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 KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest - FINAL RESULTS 
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Hanging on by the skin of my teeth.

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Sun Mar 26, 2017 11:00 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Something is wrong with the arrows. I was 11 last week and 10 this one, so it should be up. Also, there are two last week 9 listed. Don't know if that affects everyone.

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Mon Mar 27, 2017 4:06 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
I am not affected by such lower table mistakes. :P

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Mon Mar 27, 2017 4:59 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
zwackerm wrote:
So as long as Fast 8 out grosses Logan, the top 5 curse will be broken?

I mean besides Get Out?

Oh, wow you're right. O, i.hope, Rev, and SolC9 could all have a massive 15 point bonus coming to them if what they predicted becomes true:
1. Beauty and the Beast
2. Fate of the Furious
3. Logan
4. The LEGO Batman Movie
5. Kong: Skull Island

Fate of the Furious would have to fall below Fast & Furious 6 for it to mess up - which I guess is not impossible, but fairly unlikely to happen.

Price wrote:
Something is wrong with the arrows. I was 11 last week and 10 this one, so it should be up. Also, there are two last week 9 listed. Don't know if that affects everyone.

Oooh yep - I will fix that later tonight.


Mon Mar 27, 2017 8:10 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
And as long as it can Out gross Fifty Shades, PR should be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 OW..


Mon Mar 27, 2017 8:45 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
If Kong passes Batman, no one will get the top 5 again.

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Mon Mar 27, 2017 9:31 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Price wrote:
If Kong passes Batman, no one will get the top 5 again.


That won't happen. They're at the same three week total but Kong is now making less at the same point, and Ghost in the Shell and Fast 8 are direct competition, so I don't see it catching great late legs.


Mon Mar 27, 2017 10:03 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
^ Different kind of movies. The weekdays for Kong could pull the weekend slack.


Mon Mar 27, 2017 10:28 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Price wrote:
If Kong passes Batman, no one will get the top 5 again.


VERY possible.

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Mon Mar 27, 2017 11:39 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Please no


Mon Mar 27, 2017 11:43 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Looking at the numbers just realized how GO is close to Batman. The later is going to lose a lot of ground from here with TBB releasing next weekend. I think GO will outgross both Kong and Batman but it doesn't matter as it won't be considered


Tue Mar 28, 2017 2:50 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Almost time for the summer game! Love these even though I suck and always lose.


Mon Apr 03, 2017 10:31 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
I wonder if TBB could have decent legs and ruin the Top 5 again this game.


Mon Apr 03, 2017 2:08 pm
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Weekly Ranking for April 4

Algren jumps back up to a healthy 5 point lead, while Star Lord has an impressive rank jump.

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Total Gross Projections
Beauty and the Beast - $485 million
The Boss Baby - $165 million
CHiPs - $19 million
A Dog's Purpose - $63.9 million
Fifty Shades Darker - $114.434 million
Fist Fight - $32.4 million
The Founder - $12.8 million
Ghost in the Shell - $50 million
The Great Wall - $45.3 million
John Wick: Chapter Two - $91.7 million
Kong: Skull Island - $163 million
The LEGO Batman Movie - $174.75 million
Life - $28 million
Logan - $222 million
Monster Trucks - $33.37 million
Power Rangers - $82 million
Resident Evil: The Final Chapter - $26.85 million
The Space Between Us - $7.885 million
Split - $138 million
T2: Trainspotting - $1.8 million
xXx: The Return of Xander Cage - $44.898 million
Underworld: Blood Wars - $30.354 million

Current Top 5
1. Beauty and the Beast - $393.3 million
2. Logan - $211.8 million
3. The LEGO Batman Movie - $172.7 million
4. Kong: Skull Island - $147.6 million
5. Split - $137.4 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Beauty and the Beast or the double the total gross of The LEGO Batman Movie? Beauty and the Beast
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Kong: Skull Island and Split, the combination of Logan and Power Rangers, or the combination of Fast 8 and Smurfs: The Lost Village? Kong: Skull Island and Split (currently $285.1 million)
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total (in dollars) - The Great Wall, Ghost in the Shell, John Wick: Chapter Two, and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage? The Great Wall and xXx: The Return of Xander Cage (currently within $0.2 million of each other)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Fast 8, Fifty Shades Darker, John Wick: Chapter Two, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Smurfs: The Lost Village, T2: Trainspotting, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Underworld: Blood Wars? T2: Trainspotting (currently -92.8%)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Fast 8, Fifty Shades Darker, John Wick: Chapter Two, Resident Evil: The Final Chapter, Smurfs: The Lost Village, T2: Trainspotting, xXx: The Return of Xander Cage, Underworld: Blood Wars? Fifty Shades Darker (currently -31.1%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Fifty Shades Darker ($114.4 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? A Cure for Wellness (-2,616 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Seven (Split, The LEGO Batman Movie, Fifty Shades Darker, Logan, Get Out, Beauty and the Beast, Kong: Skull Island)
98: How many films will gross over $200 million? Two (Beauty and the Beast, Logan)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Get Out (currently $157.2 million)


Tue Apr 04, 2017 9:07 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Jack Sparrow wrote:
I wonder if TBB could have decent legs and ruin the Top 5 again this game.

That's very true - I think all of us pretty much counted out that movie completely before this past weekend.

Fox's lowest multiplier for a spring animation release was Rio 2, with a 3.3 multiplier. That would put The Boss Baby at $167 million - just above my current projection for Kong: Island.

I kinda hope that happens to keep up the tradition of no one nailing the top 5. (I really messed up by not having Get Out be a predicted movie - it wasn't even in the poll in the planning thread! :oops: )


Tue Apr 04, 2017 9:12 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Ah shit, just missed getting points for my T2: Trainspotting prediction. I hope it now expands and gives my prediction more chance.

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Tue Apr 04, 2017 9:28 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Algren wrote:
Ah shit, just missed getting points for my T2: Trainspotting prediction. I hope it now expands and gives my prediction more chance.

Ya I wasn't quite sure on its projection, so that's why I've waited this long to add it to the weekly rankings. It having a lower weekend gross than last after more than doubling its theater count though makes me think its 3rd weekend is going to be its highest weekend gross.


Tue Apr 04, 2017 9:31 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
It is funny that Sony's highest-grossing film in 2017 is a 2016 release. They should have pushed T2: Trainspotting much more. They're not doing much else! :funny:

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Tue Apr 04, 2017 9:41 pm
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Post Re:
MGKC wrote:
Algren jumps back up to a healthy 5 point lead...


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;)

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Wed Apr 05, 2017 4:16 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Only three movies left in the game, so unless things drastically change or an older film has Titanic legs, (touch wood) I'm down for the win.

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Wed Apr 05, 2017 4:26 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
I predict publicenemy#1 to be the winner. :sweat:

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Wed Apr 05, 2017 6:28 am
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Lol algren has to root for the Fate of the Furious to do well. I love it. :funny:

PS: And an Emma Watson movie!! :lol:


Wed Apr 05, 2017 1:56 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
$35m is good for The Circle? Nah dude.
$285m is "doing well" for The Fate of the Furious? Hardly. Well within expectations.

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Wed Apr 05, 2017 9:03 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
The Circle is going to flop. Not the type of movie tons of people pay to see in theatres. It is Hanks in Cloud Atlas/A Hologram for the King mode, box office-wise.

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1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game


Wed Apr 05, 2017 10:35 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Winter/Spring 2017 Box Office Contest
Yes, but a $10-12m opening and a $30m total wouldn't be hard to imagine. I don't think I will be far off. And some of the other predictions are crazy. $88m, $62m, $55m.

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Wed Apr 05, 2017 10:41 pm
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