Homecoming passes $317.5 million.
STAR LORD LOSES 3 PTS.

-The Emoji Movie passes $75 million.
EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS.

-The Emoji Movie passes $77.5 million.
EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS. STAR LORD GAINS 3 PTS.


Less likely things that could happen:

-Dunkirk passes $200 million, making question #9's answer be 5 movies.
MADGEZ LOSES 2 PTS. PRICE, FLAVA'D, ALGREN, and JONATHON GAIN 2 PTS.

-An Inconvenient Sequel falls less than 57.7% from An Inconvenient Truth ( it needs to pass $10.45 million), giving question #4 (highest-dropping sequel) back to Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul.
PRICE, JONATHON, EXDEE13, and STAR LORD LOSE 2 PTS. ALGREN GAINS 2 PTS.

-Two additional movies (Girls Trip and something else) pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 12 movies.
MADGEZ and EXDEE13 GAIN 2 PTS

-Three additional movies (Girls Trip and 2 other movies) pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 13 movies.
ALGREN, JONATHON, and STAR LORD GAIN 2 PTS

-Atomic Blonde passes $55 million.
PRICE GAINS 3 PTS.


Sun Aug 13, 2017 1:29 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
This is how you run an online movie forum game! Awesome post, MGKC.

I'd be happy with a bronze finish. Champ then bronze medal will be a reeeeesult.

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Mon Aug 14, 2017 6:42 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Hoping to close out inside Top 20.


Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:35 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So I have to root against Dunkirk? :grrr:

Go Hitman and Annabelle!!


Mon Aug 14, 2017 12:38 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
If Detroit didn't have its last-minute limited release in late July, meaning this will be its fourth weekend, it might have contended for question no. 7. It has 3,007 theatres to lose.

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Mon Aug 14, 2017 8:22 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
The Nut Job 2 will almost surely take question 7--Over 4000 theaters and a single digit opening? It's going straight out of theaters in a couple weeks.


Wed Aug 16, 2017 3:52 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
moviegeek151 wrote:
The Nut Job 2 will almost surely take question 7--Over 4000 theaters and a single digit opening? It's going straight out of theaters in a couple weeks.


It may even break the record and become the largest theater drop in history, even more than Live By Night's 2,659 theater drop.

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Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:55 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
moviegeek151 wrote:
The Nut Job 2 will almost surely take question 7--Over 4000 theaters and a single digit opening? It's going straight out of theaters in a couple weeks.

Great call - I added that to the list, though it will cause no points impact to the top 7 people currently.


Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:33 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Hoping to close out inside Top 20.

Hoping to finish in the top 10

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Wed Aug 16, 2017 11:08 am
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These impacts have now been included in the weekly rankings (seen further below):
MGKC wrote:
-Girls Trip passes Baby Driver in total gross, taking question #6 (highest grossing film without being #1).
NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7

-Only 1 additional movie (Girls Trip) will pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 11 movies.
PRICE GAINS 2 PTS

-Dunkirk passes $175 million.
FLAVA'D LOSES 3 PTS.

-Spider-Man: Homecoming passes $317.5 million.
STAR LORD LOSES 3 PTS.

-The Emoji Movie passes $75 million.
EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS.

-The Emoji Movie passes $77.5 million.
EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS. STAR LORD GAINS 3 PTS.


Weekly Ranking for August 20

Image

Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74.3 million
Annabelle: Creation - $82 million
Atomic Blonde - $52 million
Baby Driver - $105 million
Baywatch - $58.06 million
The Beguiled - $10.576 million
Captain Underpants - $73.4 million
Cars 3 - $149.4 million
The Dark Tower - $49 million
Despicable Me 3 - $257 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million
Dunkirk - $180 million
The Emoji Movie - $80 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390.5 million
The House - $26 million
An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power - $4 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 million
The Mummy - $80.1 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $172.4 million
Snatched - $45.852 million
Spider-Man: Homecoming - $324 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million
Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $40 million
War for the Planet of the Apes - $144 million
Wonder Woman - $407 million

Current Top 5
1. Wonder Woman - $404.0 million
2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $389.2 million
3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $314.1 million
4. Despicable Me 3 - $251.7 million
5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.8 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? An Inconvenient Sequel
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.8%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Girls Trip (currently $104.0 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (-1,758 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Eleven (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk, Baby Driver, Girls Trip)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $43.7 million)


Sun Aug 20, 2017 7:07 pm
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Updated impacts on what could change up the current top 7 rankings.

Things that will definitely happen:

--Dunkirk passes Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales for the Summer #5 position.
FLAVA'D and EXDEE13 LOSE 1 PT.

-Annabelle: Creation gets within 16.3% of Annabelle''s total gross ( it needs to pass $70.2 million), taking question #5 (closest-grossing sequel) from Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2.
ALGREN LOSES 2 PTS


Things that could happen:

-The Hitman's Bodyguard out-grosses 47 Meters Down ($43.4 million) to take question #10 (highest grossing movie we didn't predict), but nothing else out-grosses The Hitman's Bodyguard. (99% CHANCE)
FLAVA'D and ALGREN GAIN 2 PTS.

-The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature loses more than 1,758 theaters on Aug 25. (95% CHANCE)
NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7

-Dunkirk passes $182.5 million. (95% CHANCE)
FLAVA'D and JONATHON LOSE 3 PTS. MADGEZ GAINS 3 PTS.

-The Emoji Movie passes $85 million. (70% CHANCE)
PRICE LOSES 3 PTS.


Less likely things that could happen:

-Dunkirk passes $200 million, making question #9's answer be 5 movies. (15% CHANCE)
MADGEZ LOSES 2 PTS. PRICE, FLAVA'D, ALGREN, and JONATHON GAIN 2 PTS.

-Atomic Blonde passes $55 million. (15% CHANCE)
PRICE GAINS 3 PTS.

-Spider-Man: Homecoming passes $340 million. It needs a 6.2 multiplier from this weekend. (1% CHANCE)
ALGREN GAINS 2 PTS.

-1 additional movie passes $100 million, making question #8's answer be 12 movies. (1% CHANCE)
PRICE LOSES 2 PTS. MADGEZ and EXDEE13 GAIN 2 PTS


Feel free to make of copy of my Google Doc and play around with the numbers yourselves to see if you can find any other possible impacts:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing


Sun Aug 20, 2017 7:22 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So I lose 2pt no matter what. Shit.

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Sun Aug 20, 2017 8:53 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Algren wrote:
So I lose 2pt no matter what. Shit.

But you have a 99% shot of getting those 2 pts back with Hitman's Bodyguard.

If Emoji Movie passes $85 million, you might have this game, as that would leave you tied with Price (you win based on tie-breaking rule).


Sun Aug 20, 2017 9:37 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Interesting. But I do not see Emoji passing $85m.

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Sun Aug 20, 2017 10:28 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So u saying I have NO shot of winning lol cool

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Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:38 pm
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