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 April 14-16 Predictions 

Will The Fate of the Furious crack 120m OW?
Yes 58%  58%  [ 7 ]
No 42%  42%  [ 5 ]
Total votes : 12

 April 14-16 Predictions 
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Post April 14-16 Predictions
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The Fate of the Furious- 107 million


Fri Apr 07, 2017 2:53 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
If it cracks 100 Million it will be lucky. I think it could possibly miss that. Grosses will come back down to earth for this one after the last was inflated due to being Walker's last.


Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:03 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
$125m. Buzz is low but people will show up.


Fri Apr 07, 2017 4:55 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
$113m

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Fri Apr 07, 2017 7:45 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Fate of the Furious - 103


Fri Apr 07, 2017 8:26 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
The only one to crack Million OW was the last one. Why should this?


Fri Apr 07, 2017 11:24 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Because it went up to $147m, that's why. Do you think all of that extra attendance will not be interested just because Paul Walker didn't die last year? You think there will be 0% retention from new viewers gained by Furious 7?

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Fri Apr 07, 2017 11:27 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Because it went up to $147m, that's why. Do you think all of that extra attendance will not be interested just because Paul Walker didn't die last year? You think there will be 0% retention from new viewers gained by Furious 7?


I think more people that may have otherwise waited for the home released made it out because it was Paul Walker's final one. That brought it a lot of extra attention. There's really no other explanation. Now it will go back to normal.


Fri Apr 07, 2017 11:41 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
I definitely think Paul Walker was a factor, but the franchise also grew with each installment. Furious 7 also had natural growth. It was boosted by Walker's death, sure, and some of those that attended were probably not interested in this franchise at all, but I don't believe all hated it. Some must have liked it, and therefore some will show up again for the eighth film. I guess we'll see soon enough.

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Fri Apr 07, 2017 11:56 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
126m/318m.


Sat Apr 08, 2017 1:08 am
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Yeah I don't see why this will decrease drastically over the OW from the last. The last one had the added advantage of Walker's death but it was also liked/loved by the audience who saw it.

Fate - $135m


Sat Apr 08, 2017 3:34 am
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Mike is underestimating the fan base for Helen Mirren. ;)

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Sat Apr 08, 2017 4:56 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Because it went up to $147m, that's why. Do you think all of that extra attendance will not be interested just because Paul Walker didn't die last year? You think there will be 0% retention from new viewers gained by Furious 7?


I think more people that may have otherwise waited for the home released made it out because it was Paul Walker's final one. That brought it a lot of extra attention. There's really no other explanation. Now it will go back to normal.
Yup it'll be just like when Dark Knight Rises sunk back to Batman Begins levels.


Sat Apr 08, 2017 11:53 am
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
The Fate of the Furious - 120


Sat Apr 08, 2017 12:07 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Because it went up to $147m, that's why. Do you think all of that extra attendance will not be interested just because Paul Walker didn't die last year? You think there will be 0% retention from new viewers gained by Furious 7?


I think more people that may have otherwise waited for the home released made it out because it was Paul Walker's final one. That brought it a lot of extra attention. There's really no other explanation. Now it will go back to normal.
Yup it'll be just like when Dark Knight Rises sunk back to Batman Begins levels.


Dark Knight was amazing though so of course people came back for it. Obviously audiences dug Furious 7 but I just feel Fate will take a tumble. It will still do great though.


Sat Apr 08, 2017 1:37 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
It is the only direct comparison though, unless you wanna count The Crow: City of Angels. :P

Six rose about 11.5% from Five on opening weekend. Giving that same increase to 7 would have put it at around $108.5m opening weeknd, though I think the addition of Statham would have got it a little bit higher. The same increase puts F8 at about $120m, so I'd be disappointed by anything less than that. I'd say Walker's death, and the final tearjerking scene of Furious 7 helped the legs more than anyhing.


Last edited by Flava'd vs The World on Sat Apr 08, 2017 1:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sat Apr 08, 2017 1:49 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
I forgot it was Easter weekend so that upped my prediction a bit.

FATE OF THE FURIOUS - 112.95 MILLION


Sat Apr 08, 2017 1:49 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Ok that is acceptable. :thumbsup:


Sat Apr 08, 2017 1:50 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
I forgot it was Easter weekend so that upped my prediction a bit.

FATE OF THE FURIOUS - 112.95 MILLION

:funny:

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Sat Apr 08, 2017 2:18 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
I forgot it was Easter weekend so that upped my prediction a bit.

FATE OF THE FURIOUS - 112.95 MILLION

:funny:


That's not even a HUGE leap. I was thinking in the 95-100 Million range initially.


Sat Apr 08, 2017 2:26 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Should still be good for 115-120m and then still miss 300m.

It will drop a fair chunk from the last one as discussed above.

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Sat Apr 08, 2017 5:43 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Should do 130m at least

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Sat Apr 08, 2017 6:40 pm
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
I forgot it was Easter weekend so that upped my prediction a bit.

FATE OF THE FURIOUS - 112.95 MILLION

:funny:


That's not even a HUGE leap. I was thinking in the 95-100 Million range initially.


I was laughing at your bullshit rationale for the change of heart.

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Sat Apr 08, 2017 10:58 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
I forgot it was Easter weekend so that upped my prediction a bit.

FATE OF THE FURIOUS - 112.95 MILLION

:funny:


That's not even a HUGE leap. I was thinking in the 95-100 Million range initially.


I was laughing at your bullshit rationale for the change of heart.


It's not really bullshit though. On a regular weekend I think I'd still stick with it not making over 100 Million. But Friday will be a big movie-going day with many off work and school.


Mon Apr 10, 2017 12:15 am
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Post Re: April 14-16 Predictions
Come on, Mike. I was obviously referring to the "forgot" part. But never mind. Let's say I believe you. $112m is still too low. :P

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Mon Apr 10, 2017 12:28 am
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