KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36915
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Out of Top 25...again. I am so BAD at this game.
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Mon Jul 31, 2017 1:53 am |
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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am Posts: 13269 Location: Vienna
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Ouch.
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Mon Jul 31, 2017 9:24 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18842 Location: San Diego
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
aaaand Valerian takes #7. It's gonna lose 1,758 theaters this weekend.
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Thu Aug 03, 2017 5:16 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36915
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Phew I get one point for that. Hopefully this gets me inside Top 25.
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Thu Aug 03, 2017 10:07 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 66999
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
publicenemy#1 wrote: aaaand Valerian takes #7. It's gonna lose 1,758 theaters this weekend.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Fri Aug 04, 2017 12:03 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for August 6Total Gross ProjectionsAlien: Covenant - $74.3 million Atomic Blonde - $52 million Baby Driver - $102 million Baywatch - $58.1 million The Beguiled - $10.7 million Captain Underpants - $73.4 million Cars 3 - $149 million The Dark Tower - $53 million Despicable Me 3 - $251 million Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million Dunkirk - $175 million The Emoji Movie - $75 million Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390.5 million The House - $26 million King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 millionThe Mummy - $80.1 million Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.6 million Snatched - $45.9 million Spider-Man: Homecoming - $312 million Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $39 million War for the Planet of the Apes - $143 million Wonder Woman - $404 million Current Top 51. Wonder Woman - $399.5 million 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.4 million 3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $294.9 million 4. Despicable Me 3 - $240.8 million 5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.3 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? An Inconvenient Sequel (currently -95.6%)#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.6%)#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baby Driver (currently $97.1 million)#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (-1,758 theaters)#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Nine (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk)#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $43.1 million)
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Sun Aug 06, 2017 11:46 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 66999
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
The Gezmeister!
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Sun Aug 06, 2017 11:50 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
I should have a planning poll up for next season's contest (Sep - Dec) sometime tonight.
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Tue Aug 08, 2017 5:26 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Up 18th to 3rd in 2 weeks?!
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Thu Aug 10, 2017 5:05 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Weekly Ranking for August 13Total Gross ProjectionsAlien: Covenant - $74.3 million Annabelle: Creation - $77 million Atomic Blonde - $52 million Baby Driver - $105 million Baywatch - $58.06 millionThe Beguiled - $10.576 millionCaptain Underpants - $73.4 million Cars 3 - $149 million The Dark Tower - $49 million Despicable Me 3 - $253 million Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million Dunkirk - $175 million The Emoji Movie - $75 million Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390.5 million The House - $26 million An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power - $5.5 million King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 millionThe Mummy - $80.1 million Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.9 million Snatched - $45.852 millionSpider-Man: Homecoming - $317 million Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $40 million War for the Planet of the Apes - $144 million Wonder Woman - $407 million Current Top 51. Wonder Woman - $402.2 million 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388.9 million 3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $306.5 million 4. Despicable Me 3 - $247.7 million 5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.6 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? An Inconvenient Sequel (currently -90.5%)#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.7%)#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baby Driver (currently $100.1 million)#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (-1,758 theaters)#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Ten (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk, Baby Driver)#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $43.4 million)
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Sun Aug 13, 2017 1:08 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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All movies are now in play. We're getting down to the final ranking! Here some impacts I could come up with to the current top 7 rankings.
Things that will definitely happen:
-Girls Trip passes Baby Driver in total gross, taking question #6 (highest grossing film without being #1). NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7
--Dunkirk passes Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales for the Summer #5 position. FLAVA'D and EXDEE13 LOSE 1 PT.
Things that could happen:
-The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature loses more than 1,758 theaters on Aug 25. NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7
-Annabelle: Creation gets within 16.3% of Annabelle''s total gross ( it needs to pass $70.2 million), taking question #5 (closest-grossing sequel) from Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2. ALGREN LOSES 2 PTS
-Only 1 additional movie (Girls Trip) will pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 11 movies. PRICE GAINS 2 PTS
-The Hitman's Bodyguard out-grosses 47 Meters Down ($43.4 million). FLAVA'D and ALGREN GAIN 2 PTS.
-Dunkirk passes $175 million. FLAVA'D LOSES 3 PTS.
-Dunkirk passes $182.5 million. FLAVA'D and JONATHON LOSE 3 PTS. MADGEZ GAINS 3 PTS.
-Spider-Man: Homecoming passes $317.5 million. STAR LORD LOSES 3 PTS.
-The Emoji Movie passes $75 million. EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS.
-The Emoji Movie passes $77.5 million. EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS. STAR LORD GAINS 3 PTS.
Less likely things that could happen:
-Dunkirk passes $200 million, making question #9's answer be 5 movies. MADGEZ LOSES 2 PTS. PRICE, FLAVA'D, ALGREN, and JONATHON GAIN 2 PTS.
-An Inconvenient Sequel falls less than 57.7% from An Inconvenient Truth ( it needs to pass $10.45 million), giving question #4 (highest-dropping sequel) back to Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul. PRICE, JONATHON, EXDEE13, and STAR LORD LOSE 2 PTS. ALGREN GAINS 2 PTS.
-Two additional movies (Girls Trip and something else) pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 12 movies. MADGEZ and EXDEE13 GAIN 2 PTS
-Three additional movies (Girls Trip and 2 other movies) pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 13 movies. ALGREN, JONATHON, and STAR LORD GAIN 2 PTS
-Atomic Blonde passes $55 million. PRICE GAINS 3 PTS.
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Sun Aug 13, 2017 1:29 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 66999
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
This is how you run an online movie forum game! Awesome post, MGKC.
I'd be happy with a bronze finish. Champ then bronze medal will be a reeeeesult.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Mon Aug 14, 2017 6:42 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36915
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Hoping to close out inside Top 20.
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Mon Aug 14, 2017 9:35 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23695 Location: Classified
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So I have to root against Dunkirk? Go Hitman and Annabelle!!
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Mon Aug 14, 2017 12:38 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
If Detroit didn't have its last-minute limited release in late July, meaning this will be its fourth weekend, it might have contended for question no. 7. It has 3,007 theatres to lose.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Mon Aug 14, 2017 8:22 pm |
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moviegeek151
Child Actor
Joined: Fri Apr 26, 2013 9:28 pm Posts: 38
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
The Nut Job 2 will almost surely take question 7--Over 4000 theaters and a single digit opening? It's going straight out of theaters in a couple weeks.
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Wed Aug 16, 2017 3:52 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 66999
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
moviegeek151 wrote: The Nut Job 2 will almost surely take question 7--Over 4000 theaters and a single digit opening? It's going straight out of theaters in a couple weeks. It may even break the record and become the largest theater drop in history, even more than Live By Night's 2,659 theater drop.
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Wed Aug 16, 2017 7:55 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
moviegeek151 wrote: The Nut Job 2 will almost surely take question 7--Over 4000 theaters and a single digit opening? It's going straight out of theaters in a couple weeks. Great call - I added that to the list, though it will cause no points impact to the top 7 people currently.
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Wed Aug 16, 2017 10:33 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32083 Location: the last free city
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Jack Sparrow wrote: Hoping to close out inside Top 20. Hoping to finish in the top 10
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Wed Aug 16, 2017 11:08 am |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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These impacts have now been included in the weekly rankings (seen further below): MGKC wrote: -Girls Trip passes Baby Driver in total gross, taking question #6 (highest grossing film without being #1). NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7
-Only 1 additional movie (Girls Trip) will pass $100 million, making question #8's answer be 11 movies. PRICE GAINS 2 PTS
-Dunkirk passes $175 million. FLAVA'D LOSES 3 PTS.
-Spider-Man: Homecoming passes $317.5 million. STAR LORD LOSES 3 PTS.
-The Emoji Movie passes $75 million. EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS.
-The Emoji Movie passes $77.5 million. EXDEE13 LOSES 3 PTS. STAR LORD GAINS 3 PTS.
Weekly Ranking for August 20Total Gross ProjectionsAlien: Covenant - $74.3 million Annabelle: Creation - $82 million Atomic Blonde - $52 million Baby Driver - $105 million Baywatch - $58.06 millionThe Beguiled - $10.576 millionCaptain Underpants - $73.4 million Cars 3 - $149.4 million The Dark Tower - $49 million Despicable Me 3 - $257 million Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.7 million Dunkirk - $180 million The Emoji Movie - $80 million Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390.5 million The House - $26 million An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power - $4 million King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.175 millionThe Mummy - $80.1 million Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $172.4 million Snatched - $45.852 millionSpider-Man: Homecoming - $324 million Transformers: The Last Knight - $130.5 million Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets - $40 million War for the Planet of the Apes - $144 million Wonder Woman - $407 million Current Top 51. Wonder Woman - $404.0 million 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $389.2 million 3. Spider-Man: Homecoming - $314.1 million 4. Despicable Me 3 - $251.7 million 5. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171.8 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? An Inconvenient Sequel#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +16.8%)#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Girls Trip (currently $104.0 million)#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Valerian and the City of a Thousand Planets (-1,758 theaters)#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Eleven (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight, Despicable Me 3, Spider-Man: Homecoming, War for the Planet of the Apes, Dunkirk, Baby Driver, Girls Trip)#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Four (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman, Spider-Man: Homecoming, Despicable Me 3)#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? 47 Meters Down (currently $43.7 million)
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Sun Aug 20, 2017 7:07 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Updated impacts on what could change up the current top 7 rankings. Things that will definitely happen:--Dunkirk passes Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales for the Summer #5 position. FLAVA'D and EXDEE13 LOSE 1 PT.-Annabelle: Creation gets within 16.3% of Annabelle''s total gross ( it needs to pass $70.2 million), taking question #5 (closest-grossing sequel) from Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2. ALGREN LOSES 2 PTSThings that could happen:-The Hitman's Bodyguard out-grosses 47 Meters Down ($43.4 million) to take question #10 (highest grossing movie we didn't predict), but nothing else out-grosses The Hitman's Bodyguard. (99% CHANCE) FLAVA'D and ALGREN GAIN 2 PTS.-The Nut Job 2: Nutty by Nature loses more than 1,758 theaters on Aug 25. (95% CHANCE) NO POINTS IMPACT TO THE TOP #7-Dunkirk passes $182.5 million. (95% CHANCE) FLAVA'D and JONATHON LOSE 3 PTS. MADGEZ GAINS 3 PTS.-The Emoji Movie passes $85 million. (70% CHANCE) PRICE LOSES 3 PTS.Less likely things that could happen:-Dunkirk passes $200 million, making question #9's answer be 5 movies. (15% CHANCE) MADGEZ LOSES 2 PTS. PRICE, FLAVA'D, ALGREN, and JONATHON GAIN 2 PTS.-Atomic Blonde passes $55 million. (15% CHANCE) PRICE GAINS 3 PTS.-Spider-Man: Homecoming passes $340 million. It needs a 6.2 multiplier from this weekend. (1% CHANCE) ALGREN GAINS 2 PTS.-1 additional movie passes $100 million, making question #8's answer be 12 movies. (1% CHANCE) PRICE LOSES 2 PTS. MADGEZ and EXDEE13 GAIN 2 PTSFeel free to make of copy of my Google Doc and play around with the numbers yourselves to see if you can find any other possible impacts: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing
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Sun Aug 20, 2017 7:22 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 66999
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So I lose 2pt no matter what. Shit.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Aug 20, 2017 8:53 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm Posts: 11808 Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Algren wrote: So I lose 2pt no matter what. Shit. But you have a 99% shot of getting those 2 pts back with Hitman's Bodyguard. If Emoji Movie passes $85 million, you might have this game, as that would leave you tied with Price (you win based on tie-breaking rule).
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Sun Aug 20, 2017 9:37 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 66999
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
Interesting. But I do not see Emoji passing $85m.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Aug 20, 2017 10:28 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32083 Location: the last free city
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Re: KJ's Summer 2017 Box Office Contest
So u saying I have NO shot of winning lol cool
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Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:38 pm |
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