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 so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with? 
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
These $100m predictions are crazy. It gets so many viewers because you don't have to get up, leave the house, buy a ticket, perhaps some popcorn, spend time with other people in a confined space, and then travel back home again. So a movie would probably do around (or less than) what Sex and the City did. I could see much less.

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Fri Jul 01, 2016 8:36 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
I could see a film franchise being set in this universe. Preferably in the future. HBO will continue the current series till the end though. It's their flagship show.


Fri Jul 01, 2016 8:41 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
If a film is ever made, they will wait a few years after the show finale by which point it will not be as popular, and they will have squandered the chance to make some real dough. Doesn't it always happen like this?

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Fri Jul 01, 2016 8:48 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
It would make money. It would not make anywhere near a $100 mil OW.

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Fri Jul 01, 2016 9:52 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
125m | 265m

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Sat Jul 02, 2016 1:36 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Chippy wrote:
It would not make anywhere near a $100 mil OW.


You simply could not be more wrong.

The Game of Thrones season 6 trailer has 22m views.

For comparison, Fantastic Beasts trailer has 11m views, Jason Bourne 8m, Rogue One 38m.

The "preview" youtube videos for the new episodes receive almost 10m hits.

Game of Thrones is a behemoth and a pop culture phenomenon.


Sat Jul 02, 2016 11:01 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
I don't think this is a lock for $100m OW. The transition from TV to theaters haven't always been successful and while this will be huge I see it doing $50m-$60m opening.


Sat Jul 02, 2016 11:15 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Depends what it's about. Realistically, there are two main possibilities: 2.5 hour series finale in movie form or a continuation of the story post-finale. This first option would limit the audience to its TV show audience, and would be EXTREMELY frontloaded. Probably $60-70m opening weekend and a total below $150m.

However, if the film is simply a continuation of the story that concluded in the series, with the same cast, another adventure/drama for the characters, then it might go supernova. GOT is a huge, huge, huge pop culture phenomenon at this point, bigger than probably any film released this year except Deadpool. It dominates social media discussion, it dominates real life water cooler discussions, the characters and catch phrases are becoming houshold names, it's creating movie stars. I could see a $150m OW if done right tbh.

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Sat Jul 02, 2016 4:45 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Barrabás wrote:
Depends what it's about. Realistically, there are two main possibilities: 2.5 hour series finale in movie form or a continuation of the story post-finale. This first option would limit the audience to its TV show audience, and would be EXTREMELY frontloaded. Probably $60-70m opening weekend and a total below $150m.

However, if the film is simply a continuation of the story that concluded in the series, with the same cast, another adventure/drama for the characters, then it might go supernova. GOT is a huge, huge, huge pop culture phenomenon at this point, bigger than probably any film released this year except Deadpool. It dominates social media discussion, it dominates real life water cooler discussions, the characters and catch phrases are becoming houshold names, it's creating movie stars. I could see a $150m OW if done right tbh.

I could see them working Young Griffin Targaryen as the main villian and Usurper if its a post finale movie.


Sat Jul 02, 2016 5:12 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
You're all insane.

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Sat Jul 02, 2016 6:13 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
http://deadline.com/2016/06/game-of-thr ... 201779999/

Quote:
Overall, GoT viewership across all platforms is up 15% over last year for HBO to hit 23.3 million this season before this weekend’s finale.


And that figure doesn't include the millions who pirate it.

Now let's say that about 15 million people come out opening weekend to a Game of Thrones film. 15m x 8.5 (average ticket price)=$127.5 million. I don't think 100 million is that out of reach.


Sat Jul 02, 2016 6:24 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Algren wrote:
These $100m predictions are crazy. It gets so many viewers because you don't have to get up, leave the house, buy a ticket, perhaps some popcorn, spend time with other people in a confined space, and then travel back home again. So a movie would probably do around (or less than) what Sex and the City did. I could see much less.


For once, I actually agree with this. $100+ million opening wekend predictions are ridiculous.

The adjusted numbers of The X-Files moie (1998) seem like a good fitl. That film opened when The X-Files was huge too. Its opening adjusts to $55 million. Films are more frontloaded nowadays, so a GoT film would probably open to $70 million.

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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Algren wrote:
These $100m predictions are crazy. It gets so many viewers because you don't have to get up, leave the house, buy a ticket, perhaps some popcorn, spend time with other people in a confined space, and then travel back home again. So a movie would probably do around (or less than) what Sex and the City did. I could see much less.


For once, I actually agree with this. $100+ million opening wekend predictions are ridiculous.

The adjusted numbers of The X-Files moie (1998) seem like a good fitl. That film opened when The X-Files was huge too. Its opening adjusts to $55 million. Films are more frontloaded nowadays, so a GoT film would probably open to $70 million.

Except that when X-files opened, it still had the 7th highest opening week for the year. 6 movies opened to 100 million last year, 7 opened to 90 million and more so with movies opening higher and higher each year, its not that far fetched.


Sat Jul 02, 2016 7:11 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
GOT is a bigger global cultural phenomenon than X Files was in 1998. It's also completely different in so many respects. Cable vs network. Serialised vs episodic (mainly) etc.

IT can do 100m OW or get close. It all depends on what they release. The final 2-3 hours of the saga? Or a related story?

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Sat Jul 02, 2016 8:03 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
The time of release will probably be the most important, if released like now at the height of it's popularity it would do at least $80m opening weekend. Basically it would totally act like 50 shades and nothing worse I think.


Sat Jul 02, 2016 8:16 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
I could see it making a $100 mil OW if they made the final two episodes into one movie and released it. But that's not going to happen.

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Sun Jul 03, 2016 2:48 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
MadGez wrote:
GOT is a bigger global cultural phenomenon than X Files was in 1998. It's also completely different in so many respects. Cable vs network. Serialised vs episodic (mainly) etc.

IT can do 100m OW or get close. It all depends on what they release. The final 2-3 hours of the saga? Or a related story?


Given the internet age it feels that GoT is a bigger cultural phenomenon but I think X-Files is a pretty decent comparison. I come from a small town and X-Files is the only TV series a lot of my friends know and they don't know Friends as well.


Sun Jul 03, 2016 5:26 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Seems like the people that live outside the US are completely lost on this. Comparing it to X-Files, which was a semi-popular cult show that aired on Friday nights, is a big tip off.

Remember when Fandango and Movie Tickets crashed when Star Wars tickets went on sale? GoT will be like that. The audience will obviously be a lot lower because of the lack of families, but this movie would be crack cocaine for people aged 15 to 50. $100m is in the bag, assuming its the series finale.

The last two episodes of Season 6 are the two highest rated anythings on IMDb, both with a perfect 10.


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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Kenspy wrote:
Seems like the people that live outside the US are completely lost on this. Comparing it to X-Files, which was a semi-popular cult show that aired on Friday nights, is a big tip off.

Remember when Fandango and Movie Tickets crashed when Star Wars tickets went on sale? GoT will be like that. The audience will obviously be a lot lower because of the lack of families, but this movie would be crack cocaine for people aged 15 to 50. $100m is in the bag, assuming its the series finale.

The last two episodes of Season 6 are the two highest rated anythings on IMDb, both with a perfect 10.

Actually X-files became more popular when they switched and aired it on Sundays with the Simpsons line up. It was Fox's anchor show which 23 million viewers at the time beating most of the sunday line up including the Simpsons. But your point still stands that GOT is a very fanatical show. Also there is more of incentive and easier sell to see a Fantasy epic battle scenes like Battle of the Bastards and Hardhome then to see a mystery sci-fi thriller or a Cartoon on the big screen


Sun Jul 03, 2016 9:11 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
There is a difference between paying $12 bucks once for a movie ticket and paying monthly for HBO on top of your cable bill. I think of those 23 million viewers, many would want to see it opening weekend.


Sun Jul 03, 2016 9:31 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
El Maskado wrote:
Kenspy wrote:
Seems like the people that live outside the US are completely lost on this. Comparing it to X-Files, which was a semi-popular cult show that aired on Friday nights, is a big tip off.

Remember when Fandango and Movie Tickets crashed when Star Wars tickets went on sale? GoT will be like that. The audience will obviously be a lot lower because of the lack of families, but this movie would be crack cocaine for people aged 15 to 50. $100m is in the bag, assuming its the series finale.

The last two episodes of Season 6 are the two highest rated anythings on IMDb, both with a perfect 10.

Actually X-files became more popular when they switched and aired it on Sundays with the Simpsons line up. It was Fox's anchor show which 23 million viewers at the time beating most of the sunday line up including the Simpsons. But your point still stands that GOT is a very fanatical show. Also there is more of incentive and easier sell to see a Fantasy epic battle scenes like Battle of the Bastards and Hardhome then to see a mystery sci-fi thriller or a Cartoon on the big screen


$23m seems very close to GoT's number.


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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
If they decide to show the final battle in the big screen (and they should)

It would go over $100 million with ease. Everyone watches GoT, just not on HBO.

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Mon Jul 04, 2016 12:09 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
Here in Oz, Game of Thrones is the most talked about drama in a long long time. The number of people who are still only just starting to watch the series is mind boggling. Its a pop culture phenomenon where official ratings numbers are only the tip of the iceberg.

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Mon Jul 04, 2016 1:05 am
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
This discussion is moot, though. There won't be a movie, at least not during or right after the current run of the series.

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Mon Jul 04, 2016 7:04 pm
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Post Re: so... how much would a Game of Thrones film open with?
As much money as HBO would make to put the final episode or two on the big screen, I think it's more important to them to have it on their actual channel. Also, would people be pissed that they pay X amount every month for it, and now HBO wants them to shell out MORE money just for the finale?

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Tue Jul 05, 2016 11:44 am
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