Weekly Ranking for December 18

Rogue One still has a big variance on where it can go, so I'd played it safe by starting out with $500 million for now.

I've downgraded Moana again as well.



Total Gross Projections
The Accountant - $86.5 million
Arrival - $99 million
Bad Santa 2 - $20 million
The Birth of a Nation - $15.9 million
Blair Witch - $20.777 million
Bridget Jones's Baby - $24.14 million
Deepwater Horizon - $61.55 million
Doctor Strange - $238 million
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - $246 million
The Girl on the Train - $75.7 million
Hacksaw Ridge - $67 million
I'm Not Ashamed - $2.09 million
Inferno - $34.1 million
Jack Reacher: Never Go Back - $58.4 million
Keeping up with the Joneses - $15 million
The Magnificent Seven - $93.3 million
Miss Peregrine's Home for Peculiar Children - $86.6 million
Moana - $250 million
Office Christmas Party - $54 million
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $500 million
Snowden - $21.588 million
Boo! A Madea Halloween - $73.2 million
Storks - $72 million
Sully - $125 million
Trolls - $155 million

Current Top 5
1. Doctor Strange - $226.1 million
2. Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them - $207.7 million
3. Moana - $161.9 million
4. Trolls - $147.4 million
5. Rogue One: A Star Wars Story - $155 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Rogue One: A Star Wars Story or the combination of Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them and Moana? The combination of Fantastic Beasts and Where To Find Them and Moana
#2: Which family film combination will gross more in total - the combination of Sing and Trolls or the combination of Moana and Storks? The combination of Moana and Storks (currently $233.6 million)
#3: Which will gross more in total - The Magnificent Seven, the combination of The Accountant and The Girl on the Train, or the combination of Deepwater Horizon, Snowden, Hacksaw Ridge, and Sully? The combination of Deepwater Horizon, Snowden, Hacksaw Ridge, and Sully
#4: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Assassin's Creed, Doctor Strange, The Magnificent Seven, and Trolls? The Magnificent Seven and Trolls (currently within $54.0 million of each other)
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Bad Santa 2, Blair Witch, Boo! A Madea Halloween, Bridget Jone's Baby, Inferno, Jack Reacher: Never Go Back, or Ouija: Origin of Evil? Blair Witch (-21.4%)
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? Trolls (currently $147.4 million)
#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Keeping up with the Joneses (-1,958 theaters)
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? Six (Sully, Doctor Strange, Trolls, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Moana, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story)
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? One (Doctor Strange, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them)
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Almost Christmas (currently $41.2 million)

Moana, Beasts, Doctor Strange and Sing will probably all end within 10 million of each other. Crazy.

Omni looks like he has the closest chance for the top 5 ever!

Rogue One #1 (Currently #1)

Sing #2 (Currently projected to reach #2 as it will surpass Dr. Strange/Fantastic Beasts/Moana)

Fantastic Beasts #3 (Currently behind Dr. Strange but the holidays look like it will have a chance to beat Dr. Strange afterall)

Moana #4 (Currently behind Dr. Strange by a fair bit. May be at $213 by the end of the long weekend with enough of a push that it doesn't pass Fantastic Beasts but may pass Dr. Strange)

Dr. Strange #5 (Currently #3 but looks to be overtaken by Fantastic Beasts. Moana beating it is a stretch but not impossible if Moana holds well enough to pass Dr. Strange but not enough to catch up to Fantastic Beasts).

Moana will pass both Beasts and Strange. Sing is the toss up, but it appears in Sings favor unfortunately.

I was gonna ask if La La Land would be the first film that the majority of people accurately predicted for "biggest movie not predicted," before realizing that Hidden Figures is actually now a dark horse for that title, a film that no one predicted.

Goddammit!

So who won???

Results should be able to be posted within the next week.

I'll happy with top 5 finish

Congrats to Jonathon - a fully deserving victory with 39 movie points scored, which was 6 more than his closest competitor.

Also - I went ahead and made an executive decision to count Passengers crossing $100 million, since it most likely will (will just take forever). It did not affect who got #1 (in fact, it lowered Jonathon's point total).

I'm 2nd.

@MGKC - thanks for the results

Yay, I finally won! Makes up for missing the Spring prediction thread, although I woulda probably flopped that.

Congratulations to the winners and ugh I dropped out of Top 10, still the best performance in the game this far.