Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Restricted trailer:
Had no idea this existed before the trailer tease yesterday, but now I am hella down for this. That is an excellent trailer. Seems like it could break out too. Theron isn't really a movie-opening headliner (she hasn't successfully opened a movie on her name alone before), but she is still a major name actress. This actually reminds me a bit of Lucy, being a female-led, R-rated action flick at the end of July? It won't open as high as that film (Focus is distributing this, somehow), but I sense a breakout, and if this is as crowd-pleasing as John Wick, it could have good legs through August as well.
Opening: $23.8 million Total: $79 million (3.32)
Fri Mar 10, 2017 2:46 pm
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Magnus wrote:
i actually think this has 100m potential. Salt did 36m (40m adjuted) in this slot and Lucy did 43m (47m adjusted). Mid-to-late July is going to be an open marketplace for a July month. The other films are somewhat geeky (Valerian and Dark Tower) or serious (Dunkirk) that this will appeal to people just looking for a solid carefree summer entertainment option.
I think it can do 30m/100m.
I agree it has that potential. The main thing holding me back is that it's Focus distributing (they've only had two movies ever top $63 million), and that Theron hasn't really had a hit movie that belongs to her. But then again, I guess ScarJo didn't either before Lucy, so maybe it'll work out for her.
Fri Mar 10, 2017 3:37 pm
Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48626 Location: Arlington, VA
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Similar numbers to Salt and Lucy seem distinctly possible and would make perfect sense given the plot and release date.
Fri Mar 10, 2017 6:00 pm
lesterg
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Dec 22, 2005 11:40 am Posts: 1339
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Jonathan wrote:
The main thing holding me back is that it's Focus distributing (they've only had two movies ever top $63 million)
This. Movie looks awesome, though.
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Fri Mar 10, 2017 6:32 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Even though I really want to see it I was thinking like 28 million total. I suppose it will help that the trailer should be with Fate of the Furious.
Fri Mar 10, 2017 9:38 pm
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
I don't think the movie will be a big hit, maybe somewhere between the two John Wick movies in box office
This sounds right to me too.
Sat Mar 11, 2017 6:27 am
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Remake of Haywire in the style of John Wick. Low 30s finish.
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Sat Mar 11, 2017 11:53 pm
Lumpy Space Princess
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 24, 2017 8:03 pm Posts: 291
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Gurl power is in gurls. 2017 is their playground ya know. 45m/115m.
Sun Mar 12, 2017 9:28 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
$27m/$80m
Mon Mar 13, 2017 3:08 am
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Guys, this is being distributed by Focus Features. The powerhouse that steered Nocturnal Animals to a whopping $10m, engineered the mighty $27m total for the 6-time Academy Award nominated Dallas Buyers Club, and has never had a movie gross more than $83m (it was Brokeback Mountain).
And their highest-grossing actioner? London Has Fallen at $62m, which is their third highest-grossing film ever.
Atomic Blonde ain't reaching $100m.
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Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:04 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
And reviews for Atomic Blonde are mixed. I feel an action film like this needs overbearingly positive reviews for it to make a significant box office haul.
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Mon Mar 13, 2017 10:29 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Algren wrote:
Guys, this is being distributed by Focus Features. The powerhouse that steered Nocturnal Animals to a whopping $10m, engineered the mighty $27m total for the 6-time Academy Award nominated Dallas Buyers Club, and has never had a movie gross more than $83m (it was Brokeback Mountain).
And their highest-grossing actioner? London Has Fallen at $62m, which is their third highest-grossing film ever.
Atomic Blonde ain't reaching $100m.
Focus Features is just starting to get into the bigger/more mainstream movie game. No reason this couldn't at least do London Has Fallen numbers.
Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:51 am
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Magic Mike wrote:
Focus Features is just starting to get into the bigger/more mainstream movie game.
What makes you think that? And what makes you think they'll be any good at it? I mean, A Monster Calls was surely more mainstream-friendly than its $3.7m gross suggests (the decimal point is in the correct place! lol). They'll probably screw up Atomic Blonde's release as well.
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Tue Mar 14, 2017 12:57 am
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20341 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Will this be hurt by coming directly after Dunkirk, Apes and Spider-Man?
I'm thinking low to mid 20's opening, 70-80m total.
Mon Jul 17, 2017 4:15 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67039
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
No, but it'll be hurt by being a second-rate female version of John Wick.
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Mon Jul 17, 2017 9:17 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
This will probably have the best soundtrack of the year. Don't get me wrong, Baby Driver's music worked so well in that movie but for me personally it's not music that I want to listen to that much outside of the movie. The music in Atomic Blonde I'm already a fan of and am really looking forward to hearing it in the movie.
I hope this will be successful enough to launch a series .
Thu Jul 20, 2017 2:05 pm
Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
Re: Atomic Blonde (July 28) preidctions
Algren wrote:
No, but it'll be hurt by being a second-rate female version of John Wick.
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