79.08% with your projections.
81.08% with mine.
Hmmm, think I like my better.
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| Scores with Projections http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=7465 |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:10 am ] |
| Post subject: | Scores with Projections |
The Box Office Factor site is not updated, so you guys will have to calculate on your own... xXx: State of the Union - 0.00% ( 30.9 / 11.9 ) The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - 75.11% ( 17.8 / 23.7 ) The Interpreter - 92.65% ( 14.6 / 13.6 ) The Amityville Horror - 100.00% ( 8.4 / 8.4 ) Sahara - 87.72% ( 5.0 / 5.7 ) A Lot Like Love - 85.42% ( 4.1 / 4.8 ) Kung Fu Hustle - 83.87% ( 3.6 / 3.1 ) Fever Pitch - 97.14% ( 3.4 / 3.5 ) Sin City - 95.24% ( 2.2 / 2.1 ) Robots - 85.00% ( 2.3 / 2.0 ) Score: 80.214% |
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:18 am ] |
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That's prediction for Robots right? Or you have your friday number sources?!?! :razz: I have slightly different projections. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Nebs wrote: That's prediction for Robots right? Or you have your friday number sources?!?! :razz: I have slightly different projections. No, I estimated with Robots. It should have around a $0.5 Friday, and then a good weekend multiplier. |
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| Author: | MGKC [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:23 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
I lowered xXx2 even more. People who predicted under 22 million for it should be bowed to. |
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:24 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
79.08% with your projections. 81.08% with mine. Hmmm, think I like my better.
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I have 85.52% with Casey's. Coming up with my own projections. |
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| Author: | sako [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
With Casey's Derby 81.28% Apprentice 80.93% DVSI 80.25% Survivor 80.71% |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:28 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
My projections: Guide to the Galaxy - 24.0 The Interpreter - 15.0 (its Friday is better than Man on Fire's second Friday, so I don't see why it can't earn at least as much) XXX2 - 12.0 (follows Elektra's pattern with a little worse Sunday drop since Elektra had Monday holiday) The Amityville Horror - 8.3 A Lot Like Love - 5.0 Sahara - 5.5 Fever Pitch - 3.4 Kung Fu Hustle - 3.2 Guess Who - 2.2 Sin City - 2.1 |
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| Author: | MikeQ. [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 12:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
MG Casey’s projections – 82.59% Xiayun’s projections – 83.52% Which is pretty good considering 0% on XXX 2 (although it's so close! Projections are around $12 million, and I predicted $24 million, so I just lose out on some percentage). Still, I'm happy with myself for nailing Hitchhiker. PEACE, Mike
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| Author: | Samweis Gamdschie [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Around 85-86%... :???: |
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| Author: | matatonio [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
EDIT With Casey's Projections- 84.47% With Xiayun's Projections- 84.00% |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Samweis Gamdschie wrote: Around 85-86%... :???: Great score, Martin! Too bad that XXX2 bombed too hard to have a better advantage for predicting low. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Xiayun's Projectiopns: 89.20% Had I stuck with 14.0 million for XXX: 91.28% |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 1:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Congrats, Rod! You're certain to win the derby. |
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| Author: | JMorphin [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 3:03 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I have almost an even 80 with xiayun's projections, gosh I hope A Lot Like Love does bad this weekend :wink: |
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| Author: | The Scottie [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 3:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Using MgCasey's projections. Despite my flop scores on the openers, I still manage to get a 79.68%. Hey, at least it wasn't a total disaster. |
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| Author: | zingy [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 9:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Yeah, and despite my horrible prediction for xXx: State of the Union, I got a 81.63%. I couldn't have asked for more... |
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| Author: | Amos [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
With Xiayun's projections: The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (17 / 24) -- Accuracy: 70.83% The Interpreter - (14 / 15) -- Accuracy: 93.33% XXX: State Of The Union - (27 / 12) -- Accuracy: 0.00% The Amityville Horror - (7.9 / 8.3) -- Accuracy: 95.18% Sahara - (5.6 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 98.18% A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 5) -- Accuracy: 84.00% Fever Pitch - (3.4 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Kung Fu Hustle - (4 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 75.00% Robots - (1.9 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 86.36% Sin City - (2.1 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 80.29% New Release: 35.42% 
Still in Theater: 91.51% \:D/ ](*,) ](*,) ](*,) Brandon's BOM Forecast Score: The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (24 / 24) -- Accuracy: 100.00% The Interpreter - (14.2 / 15) -- Accuracy: 94.67% XXX: State Of The Union - (21.8 / 12) -- Accuracy: 18.33% The Amityville Horror - (7.6 / 8.3) -- Accuracy: 91.57% Sahara - (5.7 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 96.36% A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 5) -- Accuracy: 84.00% Fever Pitch - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12% Kung Fu Hustle - (3.6 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 87.50% Robots - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% Sin City - (2 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 95.24% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 85.72% New Release: 59.17% Still in Theater: 92.36% EDIT: Mine with MGCasey's projections: The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (17 / 23.7) -- Accuracy: 71.73% The Interpreter - (14 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 97.06% XXX: State Of The Union - (27 / 11.9) -- Accuracy: 0.00% The Amityville Horror - (7.9 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 94.05% Sahara - (5.6 / 5.7) -- Accuracy: 98.25% A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 87.50% Fever Pitch - (3.4 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 97.14% Kung Fu Hustle - (4 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 70.97% Robots - (1.9 / 2) -- Accuracy: 95.00% Sin City - (2.1 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 81.17% New Release: 35.86% Still in Theater: 92.50% Slightly better, still pathetic. ](*,) |
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| Author: | Rev [ Sat Apr 30, 2005 11:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (18.5 / 24) -- Accuracy: 77.08% The Interpreter - (13.5 / 15) -- Accuracy: 90.00% XXX: State Of The Union - (26.5 / 12) -- Accuracy: 0.00% The Amityville Horror - (8.2 / 8.3) -- Accuracy: 98.80% Sahara - (5.8 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55% A Lot Like Love - (4.2 / 5) -- Accuracy: 84.00% Fever Pitch - (3.5 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 97.06% Kung Fu Hustle - (4.8 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 50.00% Robots - (2.4 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 90.91% Sin City - (2.0 / 2.1) -- Accuracy: 95.24% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 77.76% New Release: 38.54% Still in Theater: 87.57% |
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| Author: | Vovanik [ Sun May 01, 2005 3:40 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
With Xiayun's -84,4% With MG Casey's -83.06% |
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| Author: | Michael. [ Sun May 01, 2005 8:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
theres a strong possibility that XX2 will struggle to make $30m. Elektras legs were literally sliced when its second weekend was not only coming off a holiday sesh, but it also saw the east coast snowstorm which badly affected all buisness. The weekend after theaters deserted it due to weak grosses so its legs only recovered way too late in its run. XX2 should have better legs on this account; but its heading into May now so it'll be tough for it to stand up to the competish. But the difference is - Elektra cost less than $50m to make; XX2 cost $120m. Its a bigger bomb than Crapwoman. |
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