Everything is still very close now, hoping for some good predictions the next weekends.

Reigning champ is back in a podium spot!

Weekly Ranking for June 11



Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $73.5 million
Baywatch - $60 million
Captain Underpants - $69 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.5 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39.5 million
The Mummy - $75 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $161 million
Snatched - $46 million
Wonder Woman - $345 million

Current Top 5
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $366.4 million
2. Wonder Woman - $205.0 million
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $135.8 million
4. Alien: Covenant - $71.2 million
5. Baywatch - $51.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently $366.4 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman (currently $205.0 million)
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and Baywatch (currently within $20.2 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul (currently -60.4%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +10.0%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baywatch (currently $51.1 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (-1,199 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Three (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Everything, Everything (currently $31.7 million)

Phew. Still in the top five.

You're going down champ

Ain't nothin' over 'til it's over.

LeBralgren James!

Nice to be in the top spot, if only for a week as I'll likely lose my WW and Mummy points.

Glad I'm locked into WW points!

Back to the bottom.

Well Rough Night won't be the answer to number 10.

But it could easily be the answer to number 7. I thought I had a chance with King Arthur, but Rough Night bombed so hard I think it will blow it away in theaters dropped.

Agreed - it's definitely got a decent shot of holding that spot all summer.

Yes, Rough Night is definitely a major contender for question no. 7. There may be larger flops, but I am not sure how many of them, if any, will be in 3,000-plus theatres. A worst-case scenario for Valerian... might save it.

Diary of a Wimpy kid was in over 3000 theaters, did worse over OW and lost just over 1,000 theaters in week 3? Hopefully nothing is able to hold onto more screens than that.

Even if it's a crap movie, Valerian still screams big screen movie (maybe even 3D big screen) with it's emphasis on visuals. The problem is, STX has never had a film that focused on visuals. Their films usually bomb, even with big stars (The Circle), or great reviews (The Edge of Seventeen). Their only big success was Bad Moms, with low budget horror films making them some money too.

I'm not feeling buzz for Valerian, despite a fair amount of advertising. Even so, I can't see it bombing as bad as Rough Night. But yes, there is a chance it it opens wide enough and flops it could beat whatever Rough Nights drop ends up being.

Excellent analysis and perspective on STX.

Weekly Ranking for June 18



Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74 million
Baywatch - $58.5 million
Captain Underpants - $69 million
Cars 3 - $165 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.8 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $390 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39 million
The Mummy - $75 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $165 million
Snatched - $46 million
Wonder Woman - $400 million

Current Top 5
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $374.9 million
2. Wonder Woman - $275.1 million
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $150.6 million
4. Alien: Covenant - $72.8 million
5. Baywatch - $55.2 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently $366.4 million)
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman (currently $275.1 million)
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Baywatch
and The Mummy (currently within $2.0 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Cars 3 (currently -72.0%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +12.5%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Baywatch (currently $55.2 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? King Arthur: Legend of the Sword (-1,199 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Three (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Everything, Everything (currently $33.2 million)

Highest grossing film to not hit #1 is no longer Baywatch but Captain Underpants and in a couple of days The Mummy.

The reigning champ has slipped out of the Top 5, and it's game over.

Oh, I have 10 "?" points, nice!

It Comes At Night takes #7.

Glad I went low on Transformers: The Last Knight.

Ouch, I have the highest Last Knight prediction. I don't know. I just completely missed the whole, "This is going to wildly drop from the fourth movie" vibe. I thought it was going to draw 85, 90 percent of the same Transformers crowd.

Weekly Ranking for July 2



Total Gross Projections
Alien: Covenant - $74 million
Baby Driver - $68 million
Baywatch - $58.5 million
The Beguiled - $15 million
Captain Underpants - $71 million
Cars 3 - $139 million
Despicable Me 3 - $225 million
Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul - $20.8 million
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $388 million
The House - $22 million
King Arthur: Legend of the Sword - $39 million
The Mummy - $79 million
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $171 million
Snatched - $46 million
Transformers: The Last Knight - $140 millon
Wonder Woman - $390 million

Current Top 5
1. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 - $383.3 million
2. Wonder Woman - $346.6 million
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales - $165.5 million
4. Cars 3 - $120.7 million
5. Transformers: The Last Knight - $102.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 or the double the total gross of Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman or the combination of Spider-Man: Homecoming and Transformers: The Last Knight? War of the Planet of the Apes and Wonder Woman (currently $346.6 million)
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Alien: Covenant, Baywatch, Dunkirk, or The Mummy? Alien: Covenant and The Mummy (currently within $0.9 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Despicable Me 3 (currently -79.50%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Annabelle: Creation, Cars 3, Despicable Me 3, Diary of a Wimpy Kid: The Long Haul, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, An Inconvenient Sequel, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Transformers: The Last Knight, or War for the Planet of the Apes? Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (currently +15.0%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? The Mummy (currently $74.5 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Rough Night (-1,505 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Five (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales, Wonder Woman, Cars 3, Transformers: The Last Knight)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2, Wonder Woman)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Everything, Everything (currently $33.7 million)

The 'troll' squad leading the way.