Ya, looks like both could potentially hit the mark.

Kingsman is probably gonna hit 100m by Tuesday...

Yep both of these movies should be sneak past $100m specially MotoE which is having great weekdays and should run ahead of DH2 over weekends now as well. MotoE needs a multiplier of 3 from here on though DH2 needs a little higher 3.1 from here both of which shouldn't be too big of an ask with holidays coming soon.

I didn't notice this post supporting my little joke - thanks for the back-up!

Hey no worries, bro. Shall we be pals?

PayPal perhaps.

I'm not fooling for this, you dodgy Nigerian!

$100+ million movies of 2017 (days to $100m)

1. Split (19)
2. The Lego Batman Movie (11)
3. Fifty Shades Darker (16)
4. Logan (5)
5. Get Out (16)
6. Beauty and the Beast (2)
7. Kong: Skull Island (9)
8. The Boss Baby (14)
9. The Fate of the Furious (4)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2)
11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (9)
12. Wonder Woman (3)
13. Cars 3 (11)
14. Transformers: The Last Knight (12)
15. Despicable Me 3 (6)
16. Spider-Man: Homecoming (3)
17. War for the Planet of the Apes (11)
18. Dunkirk (10)
19. Baby Driver (47)
20. Girls Trip (28)
21. It (3)
22. Annabelle: Creation (40)
23. Thor: Ragnarok (3)
24. Justice League (4)
25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle (71)

"Locks"
Wonder
Coco
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Great Chance
Daddy's Home 2
Murder on the Orient Express
Pitch Perfect 3
Jumanji

Possible
Ferdinand
The Greatest Showman

Kingsman finally made it... 71 days lol

Coco and Wonder will hit the mark soon. Murder and DH2 should make it unless it absolutely falls off Star Wars weekend.

Even if MotoE and DH2 see a big drop with SW7 they will be close enough by that time for them to reach $100m

Yeah, which means they have a great chance, but it is no guarantee.

But the holidays will be so great for them and next weekend they will hold really well. 1.5m weekend on the 22nd to 24th can mean 10m more easily. Last Jedi won’t hit them that hard as there will be spillover from sellouts. You can imagine some worst case scenario, but everything needs to go wrong and I don’t see how they don’t make it. To piss Algren off i’ll call it guaranteed since there might be a 99.99% chance.

Oh man, I am so pissed off right now.

Lol because you don’t care. You’ll say the same thing next time no matter what happens.

Yes like The Last Jedi is also mathematically possible to not reach $100m though anyways I agree right now they are too far to be considered locks. I wasn't talking about the category pe#1 placed them into just that he said they might get killed but that seems highly unlikely.

It is not about mathematics. Every film is mathematically possible to not reach $100m and therefore also mathematically possible to reach it. That helps nobody. It is about likelihood. The Last Jedi is an absolute lock on par with tomorrow being Monday.

Orient Express and Daddy's Home 2 are in a different boat. They've already been out for a few weeks and while it may be likely, they are not absolute certainties. They just have a great chance to make it. I'd say 70% or more.

Movies are certain to make what they will. My ticket wouldn't make much of a difference and I'm not going to affect the gross that much any other way. It appears likely or not based on the information and analysis the prediction is based on. If you have new or better information it can change a prediction and mostly likely make it more accurate.

$100+ million movies of 2017 (days to $100m)

1. Split (19)
2. The Lego Batman Movie (11)
3. Fifty Shades Darker (16)
4. Logan (5)
5. Get Out (16)
6. Beauty and the Beast (2)
7. Kong: Skull Island (9)
8. The Boss Baby (14)
9. The Fate of the Furious (4)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2)
11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (9)
12. Wonder Woman (3)
13. Cars 3 (11)
14. Transformers: The Last Knight (12)
15. Despicable Me 3 (6)
16. Spider-Man: Homecoming (3)
17. War for the Planet of the Apes (11)
18. Dunkirk (10)
19. Baby Driver (47)
20. Girls Trip (28)
21. It (3)
22. Annabelle: Creation (40)
23. Thor: Ragnarok (3)
24. Justice League (4)
25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle (71)
26. Coco (11)

"Locks"
Wonder
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Great Chance
Daddy's Home 2
Murder on the Orient Express
Pitch Perfect 3
Jumanji

Possible
Ferdinand
The Greatest Showman

DH2 and Murder will probably be close to 90m by the end of next weekend but I still don't feel comfortable putting them as lock *shrug* if both make it we just need 1 more film to have more 100m grossers than last year.

Don't see any Oscar hopeful like La La Land passing 100m but it'd be a nice surprise.

So we are looking very good to beat 2016's 30 x 100m grossers.

We look to have 32 with the 'locks' and 'great chance' making it (I do think both DH2 and Orient will make it).

I'd also add Ferdinand + one or two others that break out or are January awards hits (either The Post, I Tonya, Greatest Showman).

So 33-35 would be pretty good. Yet the year will probably have the lowest ticket sales since 1992.

Can we move both DH2 and MotOE to locks now?

$100+ million movies of 2017 (days to $100m)

1. Split (19)
2. The Lego Batman Movie (11)
3. Fifty Shades Darker (16)
4. Logan (5)
5. Get Out (16)
6. Beauty and the Beast (2)
7. Kong: Skull Island (9)
8. The Boss Baby (14)
9. The Fate of the Furious (4)
10. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2)
11. Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (9)
12. Wonder Woman (3)
13. Cars 3 (11)
14. Transformers: The Last Knight (12)
15. Despicable Me 3 (6)
16. Spider-Man: Homecoming (3)
17. War for the Planet of the Apes (11)
18. Dunkirk (10)
19. Baby Driver (47)
20. Girls Trip (28)
21. It (3)
22. Annabelle: Creation (40)
23. Thor: Ragnarok (3)
24. Justice League (4)
25. Kingsman: The Golden Circle (71)
26. Coco (11)
27. Wonder (24)

"Locks"
Daddy's Home 2
Murder on the Orient Express
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Great Chance
Pitch Perfect 3
Jumanji

Possible
Ferdinand
The Greatest Showman

Expected. These drops happened before TFA too. Too close now.

Yep DH2 and MotoE are locked up now. DH2 in particular has Christmas behind it. MotoE should be hit less by SW8 IMO.

MOTOE and DH2 both have incredible legs. Both will cross 100m pretty easily. My guess is 110m for MOTOE and 105m for DH2.

I think with Christmas DH2 will eventually take over MotoE in total.

It better cross $100m it was my pick in the yearly games.