Yeah, so BK could gain a few points on me with that one.
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| KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest - FINAL RESULTS http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=81576 |
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| Author: | David [ Wed Apr 05, 2017 10:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Your prediction represents the high end of its potential, I feel. I honestly believe it is going to badly, badly flop; a 6/13 type of run. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 will crush it only a few days into its run. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Wed Apr 05, 2017 10:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Yeah, so BK could gain a few points on me with that one.
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| Author: | Algren [ Wed Apr 05, 2017 10:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Fuck!!!!! Inferno only made $34m. First made $217m. Second made $133m. Third absolutely collapsed. But I still am quite confident in Hank's ability to draw a crowd. Larry Crowne is crap and it made $35m, but sure, that was 6 years ago. They still have a few weeks until The Circle is released. I think they can make it a decent amount of money. I don't think $35m is out of the question. It has Hanks and Watson, who both have fan bases, and it is also Bill Paxton's final film (or one of), which they may be able to play up a little. A total somewhere in the region of what The Island made wouldn't surprise me. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Apr 05, 2017 11:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
I think The Circle had some buzz when the trailer released. Seems like something that can open in the mid teens. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Thu Apr 06, 2017 12:11 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
I like that thinking, zwackyBoy! |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Weekly Ranking for April 10  Total Gross Projections Beauty and the Beast - $480 million The Boss Baby - $152 million CHiPs - $19 million A Dog's Purpose - $63.9 million Fifty Shades Darker - $114.434 million Fist Fight - $32.4 million The Founder - $12.8 million Ghost in the Shell - $41 million The Great Wall - $45.157 million John Wick: Chapter Two - $91.7 million Kong: Skull Island - $163 million The LEGO Batman Movie - $174.75 million Life - $30 million Logan - $225 million Monster Trucks - $33.37 million Power Rangers - $83 million Resident Evil: The Final Chapter - $26.85 million The Space Between Us - $7.885 million Split - $138 million T2: Trainspotting - $2.5 million xXx: The Return of Xander Cage - $44.898 million Underworld: Blood Wars - $30.354 million Current Top 5 1. Beauty and the Beast - $432.6 million 2. Logan - $218.1 million 3. The LEGO Batman Movie - $172.9 million 4. Kong: Skull Island - $156.6 million 5. Split - $137.5 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions #1: Which will gross more in total - Beauty and the Beast or the double the total gross of The LEGO Batman Movie? Beauty and the Beast #2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Kong: Skull Island and Split, the combination of Logan and Power Rangers, or the combination of Fast 8 and Smurfs: The Lost Village? Kong: Skull Island and Split (currently $294.1 million) #3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total (in dollars) - The Great Wall, Ghost in the Shell, John Wick: Chapter Two, and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage? The Great Wall and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage (currently within $0.25 million of each other) #4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fast 8, Fifty Shades Darker, John Wick: Chapter Two, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Smurfs: The Lost Village, T2: Trainspotting, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Underworld: Blood Wars? T2: Trainspotting (currently -90.2%) #5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fast 8, Fifty Shades Darker, John Wick: Chapter Two, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Smurfs: The Lost Village, T2: Trainspotting, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Underworld: Blood Wars? Fifty Shades Darker (currently -31.1%) #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Fifty Shades Darker ($114.4 million) #7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? A Cure for Wellness (-2,616 theaters) #8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Seven (Split, The LEGO Batman Movie, Fifty Shades Darker, Logan, Get Out, Beauty and the Beast, Kong: Skull Island) 98: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Beauty and the Beast, Logan) #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Get Out (currently $162.9 million) |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
MGKC wrote:  Something mildly interesting... It's looking like this question will flip sometime this week - currently Kong: Skull Island and Split are winning this, with $294.1 million. However, Logan and Powers Rangers are right behind it with $293.1 million. I don't see the combination of The Fate of the Furious and Smurfs: The Lost Village being too far off from these either. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Apr 09, 2017 11:50 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
MGKC wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: I wonder if TBB could have decent legs and ruin the Top 5 again this game. That's very true - I think all of us pretty much counted out that movie completely before this past weekend. Fox's lowest multiplier for a spring animation release was Rio 2, with a 3.3 multiplier. That would put The Boss Baby at $167 million - just above my current projection for Kong: Island. I kinda hope that happens to keep up the tradition of no one nailing the top 5. (I really messed up by not having Get Out be a predicted movie - it wasn't even in the poll in the planning thread!  )The Boss Baby better turn it around - after that not great 2nd weekend drop, I have a harder time seeing it pass Kong: Skull Island. That is, if it has Rio 2 legs. With Home's legs, it makes $169 million, which would be enough to pass Kong. Chippy, Flava'd, publicenemy#1, scoobydelite, and stuffp better hope it doesn't pass Kong.  With the exception of publicenemy#1, they're all toward the bottom of the ranks. With that 15-point bonus (and 1pt for each correct rank), that would definitely send them to the top 5.
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Apr 09, 2017 1:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
TBB did decent but it wasn't a big hold it should have had. Also given the holds of Kong it looks like it will overtake Batman in the end which would have been killed this weekend for sure with Smurfs opening, TBB kicking and 58% theatre drop. I see that ending at $175m. If Kong survives next weekend it would easily pass Batman. |
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| Author: | SolC9 [ Fri Apr 14, 2017 1:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Interesting. Kong might pass Lego Batman and ruin the top 5. But now, though way too early to know where the weekend will go, F8 could fall below Logan in the end if it doesn't hit 100M OW. Which would also wreck the top 5 predictions. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Apr 14, 2017 1:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
It will be very close between Kong and Batman but a lot is riding on Kong's hold this weekend. Logan is looking at $230m-$235m finish which depending on the weekend could be enough to down Fate. Either way it looks like this will be the closest Top 5 game but eventually the streak will continue. |
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| Author: | Riggs [ Sat Apr 15, 2017 4:13 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Can't wait for this to end. It was no fun clicking this thread at any point during this game for me. Congrats to Algren, though. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Apr 15, 2017 1:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
MGKC wrote: MGKC wrote: Something mildly interesting... It's looking like this question will flip sometime this week - currently Kong: Skull Island and Split are winning this, with $294.1 million. However, Logan and Powers Rangers are right behind it with $293.1 million. I don't see the combination of The Fate of the Furious and Smurfs: The Lost Village being too far off from these either. They need to quick re-release Split  .
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Apr 16, 2017 8:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Weekly Ranking for April 16  Total Gross Projections Beauty and the Beast - $480 million The Boss Baby - $145 million CHiPs - $19 million A Dog's Purpose - $63.9 million The Fate of the Furious - $225 million Fifty Shades Darker - $114.434 million Fist Fight - $32.4 million The Founder - $12.8 million Ghost in the Shell - $41 million The Great Wall - $45.157 million John Wick: Chapter Two - $92 million Kong: Skull Island - $166 million The LEGO Batman Movie - $174.75 million Life - $30 million Logan - $225 million Monster Trucks - $33.37 million Power Rangers - $83 million Resident Evil: The Final Chapter - $26.85 million Smurfs: The Lost Village - $35 million The Space Between Us - $7.885 million Split - $138 million T2: Trainspotting - $2.5 million xXx: The Return of Xander Cage - $44.898 million Underworld: Blood Wars - $30.354 million Current Top 5 1. Beauty and the Beast - $454.6 million 2. Logan - $221.6 million 3. The LEGO Batman Movie - $173.4 million 4. Kong: Skull Island - $161.2 million 5. Split - $137.8 million Current Answers to Box Office Questions #1: Which will gross more in total - Beauty and the Beast or the double the total gross of The LEGO Batman Movie? Beauty and the Beast #2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Kong: Skull Island and Split, the combination of Logan and Power Rangers, or the combination of Fast 8 and Smurfs: The Lost Village? Kong: Skull Island and Split (currently $302.2 million) #3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total (in dollars) - The Great Wall, Ghost in the Shell, John Wick: Chapter Two, and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage? The Great Wall and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage (currently within $0.25 million of each other) #4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fast 8, Fifty Shades Darker, John Wick: Chapter Two, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Smurfs: The Lost Village, T2: Trainspotting, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Underworld: Blood Wars? T2: Trainspotting (currently -88.0%) #5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fast 8, Fifty Shades Darker, John Wick: Chapter Two, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Smurfs: The Lost Village, T2: Trainspotting, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Underworld: Blood Wars? Fifty Shades Darker (currently -31.1%) #6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Fifty Shades Darker ($114.4 million) #7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? A Cure for Wellness (-2,616 theaters) #8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Nine (Split, The LEGO Batman Movie, Fifty Shades Darker, Logan, Get Out, Beauty and the Beast, Kong: Skull Island, The Boss Baby, The Fate of the Furious) 98: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Beauty and the Beast, Logan) #10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Get Out (currently $167.5 million) |
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| Author: | David [ Sun Apr 16, 2017 9:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Delighted to receive points for the lowest Fate of the Furious prediction. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Mon Apr 17, 2017 12:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Fuckety fuck. I might even lose out on a podium finish. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sun Apr 30, 2017 8:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
I'll post the results for this game once one of these scenarios happens: -It becomes clear than The Fate of the Furious won't pass Logan. -It becomes clear that The Boss Baby will pass Kong: Skull Island. -It becomes clear than The Fate of the Furious will pass Logan, and The Boss Baby won't pass Kong: Skull Island. Algren needs one of the first 2 conditions to happen in order to win. 
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| Author: | Rev [ Sun Apr 30, 2017 11:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Algren wrote: Fuckety fuck. I might even lose out on a podium finish. Don't pull out too early Algren  u gotta finish
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon May 01, 2017 5:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
I think fate for FATE is sealed and it would do less than Logan. |
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue May 09, 2017 9:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
MGKC wrote: I'll post the results for this game once one of these scenarios happens: -It becomes clear than The Fate of the Furious won't pass Logan. -It becomes clear that The Boss Baby will pass Kong: Skull Island. -It becomes clear than The Fate of the Furious will pass Logan, and The Boss Baby won't pass Kong: Skull Island. Algren needs one of the first 2 conditions to happen in order to win. Oh awesome! I have confidence that Fast 8 will not pass Logan. But I won't celebrate just yet! 
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue May 09, 2017 11:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
I am also more confident that The Boss Baby will pass Kong. Currently at $156m TBB had an almost $6m weekend and while Kong is still kicking with $0.5m weekend its total is at $166m, there is literally no competition for TBB aside from Fox's own mid-tier hit Wimpy Kid whereas there are action movies every week from here on for Kong to take away its audience. Congrats Algren for the win.
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| Author: | Algren [ Tue May 09, 2017 11:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Don't jinx it!
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue May 09, 2017 11:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Hehe I am not. There is just no way for one of these two to not happen. Fate was sealed well before with its modest WoM and poor reviews and its running more than $12m behind Fast 6 which would make it less than $222m for sure and Logan seems to finish with $226m but even if Fate somehow manages great legs from here on TBB will surpass Kong for sure. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue May 09, 2017 11:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
Boss Baby will pass Kong and possibly Lego Batman. Fast 8 will just pass Logan. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue May 09, 2017 11:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest |
zwackerm wrote: Boss Baby will pass Kong and possibly Lego Batman. Fast 8 will just pass Logan. Fate is currently $12m behind with a smaller weekend. With exactly the same run as Fast 6 it will get to $226m and Logan will mostly still pass that number. We know that its running behind F6 which also had the benefit of June weekdays so I just don't see it getting past $225m. The best case scenario for Fate would be to have a multiplier of 2 from this weekend similar to Fast 6 which would get it to $224m still lower than Logan. |
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