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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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 WOKJ Weekend Analysis _________________
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| Tue May 03, 2005 6:25 pm |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I'd give both openers a better multiplier. xXx2 with around 2.2-2.3, and Hitchhiker with around 2.5-2.6.
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| Tue May 03, 2005 6:29 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
Posts: 15310
Location: Slumming at KJ
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Good article, DP07. Always enjoyable!
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| Tue May 03, 2005 6:30 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15565
Location: Everywhere
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Got it up already?
Zingaling wrote: I'd give both openers a better multiplier. xXx2 with around 2.2-2.3, and Hitchhiker with around 2.5-2.6. With the way xXx 2 will lose theaters in the third weekend, I can't see it having as good a multiplier as a movie like Underworld. There isn't much in the way of holidays or weekdays. Yeah, Memorial Day is coming, but it will mostly be out of theaters by then.
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| Tue May 03, 2005 9:22 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15565
Location: Everywhere
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Maverikk wrote: Good article, DP07. Always enjoyable! Thanks. 
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| Tue May 03, 2005 9:22 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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DP07 wrote: Got it up already? Zingaling wrote: I'd give both openers a better multiplier. xXx2 with around 2.2-2.3, and Hitchhiker with around 2.5-2.6. With the way xXx 2 will lose theaters in the third weekend, I can't see it having as good a multiplier as a movie like Underworld. There isn't much in the way of holidays or weekdays. Yeah, Memorial Day is coming, but it will mostly be out of theaters by then. That's true, but I don't believe that it's going to get that 67% second weekend drop you predicted earlier. It obviously wasn't THAT frontloaded if it increased that much on Saturday. It should drop around 58-62% because of it's genre, though.
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| Tue May 03, 2005 9:27 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15565
Location: Everywhere
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Zingaling wrote: DP07 wrote: Got it up already? Zingaling wrote: I'd give both openers a better multiplier. xXx2 with around 2.2-2.3, and Hitchhiker with around 2.5-2.6. With the way xXx 2 will lose theaters in the third weekend, I can't see it having as good a multiplier as a movie like Underworld. There isn't much in the way of holidays or weekdays. Yeah, Memorial Day is coming, but it will mostly be out of theaters by then. That's true, but I don't believe that it's going to get that 67% second weekend drop you predicted earlier. It obviously wasn't THAT frontloaded if it increased that much on Saturday. It should drop around 58-62% because of it's genre, though. With the 67% drop I was expecting a multiplier of 1.9. :wink: I think it will drop about 64%.
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| Tue May 03, 2005 9:29 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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DP07 wrote: Zingaling wrote: DP07 wrote: Got it up already? Zingaling wrote: I'd give both openers a better multiplier. xXx2 with around 2.2-2.3, and Hitchhiker with around 2.5-2.6. With the way xXx 2 will lose theaters in the third weekend, I can't see it having as good a multiplier as a movie like Underworld. There isn't much in the way of holidays or weekdays. Yeah, Memorial Day is coming, but it will mostly be out of theaters by then. That's true, but I don't believe that it's going to get that 67% second weekend drop you predicted earlier. It obviously wasn't THAT frontloaded if it increased that much on Saturday. It should drop around 58-62% because of it's genre, though. With the 67% drop I was expecting a multiplier of 1.9. :wink: I think it will drop about 64%. I'd actually agree with the 6 million weekend two that Box Office Warrior has. The multiplier was excellent and WOM actually seems pretty damn solid, so I think it'll fall about 55%. And as for theaters, well really nothing May 13th will get that huge a theater count, and there's no movie to attract under 17 guys until Star Wars, so I think it'll have a bad multiplier of 2.4 rather then an unbelievably bad one of 1.9. It'll probably just barely squeak over 30 million.
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| Tue May 03, 2005 10:56 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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With all R-rated openers, I don't see XXX2 having an over 60% drop. As Weekend Warrior mentioned, people could be buying its tickets to sneak in Kingdom of Heaven or House of Wax. 55% drop sounds right.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Tue May 03, 2005 11:01 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Great article DP07 for the most part I agree with your comments, though I expect Hitchhiker's to have a much more solid multiplier of 2.5 for over $50 million total.
Of course my bad word of mouth isn't going to help it. :wink:
_________________
See above.
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| Tue May 03, 2005 11:16 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15565
Location: Everywhere
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RogueCommander wrote: Great article DP07 for the most part I agree with your comments, though I expect Hitchhiker's to have a much more solid multiplier of 2.5 for over $50 million total.
Of course my bad word of mouth isn't going to help it. :wink: Mine too, it was my biggest dissapointment ever. Seriously. In no way lived up to the books IMO. However, I can say that I wrote the article before seeing the movie.
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| Wed May 04, 2005 11:26 am |
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